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Have Sweden flattened the curve without trashing the economy?

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Replies: 680
By:
1st time poster
When: 20 May 20 19:03
don't shoot the messenger but a study out today ,says if uk went in to lockdown a week earlier 11,500 lives may have been saved
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 20 May 20 20:31
Another masterpiece by Neil Ferguson?
By:
1st time poster
When: 20 May 20 20:49
only read the headline IT, mail on line
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 20 May 20 21:21
You read it wrong.

It suggests the death toll would have been 11200 had lockdown started a week earlier.

Looking at the model it was extremely basic. No element in it for carehomes and 10 million key workers still being about and about from what I can see. Extremely basic and useless in the real world. Would be like trying to find value in horseracing markets just using the position of the horses in their last race. Completely pointless. John Dagpunar is wasting everyone's time with that.

This article is a preprint and has not been certified by peer review [what does this mean?]. It reports new medical research that has yet to be evaluated and so should not be used to guide clinical practice.

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.09.20096859v2.full.pdf
By:
Angoose
When: 20 May 20 21:29
That’s him told Grin
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 20 May 20 21:52
Useless but showing lockdown works

So you better attempt to rubbish it.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 20 May 20 21:52
Useless but showing lockdown works

So you better attempt to rubbish it.
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 21 May 20 14:08
"Sweden tops Europe COVID-19 deaths per capita over last seven days"

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-sweden-casualties/sweden-tops-europe-covid-19-deaths-per-capita-over-last-seven-days-idUSKBN22V26A
By:
1st time poster
When: 21 May 20 14:29
put it another post but didn't get any bites,but some number,s stack up to say fergerson model was very accurate

experts reckon 10% of population have had virus

60/805 was considered needed for herd immunity

the guy on THE TIMES stands by daily on his 63,000 excessive deaths figure

so for 60% herd immunity  6 x 63,000  =  378,000

so for 80% herd immunity  8 x 63,000  =   504,000


not a bad model from 10 weeks ago
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 28 May 20 17:11
Lockdowns work


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By:
InsiderTrader
When: 28 May 20 17:23

May 21, 2020 -- 2:29PM, 1st time poster wrote:


put it another post but didn't get any bites,but some number,s stack up to say fergerson model was very accurateexperts reckon 10% of population have had virus60/805 was considered needed for herd immunitythe guy on THE TIMES stands by daily on his 63,000 excessive deaths figureso for 60% herd immunity  6 x 63,000  =  378,000so for 80% herd immunity  8 x 63,000  =   504,000not a bad model from 10 weeks ago


60/805 was considered needed for herd immunity

Was but that number has changed to 10%-20%.

As Norway has shown lockdown not required if you social distance and wash hands.

By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 28 May 20 17:43
Lol insider traitor still plugging away on his worst own goal thread
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 29 May 20 11:47
.
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 29 May 20 14:00

May 28, 2020 -- 5:43PM, ----you-have-to-laugh--- wrote:


Lol insider traitor still plugging away on his worst own goal thread


It what way is it an 'own goal'?

There is no evidence whatsoever that lockdown saved one life in the UK and not doing it in Sweden cost lives.

You can support Boris and his government as much as you like but until evidence is produced to suggest lockdown saved lives I will continue to say Boris got it wrong.

By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 29 May 20 14:02
You are deluded
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 29 May 20 14:07

May 29, 2020 -- 2:02PM, ----you-have-to-laugh--- wrote:


You are deluded


You are completely blinkered in your sycophant style support of Boris, Macron etc and the few scientists that supported trashing the economy with absurd lockdowns of the fit and healthy.

You seem unable to debate.

If Sweden had hit tens of thousands of deaths I would have been the first to admit to got it wrong.

By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 29 May 20 14:10
No you are blinkered by starting these threads on ideas you find elsewhere.

Infesting the forum with whack job copy threads
By:
Fire-and-Ice
When: 29 May 20 14:15
Professor Ferguson should lose his phd.
He has frightened the conformists into a state of total inertia/idleness.
Tickle their chins, they may come out, the cowards
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 29 May 20 14:15

May 29, 2020 -- 2:10PM, ----you-have-to-laugh--- wrote:


No you are blinkered by starting these threads on ideas you find elsewhere.Infesting the forum with whack job copy threads


'Whack Job'?

Quite bizarre. Do you think the Swedes are 'Whack Jobs'? How about Norway?

What makes you so sure that lockdown has had a positive effect?

By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 29 May 20 14:19
The thread ideas are from whack job sites

I've explained the difference to you several times before



Hey ho, no doubt when flustered you will try the tactic again
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 29 May 20 14:22
Sweden boldly holding on to number one spot in the per capita deaths league.


