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07 Jun 17
17:26
Joined:
Date Joined:
14 Sep 04
Conservatives 351
Labour 221
Liberal Democrats 10
SNP 47
Green 1
UKIP 0
Labour 221
Liberal Democrats 10
SNP 47
Green 1
UKIP 0
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Labour rallied in the betting markets overnight but that trend appears to have reversed this afternoon.
The polls claim labour are closing in on the conservatives but the market says otherwise.
the market has had an even bigger nightmare than the polls in the last 3 big events
Good afternoon, Ibrahima. I hope you are well, sir.
A Conservative majority certainly lengthened on the markets I frequent; all the way from 1/8 to 2/9 on last night's prices. They're back out to 1/6 now.
A Conservative majority certainly lengthened on the markets I frequent; all the way from 1/8 to 2/9 on last night's prices. They're back out to 1/6 now.
Tory 340
Labour 240
SNP 50
Liberal 10
Others don't really matter much.
Labour 240
SNP 50
Liberal 10
Others don't really matter much.
Milliband lost 10%.
I assume Corbyn will lose more but I'm guessing. He has 232 at present.
Anything over 190 and I would be surprised. I feel questions over IRA, Hamas, Trident etc will be his undoing.
The confusion is the UKIP vote and where that goes. Does it stay at home or vote May. I feel many Labour voters may also stay at home.
I assume Corbyn will lose more but I'm guessing. He has 232 at present.
Anything over 190 and I would be surprised. I feel questions over IRA, Hamas, Trident etc will be his undoing.
The confusion is the UKIP vote and where that goes. Does it stay at home or vote May. I feel many Labour voters may also stay at home.
Its all about turnout for Labour if they can get the youth vote out that says it will vote Labour they can make the tories majority not so large , all the shouting is done with now its turnout , turnout ,turnout
The huge factor of Scotland has barely been mentioned in this election.
Labour has lost 55 seats in Scotland since the turn of the century.
In seats and swing terms that is massive and surely the main reason for Tory success past, present and future.
Yet I've barely heard this matter discussed.
Labour has lost 55 seats in Scotland since the turn of the century.
In seats and swing terms that is massive and surely the main reason for Tory success past, present and future.
Yet I've barely heard this matter discussed.
There would still have been a Tory majority in 2015 if Labour had won all seats in Scotland and they ain't going to be winning those back soon.
That's why it's a non factor in this election.
All about English seats this time
That's why it's a non factor in this election.
All about English seats this time
There is a chance that there will be a hung parliament, or worse, a labour victory 
Corbyn has promised sweeties to nearly every section of the voters with his manifesto as opposed to theresa. If you were an 18 year old going to university this autumn or the parents of one, wouldn't you even think about voting labour if that meant you didn't pay tuition fees and possibly get a maintenance grant? And he has promised loads more, no zero hours contracts, workers rights, primary school dinners, free nursery school, no bedroom tax, treatment nhs guaranteed within 18 weeks, strike rules go back to 50% of votes cast, no employment tribunals fees, loads of housing help, benefit sanctions stopped, £2 limit for fixed odd machines, triple lock protected, retirement age stopped at 66 etc etc etc. And there are loads more promises.
I am working class but the thought of jeremy corbyn who could only gain two 'E' level A levels at school and has barely had a normal job his whole life running this country gives me nightmares. So I have entered into a win/win kind of situation. I have bet over £100 on labour in various bets. If theresa wins then I will be relieved and it will be the best loss I have ever had! Not happy because I think she is not up to much either. But if the worst happens then I will have a win to slightly cheer me up.
I am even probably going to get more dollars as all my betting on poker is in dollars and if labour wins the rate will go down. I have done this before at brexit and I was glad I did as the dollar rate has fallen 15%
Corbyn has promised sweeties to nearly every section of the voters with his manifesto as opposed to theresa. If you were an 18 year old going to university this autumn or the parents of one, wouldn't you even think about voting labour if that meant you didn't pay tuition fees and possibly get a maintenance grant? And he has promised loads more, no zero hours contracts, workers rights, primary school dinners, free nursery school, no bedroom tax, treatment nhs guaranteed within 18 weeks, strike rules go back to 50% of votes cast, no employment tribunals fees, loads of housing help, benefit sanctions stopped, £2 limit for fixed odd machines, triple lock protected, retirement age stopped at 66 etc etc etc. And there are loads more promises.
