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23 Mar 20
17:53
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06 Feb 05
Folk have been in total isolation for 3 weeks in the Lombardy region and yet reported deaths continue to rise. Unless they entered isolation already infected, 21 days ago, from where have they picked up their infections? It appears that they must have been virus free on entering lock-down but have become infected whilst in isolation!! Puzzling.
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Replies: 15
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Airbourne?
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Currently Italy have around 60K cases. Impossible to know when those folks were diagnosed.
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jasonbourne?
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Takes a while to die from infection in lots of cases. 3-7 days from infection to symptons, then another 7-14 days to the pneumonia stage, then however long it takes to either die or recover. A lot of people with less severe symptons, that took longer to become severe, are dieing because they couldn't get treatment when their symptons were less severe.
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as Clydebank says
some infected too by their partners who had it earlier | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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4700 cases again another 600 deaths,although decreasing very slowly.
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Cases in Italy have grown by huge numbers on a daily basis
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Active cases on 1 March was 1,577, had jumped to 46,638 by yesterday.
And that's the problem for the health services, new cases emerging must faster than cases being closed out, they are being swamped. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Lombardy was put on lockdown on 7 March, 16 days ago, just over two weeks, not the three quoted above.
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Are you saying the case o/s are all on ventilators
Or just in icu and only a fraction able to have ventilators? | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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I have no idea how many of these cases require ventilators or to be in ICU.
Likely that not all will need such treatment. However, it is clear that some patients are having to be kept at home when they do require to be admitted to hospital. If you watch some of the reports from C4 news, you see such cases first hand. Whole families watching a seriously ill relative gasping for breath whilst a Red Cross volunteer tells them that the patient will have to stay at home tonight, they'll check if a bed becomes available in the morning. I've said it before, but the medical staff dealing with this will be changed forever at the end of this. And not in a good way. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Italian figures released for today.
4,789 new cases, 601 more deaths, total now 6,077, 408 people recovered, 7,432 in total, 50,418 active cases. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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That's two successive days where the death toll has fallen from the peak of 793 on 21 March, 651 and 601 last two days.
Similar trend for new cases, 6,557 on 21 March, 5,560 and 4,789 last two days. Would be nice to think that this trend will continue. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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goose - that's a bit of good news in these difficult times
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Running out of Vunerable people?
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