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think 3.4 is fair atm
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as i speak its 3.6
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I finally gave in early this morning and laid at 3.35 and then again at 3.4
The forecast for Saturday is much better and without a serious weather interuption it wont be a draw Last 10 test at Old Trafford back to 1999 has brought 3 draws and all had big weather problems As has already been said,cloudy and humid first two days should equate to plenty of swing and wickets |
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I'm currently based in Manchester. It's been really humid up here lately and the weather has been strange - One second it's cloudy and raining, the next it's sunny! Very unpredictable. Trusting the weather forecast is a gamble in itself, I will not be backing/laying the draw.
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Snosurf
i like humid .. means swing and they'll b reverse swing anyway .. if its a draw then i'm a chinaman que the noodles lol |
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Draw should be about 7/8 if no weather issues IMHO.
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And it doesn't look like we lose much time at all now - laid draw very heavily.
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"And it doesn't look like we lose much time at all now - laid draw very heavily."
Was that your £2.5k I saw popping up? :) |
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No, just hit what was sat on the lay side.
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Ive bailed out for the moment at 3.6
I cannot remember who on here put me on to the YR.NO weather forecast but it does seem quite reliable and there has been a big change with them with Saturdays forecast http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Manchester/long.html Im sure there would be a result in four days but if other forecast change to look anything like this then Im sure the draw will be trading quite a bit shorter tomorrow |
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I always use yr.no for longer term forecasts - far more reliable than the BBC IMHO. hmmm.. that's an interesting change.
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yr.no is my bible and hence taken a small loss to reverse my position.
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Saturday light shower(s) has become heavy shower. Not much difference IMO, but will wait to see how market reacts.
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worth keeping an eye on the updates every hr. there's an awful lot of rain about over ireland this weekend.
Not too threatening for Manc at the mo but it could easily slide over at some point. Draw obvs a massive lay if we only lose a session or two, |
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Lix, the Met Office changes the time on their forecast every hour, but only run their models 4 times a day.
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i never look at the met office one.
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Thought it might have been you Nigel that mentioned the yr.no forecast, must admit it is very good
Its the 11mm forecast on Sat afternoon thats my worry, wish I had the nerve to back the draw with a view to an early trade but if its all change again in the morning it could get very expensive This weather lark makes it so difficult at times, at least it shouldnt be that much of an issue down under this winter |
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I live 1/2 mile from the ground so been looking forward to trading on this for ages
The weather is very very overcast right now but they would be able to play in this and if jimmy was bowling in these conditions I reckon he could take 3-4 wickets in 1st hour ball will be swinging all over the place Backed the draw for now at 3.65 hoping to get out at around 3.15 1st thing tomorrow I will do regular updates regarding weather over next 5-6 days guys |
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Forecast changed again on Yr No. Friday afternoon looks a washout now but Saturday a bit better. Waiting for the next change!
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Thanks Skips
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I'll give you 4/1 on a friday washout if you like ?
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Lix
I am not saying it will be a washout. Just saying how the forecast changes constantly. FWIW here is the link. http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/Manchester/long.html |
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Big band of rain over Ireland tomorrow morning but looks like its just going to go north of manchester at around 12ish but manc weather is so unpredictable if it does hit.
Could be no play before lunch |
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long range forecast next week for durham looks very interesting !!!
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Whats the forecast? I'm going to be there...
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it has been lashing down in manchester for the past week on and off with similar forecasts ahead.
the drainage is very good at OT and the ground staff are good as well. I would not be surprised if we lost a session here and there. I would be surprised if it mattered as the pitch will be incredibly dry and take spin hence the Panesar selection. |
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surely monty is only there to mess with the aussies heads ? not that that's particularly difficult. be amazed if he plays
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i agree with you now with the weather around.
reckon tomorrow will be a bowl first toss as the pitch has been covered for days. when they called him up though i reckon he might have played as the pitch has been dry all season |
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It's been lashing it down in manchester last two hours non stop
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i work opposite the ground loads of rain forecast for tommorrow is good, i dont think the weather is going to be a factor in terms of outcome of this match
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sorry should
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have been a comma after rain!!!!
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how many sessions lost do the aussies need to save getting beat.
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based on the first 2 tests at least 2, can still see a result even if we lose a full day to the weather
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In manchester it's currently slightly overcast very windy
So if there is any rain within 100 odd miles its could get here quite quick of blow away fairly quickly Very mild probably around 18-19 degrees could playing conditions |
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Good
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beautiful day here
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Quite a few showers on the forecast for the next few days.
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Am left chasing my tail tonight having backed England pre-match and layed the draw early in running. Have decided to take a chance on backing England again at nine and a bit in the hope that the price will eventually fall back to a level where I can significantly reduce liabilities. If it doesn't work, well I haven't increased liabilities by very much percentage wise.
Hoping that England will be more successful tomorrow. Often happens following a breakthrough. |
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Sorry, wrong thread. You might deduce that I'm hoping that there won't be much in the way of rain.
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