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Replies: 63
By:
Baphornet
When: 17 Jan 19 13:19
indeed, Hanx
By:
jollyswagman
When: 17 Jan 19 13:19
as bad as may's deal is i have to support it, its either that or no deal. it is after all only for the transitional period, the real negotiations are yet to come.
By:
jed.davison
When: 17 Jan 19 13:22
Fair enough.

I take the view that No Brexit at all is better than May's deal. If we strike May's deal, that is that. If we don't, and we are forced to stay in, then at some point in the very near future we will have another vote after which we will leave with no deal and no compunction.
By:
Hanx
When: 17 Jan 19 13:34
Not always.

I would have liked to invoke Article 50 immediately after the Referendum result was declared, told Civil Service twonks to prepare for a trade exit on WTO terms (giving industry the - or 'a' - certainty they required), unilaterally guarranteed EU citizens rights in this country and defied the EU not to give reciprocal arrangements for UK citizens in Europe.

I would have actually offered citizenship to any EU passport holder that wanted to remain, had no criminal record and who had paid tax here for 5 years.

I would have told remainers that this was going to hurt in the short-term. That their project was over but the ideals of freedom, equality of opportunity, toleration and civility would not only live on but be strengthened. If they didn't like that and believed that 'winning' was more impartant then tough - and they were free to relocate to the EU.

I would not have accepted any risible notion of there being a 'Divorce Bill' to pay. It is a membership fee we have been paying and paying well since we joined The Common Market and that we would not be paying it anymore other than to honour our commitments to existing projects and pensions of British employees of the EU)

I would have outlined all the legislation that would now be possible outside the EU - from Nationalisation of the Railways (if that floats your boat), to export arrangements of live cattle to introduction of the Tampon Tax.

I would have used my speech at Davos to re-iterate that Britain is opn for business, that Brexit in itself is neither a good thing or a bad thing, but how I was going to use it would be positive, outgoing, democratic and visionary and urged global business to lobby the EU to engage constructively with these proposals.(I would not have reached into my back catalogue and scolded the technolgy companies)

I would, in short, have mobilised business, the public and the cvil service behind my position of leaving under WTO arrangements - then sat down to challenge the EU to come up with a better deal
By:
jollyswagman
When: 17 Jan 19 13:35
i know many dont regard her deal as brexit but it takes us out and gives time to negotiate a new deal. in the transitional period it is worse than remaining as we have no say in new rules but that will be limited to the time it takes to make the final deal (likely many years sadly). that we cant even get a deal to leave and this is the easy part is more than a bit worrying. if the vote is completely ignored i fear more jo cox type situations.

whatever anyone's position is the whole thing has exposed the westminster politicians for the useless tools they are, we dont just need to leave the eu we need fundamental reform at home. i havent got a clue what's going to happen but i have a strong dislike of the two main parties, maybe they will be finished off.
By:
Baphornet
When: 17 Jan 19 14:03
the problem & all ensuing problems is May. That really should be accentuated, She was out of her depth from day one, i can't be bothered anymore to list the errors she's contrived, or the fact she has wasted 2 1/2 years faffing about & learning Flemish. And she's still there! I therefor take it back about her not performing miracles; & have renamed her Saint Theresa of Whitehall.
By:
Hanx
When: 17 Jan 19 14:19
Amazing isn't it?

You'd have thought 'the party of business' would have had some inkling of how to conduct a negotiation i.e have a vision of what you want, a back-up plan, some impetus and drive and never just blindly accept the other side's agenda.

