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2 teams with flakey batting line ups and 2 decent bowling attacks were tempting me to lay the draw at 2.9. However, thunder storms are predicted during the first 3 days a, the track is apparently very flat and the groundsman reckons the test will last 5 days. This leads me to think that it might be worth backing the draw at around 3s because there should be a decent lay opportunity when the weather intervenes.
The weather forecast does seem to vary a lot depending on which website you look at.
What do people reckon?
The weather forecast does seem to vary a lot depending on which website you look at.
What do people reckon?
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might have to get up at 5 in the morning
another one
another one
What would the Saffers, the Injuns or the Convicts give to have a Graeme Swann?
been telling you all afternoon
game changes in few minutes on day 5 in SC
Spinners with 10 over old ball most dangerous
game changes in few minutes on day 5 in SC
Spinners with 10 over old ball most dangerous
not a fan screaming of swann, never have been 
England don't want to be chasing any more than 150 here.
still 3 decent batsmen to get rid of
jaya matthews and the keeper
jaya matthews and the keeper
SL will turn even more defensive now - anyone backing SL is mad I tell you
england get there 2 wickets per session and well placed
though scoreboard a little odd with 6 and 7 at 8+9 now
though scoreboard a little odd with 6 and 7 at 8+9 now
SL could quite easily get to 150. If they do, it will not be easy for england at all.
You don't have to be a fan of him, PTTT. Who could be? But, my god, he is on a different planet compared to Imran Tahir, Ashwin or Nathan Beeroherty. You could never turn to any of them and actually expect a wicket when you need it.
correcting itself a bit now 30/34
but should be 55/60 at least, they will be ultra defensive til at least lunch, if they last that long
but should be 55/60 at least, they will be ultra defensive til at least lunch, if they last that long
if they can see off 20 overs tmrw it is very likely a draw, a softer ball and they can keep on playing for next 40
sporting have 135 lead if they get that lead lanka will 10s max as draw out of window
not looking forward to the alarm clock going off at 5am
big drift on england since close. think prices are about right now as this isn't a normal situation with a side 6 down as england have still got to get out both jayawardenes and matthews
No they don't cnman. Getting Mathews, P Jayawardena, Herath and Lakmal will do the trick.
yep market went 1.77 to 1.4 for a rabbit
all wickets big but too bigger a drop
England price about right now, mathews at 8 and jaya at 9 aint the norm
all wickets big but too bigger a drop
England price about right now, mathews at 8 and jaya at 9 aint the norm
yeah i realised that as i was typing it screaming but couldn't be bothered to say two of those i mentioned. very weird situation at the moment
No problem
Off to the County ground now to watch Trescothick
Off to the County ground now to watch Trescothick
need a big partnership from this or the next.
sri lanka prob goin to have to see off 60 overs 2mo
sri lanka prob goin to have to see off 60 overs 2mo
Can still see england winning this, if they don't get a wicket in first ten overs, market could go crazy imo, but i really can't see england not taking 4 wickets on a day 5 pitch within about 40 overs max.
Sri Lanka need to bat to around half an hour before tea to save the match imo. By that time they will probably be around 160 ahead assuming slow scoring rates like today. Currently the draw is 3.55. I believe they need to maintain this partnership for around 45 mins in the morning to get draw down to 2. The next wicket whenever it is see the draw odds multiply by between 2 and 3. As there are only 4 wickets left(2 of them rabbits) the next 2 are both massive wickets such is the folly of using 2 nightwatchmen!
Apparently raining in Colombo and thunder storms forecast. If weather wasn't a factor the draw would be a lot higher. The short draw odds have factored in the weather.
Forecast looks good for a prompt 10am start in Colombo. http://www.weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/graph/CEXX0001?begHour=6&begDay=98...
good news
big green on england and the draw so sitting pretty
big green on england and the draw so sitting pretty
The extraordinary circumstances of England needing to win the match both to retain their No.1 status and to avoid losing the series, and that almost every batsman has got out when he has tried to force the pace on this pitch, is what's kept the Sri Lanka price down. If a run chase ensues and England get into trouble, normally a team would batten down the hatches and try to play out for a draw. England won't do that as they might as well lose 2-0 as 1-0 and will keep going for the runs even if losing wickets. Could end up with a T20 style run chase on a slow turning wicket.
all depends how long and how many SL get
if they leave a lead of less than say 120 then England are 1.01
if they leave a lead of less than say 120 then England are 1.01
Barely a cloud in the sky in Colombo today. Looking forward to an Eng win later.
