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The Leopard
27 Feb 18 22:16
Joined:
Date Joined: 05 Apr 06
| Topic/replies: 47,800 | Blogger: The Leopard's blog
What are the odds ?

5 pairs out of 9 pre-flop

2 sets on the flop made

What are the odds ?


Table '2228907693 128' 9-max Seat #5 is the button

Seat 1: Muslim203 (12541 in chips)
Seat 2: nilto balada (1530 in chips)
Seat 3: Wchang888 (6826 in chips)
Seat 4: MHillier91 (9914 in chips)
Seat 5: loesje56 (4484 in chips)
Seat 6: Black Japs I (2409 in chips)
Seat 7: TheLeopard (5054 in chips)
Seat 8: 444mmsm444 (4573 in chips)
Seat 9: h4lawa (5104 in chips)
Muslim203: posts the ante 8
nilto balada: posts the ante 8
Wchang888: posts the ante 8
MHillier91: posts the ante 8
loesje56: posts the ante 8
Black Japs I: posts the ante 8
TheLeopard: posts the ante 8
444mmsm444: posts the ante 8
h4lawa: posts the ante 8
Black Japs I: posts small blind 30
TheLeopard: posts big blind 60
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to TheLeopard [Td Th]
444mmsm444: calls 60
h4lawa: folds
Muslim203: folds
nilto balada: calls 60
Wchang888: raises 180 to 240
MHillier91: raises 7426 to 7666
loesje56: folds
Black Japs I: folds
TheLeopard: calls 4986 and is all-in
444mmsm444: calls 4505 and is all-in
nilto balada: calls 1462 and is all-in
Wchang888: calls 6578 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (848) returned to MHillier91
*** FLOP *** [Jc 5c Ah]
*** TURN *** [Jc 5c Ah] [7c]
*** RIVER *** [Jc 5c Ah 7c] [3d]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Wchang888: shows [Jd Js] (three of a kind, Jacks)
MHillier91: shows [Qh Qs] (a pair of Queens)
Wchang888 collected 3544 from side pot-3
TheLeopard: shows [Td Th] (a pair of Tens)
Wchang888 collected 1443 from side pot-2
444mmsm444: shows [8c 8d] (a pair of Eights)
Wchang888 collected 12172 from side pot-1
nilto balada: shows [5h 5s] (three of a kind, Fives)
Wchang888 collected 7712 from main pot
TheLeopard finished the tournament
444mmsm444 finished the tournament
nilto balada finished the tournament
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 24871 Main pot 7712. Side pot-1 12172. Side pot-2 1443. Side pot-3 3544. | Rake 0
Board [Jc 5c Ah 7c 3d]
Seat 1: Muslim203 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: nilto balada showed [5h 5s] and lost with three of a kind, Fives
Seat 3: Wchang888 showed [Jd Js] and won (24871) with three of a kind, Jacks
Seat 4: MHillier91 showed [Qh Qs] and lost with a pair of Queens
Seat 5: loesje56 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Black Japs I (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 7: TheLeopard (big blind) showed [Td Th] and lost with a pair of Tens
Seat 8: 444mmsm444 showed [8c 8d] and lost with a pair of Eights
Seat 9: h4lawa folded before Flop (didn't bet)
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Report casemoney February 27, 2018 10:20 PM GMT
I dont know But the chap who is all in with 88 needs to find another pastime Grin
Report casemoney February 27, 2018 10:20 PM GMT
LOL and 55 Pmsfl I didnt see them Grin
Report casemoney February 27, 2018 10:22 PM GMT
And someone advise that Muslim chap he should no be gambling Grin
Report akabula February 27, 2018 10:22 PM GMT
Freeroll - guaranteed.
Report conditor February 27, 2018 10:23 PM GMT
Poker, why is it called that ?
Report casemoney February 27, 2018 10:24 PM GMT
Cant be AK  T8 R8 if freeroll Grin
Report akabula February 27, 2018 10:26 PM GMT
The card game “Poker” first was called such around the early 19th century. ... There was also a German card game that is similar to Poker called “Pochspiel”, which in turn got its name from the German word “pochen” (which is also where the French “Poque” got its name). “Pochen” at the time meant “to brag or bluff”.22 Aug 2012
Report casemoney February 27, 2018 10:26 PM GMT
Dont know TBH never thought about it Plain
Report casemoney February 27, 2018 10:27 PM GMT
Learn something new Everyday Grin
Report conditor February 27, 2018 10:29 PM GMT
I was being facetious bud, get a grip, poker as in lottery,poor mans game
Report akabula February 27, 2018 10:30 PM GMT
If you think it a lottery you either don't play or are what we call a depositor. Wink
Report conditor February 27, 2018 10:34 PM GMT
We? Who’s we ?
Report akabula February 27, 2018 10:36 PM GMT
Is that you on ipoker?
Report annie. February 27, 2018 10:37 PM GMT
I don't know the odds on that, Leopard, but I had a hand the other day on omaha when I had a full house, aces over kings and went allin only to find to my horror that he had four of a kind  kings, but then on the river card another ace turned up and I had four of a kind aces!
Report akabula February 27, 2018 10:38 PM GMT
You ever play hi/lo Omaha Annie? I prefer that.
Report conditor February 27, 2018 10:41 PM GMT
We, is that me,you or everyone else ,intrigued bud?
Report annie. February 27, 2018 10:42 PM GMT
Yes, akabula, I mainly play omaha hi lo.