Go Sweden.
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 29 May 20 14:23
So you think the Swedish government and their scientists are 'whack jobs'?

Is any scientist that questions lockdown a 'whack job'?
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 29 May 20 14:27
Lol

Your English comprehension is letting you down badly here
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 29 May 20 14:46

May 29, 2020 -- 2:27PM, ----you-have-to-laugh--- wrote:


LolYour English comprehension is letting you down badly here


Refusing to answer basic question.

You rather just write insults than put forward a case.

By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 29 May 20 14:49
I have answered the question

And added comment that I have previously answered same

If you are not able to comprehend or choose not to it is not my fault
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 29 May 20 14:55

May 29, 2020 -- 2:23PM, InsiderTrader wrote:


So you think the Swedish government and their scientists are 'whack jobs'?Is any scientist that questions lockdown a 'whack job'?


Not interested in debating.

Resorting to have a go at my disability instead.

By:
InsiderTrader
When: 29 May 20 14:56
Shame you cannot have a proper discussion.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 29 May 20 15:02
I refer you to my earlier answer to the very same question

We have engaged in debate, you have lost and are now being silly

Because you can't understand english
By:
Angoose
When: 29 May 20 19:16
Sweden left out of Nordic border reopenings
A Nordic rift has opened up over plans to ease coronavirus restrictions, with Sweden excluded from plans by Denmark and Norway to reopen their borders to tourists from some countries next month.

During news conferences taking place simultaneously on Friday, the Danish prime minister, Mette Frederiksen, and the Norwegian prime minister, Erna Solberg, said most restrictions would end on 15 June.

The leaders said they would allow tourists to travel between the two countries, and Denmark will also welcome tourists from Germany and Iceland.

But tourists from Sweden will still not be able to visit, with Frederiksen telling journalists that the two countries were in different places when it came to the coronavirus.

On Friday Sweden’s public health authority reported a further 84 deaths from Covid-19. The country’s total death toll from the outbreak now stands at 4,350, about four times the combined total of the other Nordic countries. Sweden has chosen not to impose the kinds of compulsory lockdown measures imposed by its neighbours and elsewhere across Europe, instead opting for public health advice.

Earlier this week, Sweden’s foreign minister, Ann Linde, warned that excluding Sweden from moves to open borders across the Nordic region would be a political decision and not justifiable on health grounds. On Thursday, Norway said it would reopen its borders to business travel from all its Nordic neighbours.
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 29 May 20 20:03
They achieved the title of the thread. Well done Sweden.
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 29 May 20 20:45
Flattening the curve = having the highest death rate in the world.



What a time to be alive!
By:
1st time poster
When: 29 May 20 20:56
brazil going to blow everyone out of the water ,going to get my thinking head on and try and make a connection between
bolsanaro/trump/doris/cumming,s must be something there, just cant put my finger on it[ said the bishop to the choirboy ]
By:
casemoney
When: 29 May 20 20:58
Mile behind the Scots Per million death rate , Has Jimmy any connection to them ??
By:
TheBetterBettor
When: 01 Jun 20 07:51
The whole lockdown thing was a waste of time and money....

Did you see the scenes yesterday at Durdle door..... No one cares...
By:
potlis
When: 01 Jun 20 10:00
No surprise that folks now have a “who cares” attitude, we were told this virus was a deadly killer, a monster, the reality is almost no one knows anyone who’s died of it, which is why fear has now turned to indifference, virus! what virus? once again they overplayed project fear.
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 03 Jun 20 09:50
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By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 03 Jun 20 10:39
Bloody hell
By:
lapsy pa
When: 03 Jun 20 10:54
Never a good idea imo,you have countries now that can domestically keep their economy going as have little/no cases,too few in the population infected to have herd immunity,only deaths and a half economy this route.
How long will this continue while other countries are relatively good?
By:
InsiderTrader
When: 03 Jun 20 11:00
Interesting the countries they choose to compare Sweden to.

For instance why is Iceland on their list? A country of under 400k people with 10 deaths. France and UK are closer to Sweden than Iceland.

Sweden is mid-rank in Europe. With countries that locked down above and below it.

Lockdown itself is not the issue. It is all about how the old/vulverable were cared for.

Remember when this thread started everyone was saying we need 'lockdown' to flatten the curve.

Well everywhere lockdown or no lockdown has flattened the curve.
By:
Angoose
When: 03 Jun 20 11:03
Are Estonia, Denmark, Finland, and Norway valid countries for comparison purposes ?
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