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718
11 Feb 12 21:35
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Date Joined: 08 May 08
| Topic/replies: 8,827 | Blogger: 718's blog
And what do you believe now?

I was undecided at the time.
I don't think that it would be too wise to join now

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Replies: 47
By:
flatliner
When: 11 Feb 12 21:38
No and No.
By:
egner
When: 11 Feb 12 21:42
Not back then....and most definately not now.

egner Joined: 11 Jan 07
Replies: 6323 08 Dec 11 20:46   
i agree steptoe....

..a "currency" is the financial representation of a country and the culture contained within that country...with all the good ...bad..and indifferent elements of the population...

such as spending habits....work ethic....political and social views..etc...

..so you have 17 countries all with varying cultures and attitudes to public spending and personal saving...not too mention work ethic and the relative competitiveness of their manufacturing and service sectors.....

..you have all these disparities and differences....so what do the poiltical elite of europe (Germany and France) try to do.......make them all use the same currency!!!!!!

...beggars belief.

wake up worcesterwilly.


left the willy bit in cos it makes me smileLaughLaughLaugh
By:
pumphol.
When: 11 Feb 12 21:44
To be Franc, Guilder & myself thought it was a bad idea, Lira did I know things would turn out this bad so quickly, but Mark my words there is no going back.
By:
egner
When: 11 Feb 12 21:45
Laugh
By:
History Maker
When: 11 Feb 12 22:11
Nope. Had a long and tedious argument with my dad about the issue at the time. Stupid thing is that we agreed on the central point, but for different reasons!

His was loss of sovereignty, mine was that it clearly wasn't an optimal currency are.
By:
Ivor
When: 11 Feb 12 22:15
Absolutely not - then or now or ever.
By:
718
When: 11 Feb 12 22:27
I wonder if we'll get anyone saying that they were keen on joining? There were quite a few pseudo-intellectuals of the time patronisingly calling people 'Little Englanders' for not wanting to join and then spouting some Economic babble that no-one understood and probably made no sense

As I mentioned, I myself was unsure, there most definitely used to be a far bigger chunk of people who were pro-Euro
By:
History Maker
When: 11 Feb 12 22:40
optimal currency are

optimal currency area
By:
RoyClaytonsTash
When: 11 Feb 12 22:55
Its were? you fool
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 11 Feb 12 23:08
no and no, but I could not tell you why based on economic reasons I am just a little Englander
By:
themover
When: 11 Feb 12 23:25
aren't we in the Euro? If not then we could just send Abu Qatada home.

Regarding the currency, we now get about 1.20 to the pound when it used to be about 1.50 (around 1.64 to start with)
By:
Lusitano71
When: 11 Feb 12 23:49
I don't know about the UK since you have a pretty unique situation regarding your position in the world, by that I mean, you have excelent relations with English speaking nations around the world, although the language is not what makes you different (if it was only a matter of the language dispersed through the world, Spain and Portugal would surely be the same), what makes you different is the fact that many countries that speak English also have a majoraty of British descendants that largely outnumber the natives (Australia, U.S.A., Canada, etc) and that is a great asset for the future as it was in the past
So if there is a country in Europe that as a slim chance of making it outside the E.U. its definitely the UK, but I say slim because it's a big gamble

The rest of Europe doesn't have that choice, if we are to have any chance of competing and having a word in the global scene against the Asian countries in particular and the rest of the world, we need to be together, the demographics alone is an overwhelming evidence of that need

Having said that, my question is, even if the UK could make it alone, isn't it even better to have both options?

when I ask this I mean think in the long, long term
By:
brngtwt
When: 11 Feb 12 23:49
If only more countries had joined Iraq in trading oil in Euro instead of US Dollars we would most certainly be regretting not joining.
As it is the Euro is clinging on by its fingertips, just waiting for Italy or Greece to tread on them.
By:
egner
When: 12 Feb 12 00:14
The rest of Europe doesn't have that choice, if we are to have any chance of competing and having a word in the global scene against the Asian countries in particular and the rest of the world, we need to be together, the demographics alone is an overwhelming evidence of that need

if this is true Lusitano ...and France and Germany are going to effectively underwrite the euro in the long term despite the suffering it will cause to the periphery countries in terms of austerity and restructuring.....then these periphery countries are going to have to get used to ceding many of their political freedoms in the long term in return for the support of Fra/Germ...

Whether the peoples of these countries will tolerate even less accountability from their respective governments and being in thrall to politicians they have no hand in electing in the short term, let alone the long term is open to question.

Perhaps this quote from Edward Gibbon may sum up the question facing them....he was talking about the decline of the Roman Empire....but is relevant today i feel...

"In the end, more than they wanted freedom, they wanted security. They wanted a comfortable life, and they lost it all -- security, comfort, and freedom. When the freedom they wished for was freedom from responsibility, then Athens ceased to be free."

