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so you need a pillow case,a pen ,a hard backed copy book and 200 quid.
so you need a pillow case,a pen ,a hard backed copy book and 200 quid.
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liberic,and viburg this morning ,they just keep coming.you are only using the teams that start odds on Nick,many many teams go odds on playing away when the are in the lead,i am telling you ,you can fill as many pillow cases as you like,so dont distort the stats.just lay teams that go odds on and are playing away(i stress the word GO because you are missing that most important word in your calculations .)
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Have you read all my posts - I'm starting to sway back in your direction.
I've looked at another three seasons in Spain - the figures look good. I'll put them up later. |
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Summary of findings so far:
EPL 2017/18: +53.74 EPL 2016/17: -312.40 ITA Serie A 2017/18 -223.53 SPA La Liga Prim 2017/18 +201.59 SPA La Liga Prim 2016/17 +43.78 SPA La Liga Prim 2015/16 +294.38 SPA La Liga Prim 2014/15 -237.32 SPA La Liga Prim 2013/14 +515.50 SPA La Liga Prim 2012/13 +91.10 |
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i will explain the flaw,in tonights game should Brighton go 1 goal up,the exchanges will price them at 1.68 should the goal come in the first 30 minutes,but the real price should be 2.12,its the exchange pricers that cause the gift that happens to fill the pillow cases.and it happens every game ,and all the time,
the pricers get the odds wrong. |
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they do not know how to price a team winning 0-1 with all players on the pitch,and when i am on my high horse i will tell you that they also have not got a clue on how to price a 10 man team,they just follow other market pricers and try to add a little icing on the cake,and their software can not deal with the crazy prices as it is set not to go over broke.
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Summary of findings so far:
EPL 2017/18: +53.74 EPL 2016/17: -312.40 EPL 2015/16: +76.38 EPL 2014/15: -105.77 EPL 2013/14: -146.18 ITA Serie A 2017/18 -223.53 SPA La Liga Prim 2017/18 +201.59 SPA La Liga Prim 2016/17 +43.78 SPA La Liga Prim 2015/16 +294.38 SPA La Liga Prim 2014/15 -237.32 SPA La Liga Prim 2013/14 +515.50 SPA La Liga Prim 2012/13 +91.10 |
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and a 1.05 turned over today,if anyone dug it out.=Esteghalad.
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and a 1.2 also=ironi nir ramat
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atlanta/italy=1.8
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Brass, I've done a lot of analysis and all my instincts tell me this shouldn't work but you may be on to something. WD.
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I have looked at 11 of the top European leagues going back over seven seasons.
Laying all teams that START at odds on does return a decent profit. (Using B365 odds and after deducting 5% from all winning bets.) I think Brass is saying you should also lay away teams that go odds on in play. |
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Surprised the pillow system shows a profit. Eider thought he would be down.
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OP
Drivel . hth |
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ha ha facts
here are facts for you 1=1.04 znicz pruszkow 2=1.10 ajc ajax(w) 3=1.25 villeprawce 4=1.02 jong az alkmaar. thats 89 free bets to stand the next batch for £20 a time and thats only a few odds on that failed to win today.pillow cases well stacked already. or £1780 profit laying them to lose £20 each.(a nice soft pillow case ) nearly 2 grand profit.and you call it drivel ,you must be a whale like me. |
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My continued research still shows the system to be profitable.
However, as stated, this is using B365 odds. Betfair lay odds are likely to be longer. Aside from the obvious reduction in profit, this will mean that many of the teams B365 priced at >1.85, which is where many of the winning bets will arise, will be 2+ on Betfair. |
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how about that celtic result brass!!!
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I have analysed the following leagues over eight seasons:
EPL Eng Ch Eng Lg 1 Eng Lg 2 Eng Conf SPL Bel Jup Fra Le Champ Ger Bund 1 Ger Bund 2 Gre EK Ita Ser A Neth Erediv Por Liga 1 Spa La Liga 1 Tur Ligi 1 Laying each team that starts odds on to lose £20 returns a profit of £5,161 My advice would be don't bother. |
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Less than minimum wage
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