I didn't know you played omaha.
Report The Leopard February 27, 2018 10:48 PM GMT
Chance of pocket pair = 1/17

1/17  ^ 5 =  1 / 1,419,857

Odds could be near this

I don't play Omaha....have to win World Series at Texas Hold first
Report The Leopard February 27, 2018 10:50 PM GMT
*Hold 'em
Report akabula February 27, 2018 10:51 PM GMT
Only the hi/lo now Annie.
Currently on laddies trying to get back into holdem.
Report annie. February 27, 2018 11:04 PM GMT
I sometimes play the freeroll they keep giving me  on  holdem but I find it a bit boring after omaha.

I think it is being a woman, men like bluffing and being aggressive but I am hopeless with that.  I find it  is a real flaw in my playing Sad  Perhaps I should get a transgender operation!
Report JML February 27, 2018 11:08 PM GMT
perhaps all 9 hands were pairs.

the odds against the 5 pairs would be slightly less than
the 1/1,419,857.

this figure would then have to be divided by 126 (perm any 5 from 9)
Report conditor February 27, 2018 11:09 PM GMT
Now it’s a gender thing LaughLaughLaughLaugh
Report akabula February 27, 2018 11:14 PM GMT
The game has changed dramatically over the years Annie as players gain experience.
I used to play the 6 seater stts and just play position.
Eventually the noobies got wise to it but it was really profitable whilst it lasted.
Report annie. February 27, 2018 11:17 PM GMT
I agree, akabula.  I used to love holdem sngs but as you say they got horribly aggressive and most  hands were over before the deal.  I don't call that playing cards.  At least in omaha you get to the deal most times.
Report dave1357 February 27, 2018 11:39 PM GMT
The Leopard    27 Feb 18 22:48 
Chance of pocket pair = 1/17

1/17  ^ 5 =  1 / 1,419,857

Odds could be near this


It is actually very complex to work out these kind of problems.  For a start if you have a pair it is actually more likely that another pair is dealt.

A pair being dealt is 78/1326 (16-1) but after the first pair is out it moves to 74/1225 (15.5-1)

Anyway using 16-1^5 is fair enough as an approx for 5 players getting pairs at a 5 handed table but as there are 9 players being dealt so you have to adjust.  Maybe 17^5/126 as there are 126 combs of 5 in nine?  That would bring it down to 11268-1 which seems a bit low so prob not right.
Report casemoney February 28, 2018 12:09 AM GMT
Agree with KOD there are 3 PP that clearly need to be getting out of way .
Report kincsem February 28, 2018 2:07 PM GMT
Am I the only person who thinks that hand is standard?
I've seen AA, KK, QQ, TT all-in preflop.
Report STUDYFORM February 28, 2018 8:50 PM GMT
I was playing in a game when a bloke (rightly) folded pocket 7s, but he folded everything that wasn't good and only played about 1 hand in 10.
Anyway the first 2 cards on the flop...7...7
The odds against that must be big too.