That plus some (metaphorical) cojones .....
By:
jollyswagman
When: 17 Jan 19 14:32
if we arent prepared to honor our commitments via the divorce bill i dont think we'll get anywhere. as soon as we put any proposal to them they will immediately say 'what about our cash?'.

the trouble with leaving on wto is it only deals with tariffs. it doesnt deal with regulatory conformity so exporters would be faced with major hurdles. third country controls are onerous and like it or lump it we will end up adopting regulations that fit with the eu or we wont be selling to their market which will always remain important to us. the services sector, where we do well, would be inconvenienced massively, they will have to physically have offices within the eu.

imo no deal likely involves severe pain, it doesnt matter how much mitigation is done (and the work should have started as soon as cameron decided to have a referendum) how it actually plays out is down to how the eu reacts, just how many of its rules will it follow. today i heard it described as mutually assured destruction and that seems about right, they dont seem ready for no deal either. so they will move but they will move at their pace seeking to minimise disruption to themselves, as they have done with air and freight. i just dont think we have enough leverage to take this approach.
By:
1st time poster
When: 17 Jan 19 14:40
these where the lies come in when the brexiteers tell most of the world trades on wto terms,according to a trade expert on sky earlier they don't almost no one does, they trade on deaLS they've made whilst under the umberella of wto,so for a period of time we go from a G7  trading country to a tinpot 3rd world countryive no idea which is true,but if the ERG explained it in these terms after all this time they,d become a laughing stock,media pundits just take it as fact that we trade  and the rest of the world trade on wto terms whilst expert after expert in trade say no country you,ve ever heard of actually does,
By:
jollyswagman
When: 17 Jan 19 14:43
erg are the biggest liars in the whole debacle, personally i blame them most for us ending up with such a bad deal. only a couple of days ago mcvey was saying some rubbish about a transitional period if we leave without a deal Cry
By:
Baphornet
When: 17 Jan 19 14:47
there are no scapegoats; it is MAYS deal!
By:
1st time poster
When: 17 Jan 19 14:51
I think mrs may gives the game away when she says they may be willing to put in legal text that workers rights,enviromental rights,health,food regulation etc, think most people would take this as a given but if mrs may is thinking of making such things legaly binding in the future relationship, in shows that in the wrong hands ie the ERG,boris and co will be trading their granny for a gooddeal and if we have to let the usual example chol chicken in from the usa so be it,and if we have to become Singapore on thames tax haven to entice trade , business here so be it, all this whilst cuddly duddly rees mog goes on about childrens shoes,baby clothes etc,etc,
not saying any of the above is right or wrong but lets at least have some honesty
anyone thinking rees mogg has spent his whole life wanting to reduce vat,tariffs on childrens footwear,needs their bumps feeling
By:
1st time poster
When: 17 Jan 19 14:52
I think mrs may gives the game away when she says they may be willing to put in legal text that workers rights,enviromental rights,health,food regulation etc, think most people would take this as a given but if mrs may is thinking of making such things legaly binding in the future relationship, in shows that in the wrong hands ie the ERG,boris and co will be trading their granny for a gooddeal and if we have to let the usual example chol chicken in from the usa so be it,and if we have to become Singapore on thames tax haven to entice trade , business here so be it, all this whilst cuddly duddly rees mog goes on about childrens shoes,baby clothes etc,etc,
not saying any of the above is right or wrong but lets at least have some honesty
anyone thinking rees mogg has spent his whole life wanting to reduce vat,tariffs on childrens footwear,needs their bumps feeling
By:
Hanx
When: 17 Jan 19 14:58
if we arent prepared to honor our commitments via the divorce bill i dont think we'll get anywhere. as soon as we put any proposal to them they will immediately say 'what about our cash?'.

Okay, what about 'their' cash?

I've said how I would have arrived at an easily identifiable, itemised amount, based on our commitment to existing infrastructure projects and EU pension commitments for British citizens employed by the EU. That is fair and moral.

But as we have seen with thei cavalier attitude to auditing accounts, production of an itemised bill of what we get for what we pay is not the EU's strong suit. Witness their throwing around of any number of figures (up to £100bn was mooted in some quarters) as the 'payment first - then talks' agenda (which is a wholly bogus agenda any way as I pointed out).

As I said, if the EU could offer a better deal than WTO, then this should have been scrutinised and any payment by us clearly delinated so we knew what we were getting for what we wre paying.

