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Bolt generally has a weak start compared to other sprinters, how many times have you seen him behind after 20 meters, but he comes through thanks to his strides, Blake needs that good start to make up for it and gets it, technique though is important. There is no doubt, no matter how much you spend, it is proven across a multitude of sports in or outside of the Olympics, that a home crowd helps, and this is also reflected/ factored into the odds.
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It's interesting to compare Paula's times over the various distances at which she has competed with the fastest times ever recorded.
Her fastest 5,000m time is slightly less than 8 sec slower than Tirunesh Dibaba's 5,000m world record, which incidentally I believe to be the ONLY current women's track world record set by a clean athlete. Her fastest 10,000m time is 30 seconds behind the world record set by Wang Junxia, who was part of the 'turtle blood' crew of Chinese athletes around the early-mid 1990s who were clearly at it. The next fastest time apart from WJ is only eight seconds faster than Paula's best time. While these times in themselves do not prove a great deal, they do demonstrate that Paula improved the further she ran in comparison to the world's best athletes. When one bears in mind that the marathon is run over 42195m her progression in comparison to other athletes is easily explained, and one should also consider that the Women's marathon is a relatively recent addition to the Athletics calendar, and thus the training methods and preparation are not as advanced as other events which have been on the calendar for far longer. I have been meaning to write a book about the comparisons between Paula and Emil Zatopek in their improvement on existing training methods and thus their ability to set standards their peers and immediate successors could not nearly match, and their almost supernaturally similar running style and gait. Like most things I plan, I haven't quite got round to it ![]() I remain convinced that Paula is a clean athlete - I believe that given the stink she kicked up about Yegerova and the other EPO cheats when that method of cheating was in its infancy, the IAAF would have done anything in their power to shut her up had there been even the slightest doubt about her. |
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Still no denial that she's on the Sunday Times list? BBC journalist failed to ask her - fancy that! Don't worry everyone the golden girl will be on the BBC sofa for Beijing - a shining beacon of clean athletics.
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@Zazu -- The height argument is a complete myth.
Most of the top men are circa 5ft That is because, as already mentioned, being short is an advantage in hot and humid conditions. Here is Epstein again: One reason that marathon runners tend to be diminutive is because small humans have a larger skin surface area compared with the volume of their body. The greater one’s surface area compared with volume, the better the human radiator and the more quickly the body unloads heat. (Hence, short, skinny people get cold more easily than tall, hefty people.) Heat dissipation is critical for endurance performance, because the central nervous system forces a slowdown or complete stop of effort when the body’s core temperature passes about 104 degrees. Epstein, David (2013-08-29). The Sports Gene: Talent, Practice and the Truth About Success (pp. 119-120). Random House. Kindle Edition. This explains why Radcliffe was dominant in spring and autumn, in London and Chicago but melted in the heat of the Athens and Beijing Olympics. In cool conditions, Radcliffe's long stride was an advantage. In the heat, her height ruined her chances. |
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Home crowd is without a doubt a huge factor in any sports it even extends to darts when a player has a big crowd behind them so throw crazy darts.
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Bolt will break 9 seconds when Jamaica gets the Olympics
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@A_T -- how can Radcliffe deny she is on the list? If she is not on it, how would she know?
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ZAZU YOU HAVE WELL AND TRULY HAD YOUR VIRTUAL ARSE SERVED TO YOU ON A PLATE.
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The one thing she lacked was basic speed. The one thing a marathon runner doesn't need is basic speed.
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I don't think she looked or sounded flustered/nervous at all.
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Again EO, all things are relative, her best time in the 3000m has only been bettered by about ten women in history, and is a much older discipline than the two longer track events.
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Of those ten women, four were in the Ma Junren 'turtle blood' camp and all achieved those times in 1993 at a meeting in Beijing - Paula's best time is only two seconds behind the best of the rest.
Think I'm arguing against my earlier point about her relative times improving as she stepped up in distance. |
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like Lance Armstrong, you will get people who just dont want to believe she doped and instead want to think she is super human
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Radcliffe is the perfect physical specimen, the correct height and build to run a marathon. For anyone who says she is too tall how is it that the male athletes are taller and run quicker.
The marathon is an event where the gap between womens and mens times should narrow and probably disappear. |
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Being better than someone at something, or being better than everyone at something, is not an indication of doping. That's just a cul-de-sac way of thinking, at the end of which you trust no result of any sporting event ever.
My background is in Biology, specialising in animal physiology. Yet without wading into text books again and reading more recent scientific papers I wouldn't trust myself to "read" an athlete's blood result. Radcliffe, WADA and UK anti-doping are correct in saying that athletes releasing their data is at best pointless and at worse damaging. Aside from everything else people don't understand what a blood passport is and the artificially built in permissible boundaries that are slewed to prevent false positives. As someone who has said, (and been banned from forums for saying it), since I saw him and Pantani going up Ventoux in 2000 that Armstrong was doping, I feel I'm in the clear in saying there's no comparison between him and Radcliffe. |
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As for the OP's original thoughts, the answers were as good as any clean athlete could give, and "looking uneasy" hasn't been a criminal offence since West Midlands Police tried it out back in the 70s.
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Radcliffe's marathon world record is just as much of an outlier than Pantini on Ventoux or alp d'heuz
.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alpe_d%27Huez#Fastest_ascents That list and its doping annotations are what athletics records would look like if IAAF ever took doping seriously. At least cycling is out in the open |
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Not sure how viable that last proposition is lfc, the men's 'record' has continued to progress over the last decade, albeit most of the fastest men's times have been set in Boston, where the times are not counted for such purposes because of the contours of the course. The women's record remains Paula's London time in 2003, and barring the emergence of an absolute outlier, it will not be improved in the foreseeable future.
