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scandanavian_haven
28 Nov 18 16:52
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Date Joined: 27 May 11
| Topic/replies: 17,249 | Blogger: scandanavian_haven's blog
in the event of a No Deal Brexit with no transisition period....

The Pound would Crash
Infation would soar
Interest rates would rise

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Replies: 61
By:
saddo
When: 28 Nov 18 16:54
They said exactly the same before the referendum and people still voted for it.
By:
morpteh mackem
When: 28 Nov 18 16:56
turkeys- xmas
By:
1st time poster
When: 28 Nov 18 16:59
good news plenty of empty houses in london
By:
donny osmond
When: 28 Nov 18 17:00
people trading the markets would make a killing...again
By:
1st time poster
When: 28 Nov 18 17:01
if you own your own house have a nice wedge in the bank ,green light to get your mp to vote for no deal
By:
1st time poster
When: 28 Nov 18 17:04
double umemployment is that counting the 800,000 he predicted after a no vote,and is the 30% house price falls including the 30% houseprice falls he predicted after a no vote
By:
i_agree_with_nick
When: 28 Nov 18 17:05
BoE assessment:

Pound to fall to below parity with the dollar.

Inflation and interest rates to rise.

Residential property values to fall (didn't catch by how much - 30%?)

Commercial property values to fall by 48% Shocked


Tomorrow's Sun front page?

MARK CARNAGE!
By:
Injera
When: 28 Nov 18 17:05
BofE 12th May 2016

The Bank warned a vote to leave the EU could:

    Push the pound lower, “perhaps sharply”.... Yup.
    Prompt households and businesses to delay spending.... Nah.
    Increase unemployment..... The opposite
    Hit economic growth...Nonsense. The opposite.
    Stoke inflation. Ha!
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/may/12/bank-of-england-keeps-interest-rates-on-hold-as-brexit-fears-bite

So, 1 out of 5? Not very impressive is it. Even a cheaper pound led to greater profits for the FTSE 100 and exporters. It also led to a huge boost tourism in the UK. So even a lower pound hasn't been all bad...
By:
1st time poster
When: 28 Nov 18 17:08
so all business worried about getting workers and carney saying there,ll  be 2 million more unemployed Confused
By:
donny osmond
When: 28 Nov 18 17:09
we havnt left yet injera
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 28 Nov 18 17:12
Ever since May said that her brino deal was the best deal possible their has been an outpouring of press releases telling us that no deal is the worst deal, they must think the public are stupid.

They could had released all these press stories at any time.

Also i cant remember the last time the BofE got anything correct.
By:
jamesdean
When: 28 Nov 18 17:15
donny osmond
28 Nov 18 17:09
Joined: 02 Mar 08 | Topic/replies: 79,613 | Blogger: donny osmond's blog
we havnt left yet injera



Laugh
By:
Injera
When: 28 Nov 18 17:19
Try learning to read..

The Bank warned A VOTE to leave the EU could....
By:
donny osmond
When: 28 Nov 18 17:22
lol
By:
terry mccann
When: 28 Nov 18 17:25
desperate to keep us in,do not believe a word,although I have said from day one we would never be allowed to leave,CONTROL as usual folks
By:
donny osmond
When: 28 Nov 18 17:25
btw do you understand the meaning of could, before telling me to learn to read?
By:
Injera
When: 28 Nov 18 17:28
Well done for backtracking on your original point.

In 2016 the BofE were part of the plan to warn us against leaving the EU. They continue to do that.

Doing the opposite of what the establishment tells us is a pretty good plan imo.
By:
1st time poster
When: 28 Nov 18 17:28
don't panic,treason may said we wont be poorer
By:
donny osmond
When: 28 Nov 18 17:30
we havnt left yet

you cant read but tell me to learn

then get more than half of your 5 assessments wrong

but hey ho

you are trying
By:
1st time poster
When: 28 Nov 18 17:32
theres a huge majority in the commons that says no deal wont happen,yet carney said he,s working for the government and he,s told no deal is more likely than 6 months ago, completely the opposite to what the people he,s working for have been saying this week,

according to the mp,s no deal is less likely now than its ever been but carney says its more likely than its ever been, how  can both scenario,s be true
By:
scandanavian_haven
When: 28 Nov 18 17:33
tbf to injera, I think the point is, is that the BOE were scaremongering then and are scaremongering now.

