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By:
tobermory 23 May 20 18:57
Yeah, I think there is something to it looking at the case figures. I think the flaw in the Ferguson modelling was the assumption that everyone is equally likely to be infected. Seems they were coming up with a worst case scenario and it was taken to be the most likely scenario. .................. Another flaw was the assumption that everyone infected would be equally affected, most don't know they've had it. |
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63,000 dead according to the times
experts say 10% have had virus 60/80% was said to be needed for herd immunity 6 x 63,000 - 378,000 8 x 63,000= 504,00 bloody good modelling I,d say before a death had actually happened, not to say it woiuld have played out like,but the stats seem to back him up |
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But herd immunity is in London already isn't it, with, as you say, 10% infected.
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Tory supporters have no fear. There is a ready made replacement for Dom - Laura Kuenssberg.
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If he's not sacked by bobo tubbs then bobo needs to go as well
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Boris can't sack him after yesterdays speech defending him, all he can hope for is for DC to resign..
and I'm pretty sure he will. |