Forums
Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
WEB
04 Apr 14 10:45
Joined:
Date Joined: 23 Apr 01
| Topic/replies: 121 | Blogger: WEB's blog
How can India be 1.77 to beat South Africa today but only 2.56 in the outright market? Discuss
Pause Switch to Standard View For Sharp minds only
Show More
Loading...
Report TheFlipFlopian April 4, 2014 11:17 AM BST
because if the match is a washout, they go through automatically, and apparently theres some non zero chance that'll happen.  if thats the case all bets in match odds market are off and so it isnt forced to price that possibility in.  if the match is rain affected, then indias edge decreases since the contest becomes more of a crapshoot.  so, theres x% (chance washout) + y% (chance india wins a non washed out contest) that india go through to contest the final, which combines to form their outright price, whereas their match odds price stipulates that a contest takes place and assumes that india has x% chance of winning a full contest y% chance of winning an abbreviated contest.  short version, their outright price is positively impacted by chance of rain, but their match odds price is negatively impacted.
Report WEB April 4, 2014 11:20 AM BST
There is always that. Still the forecast is clear after 6.
Report Rider April 4, 2014 11:27 AM BST
CMM - Yes   currently 1.51
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com