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Last time these 2 played in Mumbai, it was that rare beast a drawn match with both teams with the same number of runs. I remember it well, as it was almost that even rarer beast a tied Test match, which would have cost me a decent profit.
This time out, I expect plenty of runs but a comfortable win for India. Laying the draw first up.
This time out, I expect plenty of runs but a comfortable win for India. Laying the draw first up.
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India as usual is too short at 1.69, but I expect it to go a bit lower by Wednesday. WI back to lay an option, as Mumbai often sees big 1st inn scores. In the drawn game 2 years ago, WI scored 590 batting first.
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Probably this would be WI best chance of avoiding the loss as the whole nation including the players will be focussed on Sachin(last match), WI must capitalise that, but WI are WI, even they cant help themselves
 On the serious note, WI havent beaten India in the last 4 test matches, losing all 4, 1 away, 3 home http://www.cricketscore.com/match/YqanzPjj/#h2h;overall |
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India now at 1.62 and looks like it will go sub 1.6. After initially laying the draw, I have switched to laying India. I'm expecting a road first 3 days, and hoping WI bat first.
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I never underestimate the WI capability of throwing it away. Their batting was shocking at times. Chanderpaul should bat 3 to give the others a chance. Bravo is a good bat and Samuels can bat. I can't see a WI victory but if it a flat one then WI have a chance at the draw if they want it. Not betting on this unless something happens in play to get the juices going.
Good that Tendulkar is finally going as the likes of the Incredibly Talented Rohit Sharma, Rahane and Karthik deserve their chance. India's batting is a joy to watch. I really hope WI can show some fight. |
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Small draw lay for me at 3.5s which I'll top up if it falls considerably (which is a greater possibility here, particularly if India bat first... but not enough to make me want to back the draw at SP). Ultimately I predict a result, most probably an Indian win.
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Price for India still gradually shrinking. It's hard to make a case for any other result. Perhaps 1.6 is as good as it gets.
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Anyone interested can get India to win series @ 1.62. 6 points over the match price. I took most of it, but $150 left.
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Got to feel that any other than an Indian win is unlikely. Surely the script has already been written, SRT's 200th and final test can't be a draw or defeat.
Wouldn't like to be umpiring this game. Bet they are hoping that SRT misses a straight one sending stumps flying or hits one up in the air. I wouldn't give much for their chances of getting out of the stadium if he's given LBW. |
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I'm hoping WI win the toss and post a decent 1st inn score to make a game of it. If India bat first, we could see 500+ on a flat deck.
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england had a rough time in their first test in india but they dug deep, found the required grind, discipline and resolve and their two considerably able spinners performed, but the dogged batting was critical.
save chanderpaul, there is no way this windies side has the resolve or patience required to grind out either a draw or a win here. 1.55 on india seems bonkers when the only chance I see of them losing it is a monumental fack up by them in the absence of any genuine pressure from the windies. 1.1 india. 1.22 india if chanderpaul bats at 4 or above. |
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At 11.5 pre toss, its a no brainer...............
Back Windies............................ |
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I'm wondering how low India can go pre-toss. Sub 1.5? Still laying.
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Pecker
Is that 11.5 a lay back should Windies win the toss? I honestly can't see how they could even beat an egg at the moment! |
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India win toss and bowl. Must be confident of victory.
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b kumar to run through the top order I reckon.
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Gayle out for 11
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sachin to open 2nd digs to knock off the winning runs??
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Deja vu,
India may only bat once, he better score in the first innings! Actually as deja goes had another cheeky shilling on Windies just in case the pitch becomes difficult, runs on the board and all that. I will increase the bet when the next wicket falls which is looking imminent  ! |
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glad i layed the draw, not India. I was 50/50 this morning
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The question I have now is: Is India a free lay at 1.08? Am pondering pondering how to approach this one because there is always a second innings. And if India bat well.... the draw will come in but to what? Any advice is welcome :)
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i love India's new policy of turning pitches from day 1
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Oh dear,
I was hoping for a WI counter attack but second ball Sammy? I am sorry but I don't think he is should be playing test cricket. I am not one of his detractors try as he does but neither his batting nor bowling is adding to this team. He shouldn't be a scapegoat though as plenty of others are poor as is the selection of Shiv at 5. Does anyopne know why Narine has not been selected? Oh Lord, mind the windows Tino ! |
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It's a free lay imo
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cheers jucel69.. you must be on the back at 1.08 :) just joking. But I cant but help feeling a little iffy, it is the West Indies after all...
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Jucel,
I like the fact that there is pace in the wicket, gives everyone a chance. The spin is an added bonus and batters have had it too good for too long. Spinning the ball and playing a spinning ball are art forms that we have been missing for a long while ( Murali and Warne excluded! ). You are right. |
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i laid the draw 2k gbp (liability) so might aswell give myself a big chance on WI (lay draw) and also cover the draw, which is virtually impossible but I've stopped leaving liabilities to chance. One bitten etc etc
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Made a load on the 3-1 Eng & 4-0 v aus & that included losing 1500 gbp on the last ind v eng game that ended in a draw!
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this pitch seems very similar to the ind v eng last year.
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Jucel,
No harm in covering a WI win either at the end of this innings just in case Tino and Shillingford get any help from this pitch. I can't see India batting so badly though. Looks looks another innings defeat to me! |
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india were about 1.17 after the last game after wi first innings and wi got 230ish. Now 1.07 so there is some value as this has more in it
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u can lay india big and even if they bat well, they can't be much lower than 1.05/1.06 after
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that is my thinking too jucel, its really a free option on the WI's tearing through India. If not and you are nervous about WI batting innings 2, you can just buy back at 1.05/1.06 or better
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yes it is a good call in case there are early wickets and if not exit
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trying for 1.06
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you not going to get 1.06 whisperingdeath. The difference between 1.06 and 1.08 is huge. But if you are patient 1.07 may be possible. Just trying to work out a few scenarios. India all out for 182... what the price on India to win? About 1.50?
India get 300... 1.08? India 400 1.06/1.07 India 500+ 1.10 as psychologically the draw will have come in? But I know I may be reading this slightly wrong. I cannot see the downside? |
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tyco - i would be very nervous of WI batting second!
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Yeah I know, so am I... but Im just trying to do the math in my head and trying to work out a few scenarios. Feel free to pick them apart because I am hoping someone can show me the caveat
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It is all about how fast India will get the runs, if the RR is high we could easily see 1.04-1.05.
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cheers teo813, that is another factor to take into consideration...
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