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Stow_judge
23 Aug 16 16:06
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Date Joined: 10 Mar 01
| Topic/replies: 10,954 | Blogger: Stow_judge's blog
House prices have risen 700% in the past 30 years. That means every £1,000 invested in property in 1985 would be worth £7,000 today. Back in 1985 the average UK property price was around £31,000.
If you’d bought a property back then, it’d now be worth £217,000 on average - 7 times your original investment.

However, what you don’t hear about so often is that if you invested that £31,000 back in 1985 in a medium-risk portfolio of UK Gilts (50%) UK equities (35%) and International equities (15%) then you’d have done significantly better. Your investment would now be worth £465,000 - 15 times your original investment.

Both look fully/overpriced now. So what happens next?
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Report xmoneyx August 23, 2016 4:24 PM BST
plenty pros got burned stockmarket just this year

up 15%
Report Deltâ August 23, 2016 5:51 PM BST
my 1985 house has only risen 412.5% Sad


I agree with the first part of your last line and am clueless on the last answer [but would like to know it]
Report Crisp77 August 23, 2016 6:08 PM BST
What are the running and maintenance costs of a house over 30 years?
Report Stow_judge August 23, 2016 6:22 PM BST
Much of the hype around home ownership and the money that can be made from
it underestimates the true cost of owning a home.
This is because most people are just comparing the cost they bought the property
for with the price they sold it for to give the “profit” figure.
Consider that if you buy a property for £500,000 and live in it for 10 years, you’ll
probably have spent almost £205,000 in extra costs that you might not have accounted for.
This means if you bought a £500,000 house and sold it in 10 years, you’d need to
sell it for at least £705,000 before you could break even.
The reason we all make this mistake is because we spend the money on our home
gradually. Things like monthly interest are factored in as an ongoing cost. Stamp
duty and solicitors’ fees come out at the time of purchase, meaning that we fail to
mentally account for those costs.


https://www.nutmeg.com/property-vs-stocks
Report Stow_judge August 23, 2016 6:22 PM BST
so, 30 years = ca. 600K Shocked
Report Stow_judge August 23, 2016 6:24 PM BST
that 205K comes from 136K mortgage interest, 50K maintenance & repairs, 3.5K insurance and 15K stamp duty
Report xmoneyx August 24, 2016 11:23 AM BST
205k extra costs

do you wallpaper bedrooms in gold flake Crazy
Report Dr Crippen August 24, 2016 12:14 PM BST
Picking and choosing which financial stuff and which funds to invest in for a comparison, is like aftertiming on the horses.

Not to mention choosing the timeframe into the bargain.
Report Stow_judge August 24, 2016 12:17 PM BST
The example is based upon a 400K property, with a 450K mortgage at 3.5%
Report Stow_judge August 24, 2016 12:18 PM BST
500K property
Report Stow_judge August 24, 2016 12:20 PM BST
I thought that was a reasonable bonds/shares split for comparison. Many would have much more shares, with more risk.
Report Callisto-moon August 24, 2016 12:48 PM BST
Just buy pints
Report zorrostrikes August 24, 2016 1:33 PM BST
Famine next - buy a farm - grow your own food.
Report Gin August 24, 2016 5:22 PM BST
I would say the OP’s 50/50 allocation is a modest (and therefore fair) representation of what somebody may have invested in.

Do the investment figures take into account charges & fees (which were much higher in the eighties than now) as that could make a significant difference to the final figure and makes a fair comparison.

Also, on the other side  I am assuming that it takes dividends into account?
Report Stow_judge August 24, 2016 6:13 PM BST
It's not made clear. You'd hope that they have taken those things into account. The impact of re-invested dividends is very signifcant.
You can download the document from the link above. You can put in a fake email address e.g. a@a.com and download it

From 1985-2015

The FTSE all share went up by ca 5 times
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/markets/9196093/Graphic-50-years-of-the-FTSE-All-Share-index.html

The DOW Jones looks like it went up by ca 8 times
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/stock-market

You could do some calculations here
http://www.online-calculators.co.uk/interest/compoundinterest.php
Report Stow_judge August 24, 2016 6:13 PM BST
It's not made clear. You'd hope that they have taken those things into account. The impact of re-invested dividends is very signifcant.
You can download the document from the link above. You can put in a fake email address e.g. a@a.com and download it

From 1985-2015

The FTSE all share went up by ca 5 times
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/markets/9196093/Graphic-50-years-of-the-FTSE-All-Share-index.html

The DOW Jones looks like it went up by ca 8 times
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/stock-market

You could do some calculations here
http://www.online-calculators.co.uk/interest/compoundinterest.php
Report Stow_judge August 24, 2016 6:18 PM BST
Share growth is of course another significant factor

http://monevator.com/uk-historical-asset-class-returns/
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