Men have been running competitive marathons over the current trip since poor old Dorando Pietri's race in 1908, the women's event has been taken seriously for less than four decades - it was first contested in the Olympics at Los Angeles in 1984. |
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This is the position into which the IAAF has contorted itself brendanuk. There have always been outliers in sport, Bradman springs to mind as the ultimate example, Bob Beamon, James Cleveland Owens, even our own sainted Sebastian Newbold Coe, who is now charged with cleaning out the Augean stable.
Such has been the IAAF's lack of will in exposing the cheats that all its best performers and performances are now tainted. Paula Radcliffe was a clean athlete, I have absolutely no doubt in my mind about that. She spent her entire career campaigning for the cheats to be exposed, for the IAAF to get tough on them. To be honest it grieves me enormously to have people questioning her, but I can understand why some do. |
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I was just going to point that last bit out Jed.
And times in individual cycling events on the road are not a guide to doping either because there are too many other influencing factors |
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I meant the last bit of the 9.12 post
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You want an outlier?
Babe Ruth simultaneously the best and the worst batter in baseball. |
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Jed the marathon is ideally suited to woman athletes because it is about endurance not strength, females on average live longer than men and this physiology that in theory gives them an advantage in very long distance races....the trade-off between strength and endurance favors the female athlete.
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There must always be exceptional results, in fact the use of drugs would tend to stream out these blips rather than create them. Evolutionary progress goes in jumps not a straight line...the use of drugs would tend to create a straight line.
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I would have to ask Pandorica's views on that, but without empirical evidence, I would still doubt it. As I said, the evidence of the last fifteen years suggests that the trade-off you mention is insufficient to bridge the gap.
That said, I am open to persuasion by someone who knows more about such things. |
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The one disadvantage female athletes have is that they are smaller and this might explain somewhat the gap at present in the marathon. However women are getting taller and they should with this narrow the gap.
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Jed, I have thought for some time that if any forumite is doing drugs, it's lfc1971
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lfc
Being smaller doesn't explain the gap. She is much taller than some of the fastest men in history. What inhibits womens events up to and including the marathon is the gap between power to weight ratios but in percentage terms the further you go the narrower the gap becomes and at ultra distances the women can compete at a very decent level because of their different body compositions. |
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jed
Of course things are relative but Radcliffe was consistently defeated at the highest level because she didn't possess basic speed at that level. She could run very fast for a long way but would get burned off in world championship events by the very best. Once she moved to the marathon she could go hard for longer and break the competition. |
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Eternal
The height difference between men and women is a factor. She is taller than some of the fastest men...however the point is that she is taller than the average woman...if women were taller on average then someone else, possibly more than a few would be faster than Radcliffe and as fast as the men. |
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Regarding basic speed the only thing that Radcliffe lacked slightly at middle distance was a sprint finish....this was set Coe apart eg, he could run 1500 meters at almost full speed and then still find a sprint finish at the end....it is rare for someone with a sprint finish such as this...of course as you say this is not so important in a marathon.
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Re: endurance
Katie Ledecky's time in the women's 1500m freestyle swimming WC final would have won the men's World Championships in 1973 and 1975 and places her in the top 100 of the men's World Rankings which would make her the number 1 ranked male swimmer in Denmark Sweden Austria Switzerland Ireland and Portugal. The problem athletics and cycling has is that because they are based so predominantly on power and endurance, and much less on technical skills, drugs make substantially more difference. It's also had the back drop of state sponsored regimes of systematic doping, which manifested itself in a whole range of power based sports such as rowing, weightlifting cycling and swimming. I'd go so far as to say that any female Olympic or World champion in a power based sport from the late 70s to 88-90 was a cheat, which has left a legacy and culture of cheating in it's wake. Since it's early feeble efforts, athletics has done more than any other sport in terms of drugs testing, so to taint it with a lack of will is unfair and I think as every year goes by since 1990 the effort to catch cheats is higher than the year before. It's a hugely difficult task. |
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Think lfc needs to go back to biology class
Regarding the comparison with cycling. It's true, such as the 8 or 9 of the top 10 times up alp dhuez were confirmed doers and armstrong was right at/near the too and claiming to be clean |
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Dopers* near the top*
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In 2014 Nike had revenues of €27.8billion
Not just about governments |
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Most top sports stars are doping - and have been for a long time. The testers can't catch them - and the sporting governing bodies don't want to. There's too much money at stake. At 33 Justin Gatlin is running faster than he was when he was caught doping - anyone honestly believe he is doing this clean?
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Paula Radcliffe was a clean athlete, I have absolutely no doubt in my mind about that. She spent her entire career campaigning for the cheats to be exposed, for the IAAF to get tough on them. To be honest it grieves me enormously to have people questioning her, but I can understand why some do.
yet she's not denied she's on the Sunday Times list - despite a media outing this week ahead of the WCs after a marked silence. |
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Very easy for someone on here using their anonymity to throw the dirt.
To say most sports stars are using drugs without any evidence adds nothing to the debate. The highlighted post below from JC sums it up imo. This thread, without any irony, proves exactly why they shouldn't release anything to the world of internet whack jobs.. |
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@A_T -- yet she's not denied she's on the Sunday Times list - despite a media outing this week ahead of the WCs after a marked silence.
The Sunday Times list of what? The ST has a list of all blood tests, which it then got someone to analyse and point to suspicious findings. So Radcliffe (and everyone else) would be on the first list. And unless the ST has told her, how would she know what the ST's analyst thinks? |