I am working class but the thought of jeremy corbyn who could only gain two 'E' level A levels at school and has barely had a normal job his whole life running this country gives me nightmares. So I have entered into a win/win kind of situation. I have bet over £100 on labour in various bets. If theresa wins then I will be relieved and it will be the best loss I have ever had! Not happy because I think she is not up to much either. But if the worst happens then I will have a win to slightly cheer me up.
I am even probably going to get more dollars as all my betting on poker is in dollars and if labour wins the rate will go down. I have done this before at brexit and I was glad I did as the dollar rate has fallen 15%
ICM/Comres/Ashcroft are indeed weighted. They are the more 'intelligent' polls. Survation and Youguv are just LOL - online or phone people who talk but don't vote.
50-74 @6's for me
50-74 @6's for me
The 'weighting' of polls is what caused the polling fiascos with Brexit/Trump
Poll Results telling them Brexit is leading , Trump is leading ... 'oh that can't be right ,lets adjust the data...
Poll Results telling them Brexit is leading , Trump is leading ... 'oh that can't be right ,lets adjust the data...
Tory most seats - definitely
Tory majority - between 50 and 100.
Tory majority - between 50 and 100.
Hope your right Des.......id rather lose the £150 laying the Tories than winning a grand if Labour won 
I'll lose nearly 2 Grand if Labour win. I would normally prefer a labour Govt, but I'd rather not lose 2K.
Just to clarify that the over £100 I have spent on election bets are mainly on 'no overall majority' and small bets on labour win and most seats.
Scrub that missed PC.
373 197 47 10 1 22(incl speaker)
373 197 47 10 1 22(incl speaker)
conservatives trying to lose? so i'll say a coalition govt.
Corbyn in Chatham house suspicious.
Corbyn in Chatham house suspicious.
Am on the torys to win 5 figures at 1/8 most seats and 1/4 majority,plus liberals at 3.5 under 10 seats
anyone got a spare wheelbarrow...
anyone got a spare wheelbarrow...
I think the tories get near to 400. Theresa May has been dreadful and Corbyn has done better than expected but security of the country will prove to be a huge issue in people's minds and no one bar the Corbyn luvvies will feel he's trustworthy on that issue.
I see a disastrous night for Labour.
I see a disastrous night for Labour.
A coalition government zorro?
Can you just imagine the state we'd be in with Corbyn, McDonnell, Sturgeon, Robertson and Salmond at the helm.
Can you just imagine the state we'd be in with Corbyn, McDonnell, Sturgeon, Robertson and Salmond at the helm.
It would be far better than Treason May and her obnxious crew of idiots
Yes terrorist lovers in charge, that would be a good move.
Jun 7, 2017 -- 5:11PM, akabula wrote:
Yes terrorist lovers in charge, that would be a good move.
What eveidence have you to back up such a shameful remark , lets be having you
Sorry anxious but I've explained it all to you before.
Still if that's what your comfortable with.
Still if that's what your comfortable with.
380 - she's safe
360 - she's firm
340 - she's shaky
320 - she's toast
Corbyn holding on to what he's got means holding on to what he's got. And he bloodywell deserves it. Hardly a Blairite on the TV in support and he'll have dragged a few of them along with him who initially feared losing their seat, ironically for not supporting him in the first place.
I would very much like to see what, if any, impact the 18-24 turnout makes; how much weight does it provide iyo?
A pretty fair assessment (and question).
360 - she's firm
340 - she's shaky
320 - she's toast
Corbyn holding on to what he's got means holding on to what he's got. And he bloodywell deserves it. Hardly a Blairite on the TV in support and he'll have dragged a few of them along with him who initially feared losing their seat, ironically for not supporting him in the first place.
I would very much like to see what, if any, impact the 18-24 turnout makes; how much weight does it provide iyo?
A pretty fair assessment (and question).
thegiggilo 07 Jun 17 22:35 Joined: 04 Aug 07 | Topic/replies: 8,202
Am on the torys to win 5 figures at 1/8 most seats and 1/4 majority,plus liberals at 3.5 under 10 seatsCoolanyone got a spare wheelbarrow...
Wow, that's got to be some chunky losses.
Am on the torys to win 5 figures at 1/8 most seats and 1/4 majority,plus liberals at 3.5 under 10 seatsCoolanyone got a spare wheelbarrow...
Wow, that's got to be some chunky losses.
About £3000 is it? Unlucky my friend, feel for you, lots in the same boat I'd imagine.
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