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InsiderTrader
30 Mar 20 13:45
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 Aug 05
| Topic/replies: 14,569 | Blogger: InsiderTrader's blog
I have been thinking how did they do so well to 'only' have 3,200 death given how much covering up there was in the first month by local officials. We then look at the rest of the world and deaths in Italy, Spain, New York etc and we hear officials in democratic countries saying tens of thousands are likely to die. So are the China numbers real?

If they are fake is that not really bad for the rest of the world as it meant we did not take the threat seriously enough to start with?

This article in the mail (I know, I know the Mail is not liked on here) suggests the China numbers might be too low.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8165717/Locals-Wuhan-believe-42-000-people-died-coronavirus.html

Locals in Wuhan believe 42,000 people may have died in the coronavirus outbreak there not the 3,200 claimed by Chinese authorities

Wuhan locals claim coronavirus has killed 42,000 people in the city alone, more than ten times the national figure claimed by Chinese authorities.

The killer bug, which originated in Wuhan in China's Hubei Province has claimed the lives of 3,300 people and infected more than 81,000.

Of those, 3,182 deaths were reported in Hubei Province.

But residents in Wuhan claim 500 urns have been handed out to grieving families every day from seven separate funeral homes all serving the city.......

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Replies: 27
By:
dave1357
When: 30 Mar 20 14:00
Is this really worthy of a new thread?  How does this astonishing whataboutism help with the situation that we find ourselves?
By:
Petraco
When: 30 Mar 20 14:00
I realise this is only anecdotal evidence but I work with a lady who was born in Wuhan, and still has family there, and from late January she was telling me that the Chinese authorities had been covering up the amount of deaths from early on.  Her family were telling of hundreds each day, and bear in mind they were in lockdown even those figures were probably on the low side.
By:
mafeking
When: 30 Mar 20 14:29
can probably add a couple of noughts on the official Chinese figure. in any case who in the west would believe a single thing ever reported by the Chinese authorities ? a bucket load of salt is needed
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 30 Mar 20 14:32
I'd imagine most western countries would have had enough dealings with China to know if the figures were real or not. My guess is they've been massively under-reported but then our authorities would have been aware of that better than anyone.

The real knowledge was in the pathology of the virus, not in any numbers. Once you knew what it did, how contagious it was and - importantly - how easily it could be spread by people not yet showing any symptoms then that should have put every country on red alert.

For us, we did well with that guy from Brighton who went from Singapore to the Alps and then home. We tested, traced, isolated and cared for the affected there well.

That should have been enough of an indication of how serious this had the potential to be.

Once the virus escaped in Lombardy we should have been looking at the number of flights coming in from Milan, sh!t ourselves and reacted far stronger and quicker than we eventually did.

That's where the damage was done.
By:
saddo
When: 30 Mar 20 14:33
dave, had they warned the rest of the world about how bad it really was, they might have prepared earlier, differently and better?
By:
Petraco
When: 30 Mar 20 14:34
Another anecdote, but one that will never be able to be proven by the West is that the local Chinese in Wuhan have never believed it had its source in the market...  Look at the local research laboratories and check their personnel records for a more likely origin of the virus.
By:
moisok
When: 30 Mar 20 14:49
dave would seek to defend the socialist communist party in china
By:
blank
When: 30 Mar 20 15:04
It's not just the numbers from China but also their actions. They were criticising countries for putting up travel restrictions when the WHO declared a global health emergency, now they're doing the exact same since the problem has shifted abroad.
By:
1st time poster
When: 30 Mar 20 15:09
uk deaths in last 24 hrs down again,if the lockdown hasn't took effect yet does this mean we,ll miss the 1000 a day numbers from Italy spain,
or as uk are only counting deaths in hospital,only counting deaths signed off by relatives etc are our numbers worse than useless as a guide
By:
sageform
When: 30 Mar 20 15:10
We don't know how early the first case in China was but once they decided to clamp down they were very efficient. Not sure citizens of most countries would tolerate police walking into their homes and taking contacts of infected individuals away by force.
By:
cooperman
When: 30 Mar 20 15:21
They initially tried to blacken the name of the whistleblower Doctor who tried to make people aware of the problem. Don't think anyone has placed trust in the numbers declared by the Chinese and I'm told that regional party leaders were reluctant to pass on correct numbers in case it reflected badly on them.
By:
1st time poster
When: 30 Mar 20 15:25
43,000 mentioned in whuan rather than the 3000 delared
By:
saddo
When: 30 Mar 20 15:35
If they deliberately failed to warn us of the extent and virulence of the virus, why would they do that? To maximise the damage to the rest of the world economy? Can't have been simple embarrassment.
By:
brassneck
When: 30 Mar 20 15:43
the UK failed to act when the who told them to act,they are playing their own system ,i hope they are correct.The USA are also playing their own system.
By:
Injera
When: 30 Mar 20 15:45
PP - Bullseye.
Once the virus escaped in Lombardy we should have been looking at the number of flights coming in from Milan, sh!t ourselves and reacted far stronger and quicker than we eventually did.

That's where the damage was done.


I’ve just had a look at LHR arrivals for this afternoon and evening. 5 are coming in from Rome....
By:
moisok
When: 30 Mar 20 15:45
REMEMBER THE NAME       CHINA 

remember who started it

and who covered it up
By:
brassneck
When: 30 Mar 20 15:53
the first reported case of the virus came from China what is never told is that another reported case in California happened on the exact same day.
By:
moisok
When: 30 Mar 20 16:22
who was it  where did they come from?   link please

thank you
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 30 Mar 20 16:23
inj - if any flights are allowed at all, there should be a bilateral agreement where all passengers and staff are tested at gates and then also when they land with both countries agreeing to the standards.


Given the damage this has already done, it's f*&^ing irresponsible to be on the brink of getting on top of it but potentially allowing in new infectees unchecked. Just the height of stupidity.
By:
potlis
When: 30 Mar 20 16:28
The timings been excellent for the Chinese, what with Presidential Elections just around the corner and Trump having been a nightmare for them. Trumps second term very much depended on the situation with the USA economy.
By:
moisok
When: 30 Mar 20 16:29
chinese military looking very smug at the moment
By:
Injera
When: 30 Mar 20 16:31
Could backfire on China if the world seizes the opportunity. Subsidise UK business with zero tax for 5 years if they produce some of what we import.
By:
tobermory
When: 30 Mar 20 16:33
The economy crashing is hardly going to blamed on Trump, certainly not by his supporters.
By:
casemoney
When: 30 Mar 20 16:35
The only Chinese Numbers of any Relevance would be those on your Local Restaurants Menu ...

HTH
By:
cooperman
When: 30 Mar 20 16:35
Given that 90% of US pharmacuticals are imported from China, apart from massive amounts of hospital PPE the US can't manage without them.
By:
Injera
When: 30 Mar 20 16:43
Trump said last year he wanted US pharmaceuticals to takeover from Chinese imports...
By:
1st time poster
When: 30 Mar 20 17:45
raab,gove,pritti, farage,etc all reckon china face a day of reckoning, for 4 years till xmas all 4 were saying china was where the future is we can  get a better eal with china than the EU can, we,re all remoaners now Laugh
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