The thing is, the odds against any specific things on the preflop are huge.
You could ask what are the odds of everyone getting consecutive cards. eg, 5 6, 2 3, 9 10, 6 7.
It's more or less impossible to calculate.
Report STUDYFORM February 28, 2018 8:55 PM GMT
ALSO, just remembered why I stopped playing internet poker. I was Betfair Poker as it happens.
A big tournament.
In the 1st 9 hands of the tournament, on my table, there were pocket Aces to someone at the table (not the same person, in fact I got them once).
They only held up 2 or 3 times. Anyone all-in might well have lost. Which is quite useful for the originators of a massive number of player tourney.
Report STUDYFORM February 28, 2018 8:55 PM GMT
*it was, not I was
Report casemoney February 28, 2018 10:07 PM GMT
Amazing the People I knew Played on Line ,that do not anymore..
Report JML February 28, 2018 10:55 PM GMT
amazing because the land based casinos are trying to squeeze
every last penny from the players.

i spendt a lot of time in 1990's playing poker,kalooki and occasionally backgammon in the local
casinos.at no time did they charge me a penny,tea with cake or sandwitches were free but the girls serving
were always tipped.
when the holdem comps began about 1992 they were always money added comps and a bottle of champagne
was given for the best hand before the final table and another for the best hand in the final.
it was only a few months before the added money and the champagne stopped but i was never charged a
entry fee.

i reckon it would cost me more than £10K a year to play the for same amount of time these days.
Report xmoneyx February 28, 2018 11:03 PM GMT
gentings serve a la carte very reasonable prices

also a free drink( prob to get you to roulette) Excited
Report STUDYFORM February 28, 2018 11:06 PM GMT
It was a bit like when they used to give free buffets in the early 80's, JML.

The casinos thought that they could invite loads of people to play Poker (or eat free food) and incentivise it.
But after a while it became apparent that not only did the people turning up not play any other games (which was the hope), but they put the regulars off coming to the casino.

Not bad while it lasted though.
Report JML February 28, 2018 11:46 PM GMT
free buffets were very rare by the 90s

the card room i used provided plenty of buisness for the roulette and blackjack tables
and a well positioned and busy card room improves the atmosphere of the whole casino.

it was the kalooki players that really help fill the card room most of the time.
Report The Leopard March 1, 2018 11:29 PM GMT
Should have gone all-in before flop ?

Thursday,March 1, 23:03:26 GMT 2018
Table KO Series #24-Mi: $10K Gtd [Fast] (163450015) Table #14 ( Real Money )
Seat 2 is the button
Total number of players : 8/8

seat 1: oldmanclive ( 811,132  )
seat 2: doberman1116 ( 237,215  )
seat 3: Briantrinder ( 438,757  )
seat 4: JosefundPoker ( 16,225  )
seat 5: ARTEMFED ( 179,481  )
seat 6: THELEOPARD ( 403,796  )
seat 7: lorzins77 ( 91,208  )
seat 8: IMTSdox015 ( 699,417  )

Trny:163450015 Level:14
Blinds-Antes(3,500/7,000 -900)
oldmanclive posts ante [900 ]
doberman1116 posts ante [900 ]
Briantrinder posts ante [900 ]
JosefundPoker posts ante [900 ]
ARTEMFED posts ante [900 ]
THELEOPARD posts ante [900 ]
lorzins77 posts ante [900 ]
IMTSdox015 posts ante [900 ]
Briantrinder posts small blind [3,500 ].
JosefundPoker posts big blind [7,000 ].

** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to THELEOPARD [ Jh, Js ]
ARTEMFED folds
THELEOPARD raises [ 21,000  ]
lorzins77 folds
IMTSdox015 folds
oldmanclive folds
doberman1116 folds
Briantrinder calls [ 17,500  ]
JosefundPoker folds
** Dealing Flop ** [ Ad, Qh, Jd ]
Briantrinder checks
THELEOPARD is all-In  [ 381,896  ]
Briantrinder calls [ 381,896  ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 4c ]
** Dealing River ** [ Tc ]

Briantrinder shows [ Td, Kd ]a straight, Ten to Ace.
THELEOPARD shows [ Jh, Js ]three of a kind, Jacks.
Briantrinder wins 819,992  chips from the main pot with a straight, Ten to Ace.
Player THELEOPARD finished in xxx.
Briantrinder has knocked out THELEOPARD and won a $2 USD bounty prize.
Report Desmond Orchard March 2, 2018 8:44 AM GMT
Not much wrong with how you played that hand, I don’t think.
Making your set on the flop was the right time to push with the two overcards on the board, he had paired either you’re getting called and big fav to win. Just very unlucky.
Your previous hand, I agree with whoever said you needed to get the fk out of dodge. With that many live and only tens on that board, you’re highly unlikely to be in front.
Report The Leopard March 2, 2018 11:23 AM GMT
The first hand was very early in the the game and low buy-in so a bit of a punt.....wouldn't have called if I had spent 2 hrs building a stack.
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