I think forecasts should be left to the weathermen because there have been so many big and wrong one's, the catastrophic impact of not joining the Euro etc.
By:
jamesdean
When: 28 Nov 18 17:34
Youve got him on the ropes donny, don't ease off!
By:
terry mccann
When: 28 Nov 18 17:34
Btw Carney is told what to say by the elite, desperate to keep as in and so is May
By:
Injera
When: 28 Nov 18 17:37
J. dean - upon a vote to leave which of the 5 points were proved to be correct?
By:
scandanavian_haven
When: 28 Nov 18 18:03
A no deal according to the BOE would be "economically worse than the financial crash of 2008"
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 28 Nov 18 18:08
If commercial property prices were ever 48% lower (i.e. almost halved), you'd be trampled underfoot by companies relocating here.
By:
moisok
When: 28 Nov 18 18:08
they never get them right and neither do the IMF and the rest of them

remember the emergency budget necessary if we voted leave - it would be needed immediately after the vote

how did that turn out?
By:
Injera
When: 28 Nov 18 18:08
Good news for 1st time buyers..
By:
1st time poster
When: 28 Nov 18 18:09
you no your a joke and people just laugh at you when you as gov of the bank of England predict possible doomsday scenario and the markets completely ignore you, called wolf once to often
By:
moisok
When: 28 Nov 18 18:11
Treasury smessury - I make no apology for repeating this as I am sick of the lies and scaremongering flooding everywhere

the same august institution (a heavily biased pro eu civil service) said this below  so how can we trust what they say and remember the emergency budget we would need if we voted the wrong way
Within two years of a Leave vote, the Treasury predicted that GDP would be between 3.6 and 6 percent lower and the number of people unemployed would rise by as much as 820,000. The predictions in the May 2016 “study” sounded dire, and were clearly aimed at having the maximum impact on the vote, which would be held a month later. Goebbels would be proud of these jokers.

Just weeks before the referendum, the then-chancellor George Osborne cited the report to warn that “a vote to leave would represent an immediate and profound shock to our economy” and that “the shock would push our economy into recession and lead to an increase in unemployment of around 500,000.”
It's the lies and how they tell them - keep telling them and they sit in the people's psyche - very very nasty and despicable but also very manipulative.  It diverts attention away from the benefits of leaving whilst the tv news focuses solely on the scare stories.
It's like the old joke of when did you stop beating your ............. etc etc ....
By:
1st time poster
When: 28 Nov 18 18:12
and people with a wedge in the bank

with 30% houseprice crash ,5,5% interest rates how could banks survive that when they went into meltdown over buying some dodgey loans from the us 10 years ago
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 28 Nov 18 18:16
Worth bearing in mind that these numbers quoted are the most extreme worst-case scenario. They assume that every other nation in the world chooses to punish us by refusing to negotiate any more free-trade agreements ever.
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 28 Nov 18 18:24
The drop in GDP is only a reduction from how the BofE guesses GDP would increase if we didn't leave.

The forecast itself says that by 2020 GDP would already be back to what it is now. Combine that with the fall in population assumed by the forecast, and nobody actually living in this country would notice a difference.
By:
moisok
When: 28 Nov 18 18:24
you do realise even the way they go about examining these figures and CREATING them is very suspect

do they even let us know exactly what they are using as they seem to be very secretive about it

as I understand it the economic model they use is extremely suspect

just chuck in the fact they have been wrong so many times along with the IMF and the rest of them.

look at the above 3.6  and 6 percent doom predicted which never happened AFTER  the vote  - charlatans the lot of them

unemployment up 800,000  - they are complete bar stewards and biscuit brain the self serving Brussels mouthpiece cheers them on quite falsely
THEY HAVE NO IDEA  they do not know!!  Just scare stories from people who want to keep it as it is and all their fat cat jobs within the eu gravy train
By:
moisok
When: 28 Nov 18 18:26
what is scarey - very few people will be allowed to the fore and comment on these false stats and scare stories
the tv media is slavish following may's line generally  - it is hilarious how the obvious eu propaganda is being sucked up to
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 28 Nov 18 18:31
Each day is themed until he meaningful vote on 11th December. Today is economy day…

November 28: Economy
November 29: Security
November 30: International trade
December 1: Digital
December 2: The Brexit deal
December 3: Money
December 4: Immigration
December 5: Transport
December 6: Industrial strategy
December 7: Brexit for the whole U.K.
December 8: Consumers
December 9: May vs Corbyn Debate
December 10: Agriculture and fish
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 28 Nov 18 20:34
Memories.

.
https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2017/01/06/inaccurate-anti-brexit-predictions-michael-fish-moment-admits-bank-england-chief/
By:
ufcdan
When: 28 Nov 18 20:37
if you own your own house have a nice wedge in the bank ,green light to get your mp to vote for no deal


That's what I'll be doing Cool
By:
ufcdan
When: 28 Nov 18 20:38
Also I suspect the non home owners will be doing likewise if house values will drop by a third !
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