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Olympics 2012

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Mystic Wind
11 Jul 12 13:38
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Date Joined: 21 Mar 03
| Topic/replies: 412 | Blogger: Mystic Wind's blog
My first bet of the Olympics (won't be my last!). Boonen looks tremendous value, surely the Tour De France boys will be too knackered.

0.5pts Tom Boonen @ 12/1

http://espn.go.com/olympics/cycling/story/_/id/7936723/tom-boonen-skipping-tour-de-france-put-focus-2012-london-games

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Replies: 491
By:
Teacherofsmallpeople
When: 23 Jul 12 23:50
Set himself up nicely with the win too
By:
JustWinBaby
When: 24 Jul 12 03:57
Nobody can beat the sky train
By:
layingisthewayforward
When: 24 Jul 12 11:06
Mystic, unless Oddschecker is fibbing, he is 25's with PP and 20 in a couple of other places..
By:
Teacherofsmallpeople
When: 24 Jul 12 22:05
Yup - 25/1 will tempt a few of my pennies e/w
By:
Mystic Wind
When: 25 Jul 12 09:09
On the drift since I backed him, due to a fall in Poland. Broke a rib but still expecting to race!
By:
jumper
When: 25 Jul 12 09:17
http://www.velonation.com/News/ID/12484/Boonen-over-rib-injury-and-confirmed-for-Olympic-Games.aspx

Looks like he's used the Tour de Wallone to test his strength and fitness. I'm on and I can desert Peter Sagan either. Hats off to Team GB (mostly Sky) if they can dominate enough to set it up for Cavendish but not at about evens.
By:
rogerthebutler
When: 25 Jul 12 10:04
Complete novice here but is this a Team Event (like the Tour De France) or is it every man for himself.

If there is no team medals at stake, why try to set the race up for one guy, even if he is in your (national) team?
By:
TheVis
When: 25 Jul 12 11:40
It works the same as a stage of the Tour in that the team (GB) will try and work the race to give their best hope (Cavendish) a shot at winning.  Of course it may not pan out like that as Cav may not get up box hill 9 times and they may adjust plans on the fly + there is a very good chance of a break away at some stage which could complicate things.
By:
rogerthebutler
When: 25 Jul 12 12:03
Is there a Team competition within the race too, like in, say, cross country running?

Seems soul-destroying for team members who aren't their top boy to have to go through all this without a chance for a medal.

'Scuse the ignorance.
By:
NonShy..
When: 25 Jul 12 12:21
i am on boonen as well... big price and worth e/w flutter
By:
donny osmond
When: 25 Jul 12 12:23
a few years back we had to import an italian to ride for us and couldnt fill our quota of team places


whats the gb team

millar, froome, wiggins and cav ?

any more


millar may be sent to cover breakaways which could make him a decent outside bet
By:
donny osmond
When: 25 Jul 12 12:39
Mark Cavendish (age: 27; born: Isle of Man)
Chris Froome (age: 27; born: Nairobi, Kenya)
David Millar (age: 35; born: Mtarfa, Malta)
Ian Stannard (age: 25; born: Chelmsford)
Bradley Wiggins (age: 32; born: Ghent, Belgium)


still importing them i see Mischief
By:
donny osmond
When: 25 Jul 12 12:39
Mark Cavendish (age: 27; born: Isle of Man)
Chris Froome (age: 27; born: Nairobi, Kenya)
David Millar (age: 35; born: Mtarfa, Malta)
Ian Stannard (age: 25; born: Chelmsford)
Bradley Wiggins (age: 32; born: Ghent, Belgium)


still importing them i see Mischief
By:
layingisthewayforward
When: 25 Jul 12 13:39
anywon heard anymore about his injury?
By:
NonShy..
When: 25 Jul 12 14:05
tom boonen riding up box hill loop as we speak!
By:
ArberPirate
When: 25 Jul 12 17:24
I have Boonen covered at 25s, but worthy of consideration is big Thor. My understanding is that he also skipped the Tour to concentrate on this race and it's exactly the kind of race that he does well at, as he is able to both climb and sprint adeptly. His price is a decent darts score, presumably because he is in the same 'team' as EBH, but I can't help but wonder why he has aimed his season at this race, if he is only there as a domestique. Worth a punt at the prices and even if he hits the front 400m out as part of EBHs leadout, only to disappear, you will be able to trade out for a freebie.
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 25 Jul 12 20:44
arberpirate here is an arb for you:

Olympics - Womens handball, Norway 2.75 betfred, tote, sky, b olye, bluesq, 888, bwin, bodog, wh, youwin, coral
                            Lay 2.66
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 25 Jul 12 21:02
Can lay at 2.64
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 25 Jul 12 22:35
2.6
By:
marychain1
When: 26 Jul 12 08:36
Is Hushovd lining up? No bookies offering a price.
By:
NonShy..
When: 26 Jul 12 09:05
thor has been sick and is not racing
By:
ClayDavis
When: 26 Jul 12 20:17
I like Fabian Cancellara a lot for this race. Course will suit his style. Will attack and will be very hard to pull back
By:
marychain1
When: 26 Jul 12 23:35
There's 50k to go after Box Hill, cant see it being anything other than a bunch sprint.
By:
layingisthewayforward
When: 27 Jul 12 14:28
Had a few quid on Boonen e/w.
By:
Flying_V
When: 27 Jul 12 16:47
Boonen at 28.0 & Sagan at 9.0 my bets.

Feels like a Ronde style last 50km finish..and if Boonen hadn't cracked a Polski rib I would be a lot more confident. Cav obviously the man to beat..and the Aussies & Germans will join up with the "Superheroes of Team GB" to make it a 15 man effort to close the breaks down...but everyone else has to try and use MSR tactics or they might as well not bother.

Some rain might make it really interesting...

Did my conkers laying Bettini 8 years ago in Athens...so should know better than to play an unknown event on an unknown course....
By:
bix
When: 27 Jul 12 20:47
Should be a brilliant race but have big doubts about Cav. getting this one even with German and Aussie help.
By:
layingisthewayforward
When: 27 Jul 12 22:41
anywon know what time its due to finish approx cheers.
By:
Tucho
When: 27 Jul 12 23:15
3.40pm finish

ish
By:
layingisthewayforward
When: 28 Jul 12 00:15
cheers tucho.
By:
DHB
When: 28 Jul 12 00:48
Frankly don't know enough to post an opinion on who will win. However, the odds on Cavendish to be in the top three are a farce. Since at least 1972 there's only been one time the road race has approached any sort of bunch sprint. That was 2008 where the first two were Sami Sanchez and Cancellara who are hardly traditional sprinters.
By:
tambhoy5
When: 28 Jul 12 01:30
Andre Greipel for me.
By:
NorwichRob
When: 28 Jul 12 08:20
Sagan for me, very strong and can adjust to most race situations - can go it alone if need be.
By:
ClayDavis
When: 28 Jul 12 08:28
Gilbert may be a better bet for the Belguims?
By:
bb66
When: 28 Jul 12 09:14
@ DHB

it all depends on the course layout, this one is on the easy (flat) side, so compare it with recent WCs on similar courses (in recent also with limited numbers of riders for each team)
By:
Wildone
When: 28 Jul 12 09:31
how long is the road race supposed to take??

i need to see how i can fit this in with my other bets tonightCrazyLaugh
By:
themover
When: 28 Jul 12 10:00
Goooooooooooo Cav Cool
By:
bix
When: 28 Jul 12 10:01
156 miles.finish about 4pm
By:
Wildone
When: 28 Jul 12 10:10
good, looks like my footy bets will be settled before the end of the raceHappy
By:
GoBallistic
When: 28 Jul 12 10:28
This race boils down to the form of Wiggins and Froome. If they are running on fumes (as perhaps they should be by now) then GB won't have the firepower to keep it all together and a late attack will succeed. Would love to see Vino get a medal in those circumstances.

Cavendish will be on top form. Expect to see him do better than expected on the climbs. Goss next best if it comes to a sprint as he comes into his own over extreme distances
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