All too late for this now of course....
By:
Hanx
When: 17 Jan 19 15:03
This notion of it being a 'divorce' is an interesting one too, isn't it?

The idea that there is a 'divorce bill' to negotiate - you don't negotiate bills; you pay them!

Secondly that you get divorced solely on the basis of you establishing the future relationship you want with your former partner!

Eh?!!!

You'd like to think you will have a civil relationship with your former partner but I imagine one gets divorced to pursue a better life elsewhere.

Been precious little exposition of what this better life may look like, probably because Remainers have hijacked the microphone and Leavers have not stepped up to the plate when its been presented to them (Johnson, Gove, rees Mogg, Farage et al)
By:
Baphornet
When: 17 Jan 19 15:10
Been precious little exposition of what this better life may look like, probably because Remainers have hijacked the microphone and Leavers have not stepped up to the plate when its been presented to them (Johnson, Gove, rees Mogg, Farage et al)

probably the most succint post on here in recent weeks. I've been saying very similar (to anyone who listens) but not so eloquently
By:
1st time poster
When: 17 Jan 19 15:19
owen Patterson on again wto no problem ,don't blame the interviewer he probably doesn't no,but why don't they get a trade,wto expert up against the likes of pattterson and starting getting some truth put these erg guys under pressure to prove their thoughts are right
By:
jollyswagman
When: 17 Jan 19 15:20
i've grown a bit tired of the divorce analogy, we wont be pursuing a better life elsewhere as we will still have the eu as our biggest trading partner. there is no conceivable way we will make up any lost trade from the eu. its a simple fact that you do most trade with those closest to you so the eu will always be important to us.

i completely disagree about remainers hijacking the microphone, the erg and their clueless think tanks never struggle for air time. the problem is the erg havent a clue what they are talking about, they lie then lie some more. a more clued up press would ask them fairly simple questions which would expose how fraudulent they are. none of them have spent any time thinking about what our future relationship should look like. many of those who now scream for leaving without a deal were the ones who said it would all be so easy, they are clueless.

for me the best case is made by the leave alliance but they get zero publicity and have been shunned by the tory ultras.
By:
1st time poster
When: 17 Jan 19 15:20
owen Patterson on again wto no problem ,don't blame the interviewer he probably doesn't no,but why don't they get a trade,wto expert up against the likes of pattterson and starting getting some truth put these erg guys under pressure to prove their thoughts are right
By:
1st time poster
When: 17 Jan 19 15:22
owen Patterson on again wto no problem ,don't blame the interviewer he probably doesn't no,but why don't they get a trade,wto expert up against the likes of pattterson and starting getting some truth put these erg guys under pressure to prove their thoughts are right
By:
Baphornet
When: 17 Jan 19 15:22
i see you are having similar problems as my good self, 1stTP
By:
Hanx
When: 17 Jan 19 15:26
I think (given both sides obsession with winning) there has been no understanding of the work to do if we do get a proper Brexit.

This whole 'have your cake and eat it' nonsense is precisely that and never had any traction with me.

What I would like to see (as I outlined above) is a recognition of the basic decency of the majority of Remeiners and the values they have - toleration, belief in democracy, equality of opportunity etc - and how they can be driven forward post-Brexit.

Make it about their - well, I hope, all of our - core values, rather than calling them losers and forgetting about them.

Brexit initself is nothing (yup, you read that correctly).

What we make of Brexit and how hard we are prepared to work to achieve it - now there's the rub!
By:
jollyswagman
When: 17 Jan 19 15:31
the erg lot wont debate actual trade experts because they will be exposed as liars, i follow several on twitter and they mock the ignorance of the erg when they put out some new drivel.

Dmitry Grozoubinski on twitter @DmitryOpines is good, he is an australian former wto negotiator. he says he offers no opinion on brexit itself just on what different people say about trade. he is sometimes thought of as anti brexit but points out that is because it is mainly the brexit supporting bluffers who are talking sh1te.
By:
Baphornet
When: 17 Jan 19 15:36
deary me & you want "basic decency", Hanx
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