Looking forward to an Eng win later.
yup
just watching some ufc/bellator fights then the cricket
bowl them out and knock them off before tea
just watching some ufc/bellator fights then the cricket
bowl them out and knock them off before tea
might go to pace for little bit before lunch if no luck in next 10 mins
another 40 and they should declare ......... if only for the psychological advantage.
agreed, got better player than mathews out this morning attacking
crazy to let him face balls with field back
crazy to let him face balls with field back
Anyone see those Eng bowling figures from this winter? The batsmen have been so, so negligent.
well bowled swann this match, however he really needs to keep his mouth shut, never seen a player abuse his team mates like him
Johnny rant... If we were to win this match by close to ten wickets, there won't be much difference between our run/wkt taken and run/wkt given over the whole winter. Unlike the slaughters we handed out to India and aus in the previous 15 months we have only failed in one area... Batting. And even then only against spin really. Admittedly this is not a small facet of the game in Asia, but you live and learn. Bowling has been absolutely brilliant all winter, though a few late order whacks did cost us dear in galle and Abu dhabi.
Good use of review there.This could get interesting!
So is worcester sauce, Step and all the otehrs still backing teh draw?
I only just got up and can't believe the odds got so low on england. Greened up quickly for nice profit...
did you miss laying the draw yesterday afternoon as well
STEPTOES YARD 04 Apr 12 10:40
I wasnt saying it will be a draw because england scoring slow, they are doing it right
my point was that draw price will drop for combination of slow scoring and lack of wickets with pitch at present looking ok
fwiw as said yesterday think england will win the test but draw was always coming in from 4 if england didnt lose wicket in last session
I wasnt saying it will be a draw because england scoring slow, they are doing it right
my point was that draw price will drop for combination of slow scoring and lack of wickets with pitch at present looking ok
fwiw as said yesterday think england will win the test but draw was always coming in from 4 if england didnt lose wicket in last session
Draw backers would of made a good profit on this game m8
Draw backers would of made a good profit on this game m8
The draw was a major player in this game right from day one.The general consensus was that the draw would trade lower and it did so, as its turned out, it won't be a factor in the finish but it quite easily could have been. It provided a relatively safe trade.
The beauty about test matches, is that if you have patience, and can have a bite of foresight into what might occur, it can bring surprisingly good results.
The beauty about test matches, is that if you have patience, and can have a bite of foresight into what might occur, it can bring surprisingly good results.
Please dont type stuff on here jez that is simply a not what I said
I have said throughout this thread that England will WIN, I also said when draw was 4+ that it would go much lower with this pitch, it ended up at 1.76
Dont need smart arses on here
I have said throughout this thread that England will WIN, I also said when draw was 4+ that it would go much lower with this pitch, it ended up at 1.76
Dont need smart arses on here
I just did big bets on ENG at 3s and 4s. Risky, I admit but I felt they had to win this match and the batting rot would stop...
If anything I got off draw too soon a couple of times over last day and a half but have a nice green thanks
Step. You are the biggest "smart arse" here. And you were certainly going on a lot about the draw the other day...
Like I said the other day well done jez
You made an excellent call mate
You made an excellent call mate
Same for me SY, could have locked in more green with a bit more patience.
both those who greened up would have those that didn't could of
if you asking what i did
i backed the draw again at 3.6 when the 2nd night watchman got out
and layed 3.4 an over later
going to end up winning £200 on the game
if you asking what i did
i backed the draw again at 3.6 when the 2nd night watchman got out
and layed 3.4 an over later
going to end up winning £200 on the game
Well im going to leave our conversation there mate. As said well done.
i should have has alot more green on england, but my own greed got in the way, plan was to lay off draw green at evs if i got the chance, i didnt ... fool
those 2 wickets from swann at the end of last night cost me dear
I reckon Sri Lanka went plenty low enough when Strauss went. Didn't see the market.
16/17 from memory - was better when cook went - back side dropped to 13
actually hoping for a wicket now as have a lot sat at 1.01!!
never in doubt once KP started smashing the bowling all over the park on day 3
at one point people were discussing leads of 250+ on first innings then but 185 was more than enough
at one point people were discussing leads of 250+ on first innings then but 185 was more than enough
So Bresnan is now played 11 won 11. I'd never drop him!
And monty and swann have played together seven or eight times and we've never won.
two hours of that bad weather that was being mooted would have given you draw backers a result.
So Bresnan is now played 11 won 11. I'd never drop him!
But Bresnan hasnt won the 11 matches he has just been lucky to be part of a successful team. Im not saying he didnt contribute to some of them because he did but only got 2 wickets and 5 runs in this one and it probably wouldnt have made any difference if he played in the 4 losing matches this winter as the bowling was strong without him but it was the batting that let them down. Stuart Broad averaged 20 with the ball and 21 with the bat against Sri Lanka therefore he walks back in to the team when fit. In that respect Bresnan is unlucky as well as lucky to play for a successful team.
But Bresnan hasnt won the 11 matches he has just been lucky to be part of a successful team. Im not saying he didnt contribute to some of them because he did but only got 2 wickets and 5 runs in this one and it probably wouldnt have made any difference if he played in the 4 losing matches this winter as the bowling was strong without him but it was the batting that let them down. Stuart Broad averaged 20 with the ball and 21 with the bat against Sri Lanka therefore he walks back in to the team when fit. In that respect Bresnan is unlucky as well as lucky to play for a successful team.
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