Sir Edward Gibbon (1737-1794)
By:
treble
When: 12 Feb 12 00:22
Time for a late night super daft question.........but what effect would it have on our economy if we were to adopt the US dollar?
By:
Ivor
When: 12 Feb 12 00:32
..or the Renminbi perchance?  there's gonna be treble Wink
By:
Lusitano71
When: 12 Feb 12 01:40
egner, I agree with what you said

people will tolerate things until some point if they are assured that the sacrifices they are making have a reasonable term and an obvious objective, thats what seems to be lacking in what is being said and done by our current politicians, either at European level as the national level

we are already making sacrifices and losing quality of living but no term as been given to us, but worse... no clear objective, so, for what I currently know it could be for decades or forever

the lack of vision of our political leaders is sickening and there are no exceptions

The original idea of the European integration was:

"After World War II, moves towards European integration were seen by many as an escape from the extreme forms of nationalism which had devastated the continent."

I hope this rings a bell and how a financial crisis and a lack of leadership is bringing all this back

in relation to the responsibility part, it's true people were irresponsible but you make it sound like the people themselves were the only ones to blame and thats wrong imo, the example comes from top to bottom and if the people were irresponsible in the first place the conditions were there for them to be, it's that simple
By:
egner
When: 12 Feb 12 02:00
the example comes from top to bottom and if the people were irresponsible in the first place the conditions were there for them to be, it's that simple

yes, i agree.

and that is where, as you say, both now and in the past Europes leaders have failed the people..
good leadership isnt always giving the people what they want, and borrowing ever greater amounts to satisfy these wants...it is setting a framework in which the people themselves are empowered to creat lasting value for both themselves and the soceity as a whole.
By:
tobermory
When: 12 Feb 12 02:14
So if there is a country in Europe that as a slim chance of making it outside the E.U. its definitely the UK, but I say slim because it's a big gamble

Britain would be fine outside the EU, no 'slim chance' . Britain has nothing from they EU that it would not have outside (other than the £9 Billion Net loss in the funding of the thing that we could spend on other things).

The EU is a 1960s solution to a 1930s problem , that looks increasingly archaic in the 21st century.

The smugness of the UK pro euro faction in the late 90s is amazing to recall .The standard line was that, by about 2004, whoever was prime minister would be going to Brussels on his hands and knees, begging to join on whatever terms he could get.  Because 'we couldn't survive outside'
By:
Lusitano71
When: 12 Feb 12 02:56
So puting aside one and a half U.S.A's of consumers (450 million) is fine, and exclude yourselves of any saying of where the politics of those 450 million goes, is fine, no problem

it's a 1.01 bet, it can´t bust

BIG LOL
By:
tobermory
When: 12 Feb 12 03:13
We wouldn't be putting any of them aside Lusitano.

EU Nations make a profit on trade with Britain, Britain makes a loss, which has to be made up elsewhere in the world.

If the trade ceases (and the EU trades quiie freely with Switzerland/Norway so why would it?) then there will be more French/German companies that lose  profits/jobs/go bust ,than British.

We have no say in the politics of the 450 mllion anyway . All proposals are decided by France/Germany and then supported by at least 20 others . We have one vote and 'a voice' which is ignored . We can vote for or against the proposals but they will go through all the same, or we can veto then , which just pisses off everyone and makes the rest say 'why are they even here?'
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 12 Feb 12 06:46

themover     11 Feb 12 23:25 

Regarding the currency, we now get about 1.20 to the pound when it used to be about 1.50 (around 1.64 to start with)


This is why I wanted the UK to join the euro when it started. The pound was grossly over-valued at the time, and here was a fantastic opportunity to lock in that profit for a generation.

If Tony Blair had got his way, and we had joined, we would now be the richest nation in Europe.

Instead, Gordon Brown stopped him, with the result that any attempt to join now at current exchange rates would be a disaster.
By:
Pandorica
When: 12 Feb 12 08:56
I didn't know at the time. The economics of the issue were beyond me; though I could see that as a "community" move, it would be a good thing.
(It would have also meant that every year I wouldn't go through the, "Should I buy my Euros now?" dilemma. Happy )

Lusitano makes the best point when he talks about the long, long term. On that basis we won't know whether we made the right or wrong decision for decades yet. The decision to go in, by definition, will have to/would have had to, be made in the short term. We are still in that short term.
By:
freeze_the_secret
When: 12 Feb 12 09:11
yes and.....maybe yes.
By:
Pandorica
When: 12 Feb 12 09:22
It's regarded as a Eurozone crisis now but even without the Euro, the collapse of at least four major Western European economies would have had a devastating effects on the rest of Europe. The Euro hasn't caused the problems in Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal.
By:
very-valuable
When: 12 Feb 12 10:13
You wont get many to admit they were behind the Euro in 1999 now,just the same as i couldnt find anyone that had voted Labour when Brown was screwing up the country
Funny that !
By:
moisok
When: 12 Feb 12 11:30
I voted to join what I thought was a common market
I now think we should get out or try(a waste of time) to create a common trading market
By:
History Maker
When: 12 Feb 12 11:33
I voted Labour in 2005.
By:
Ovalman.
When: 12 Feb 12 11:34
Yes and yes but the situation is different in NI where we have a common border to compete with. The ROI is our biggest trading partner. I was in Bray yesterday for footy and it was €5 a pint Scared
By:
moisok
When: 12 Feb 12 11:34
whoops my mistake i thought u meant joining the EU sorry

and non  and no
By:
Eeternaloptimist
When: 12 Feb 12 17:00
sibaroni is a big fan. He will be along shortly to make the case.
By:
sibaroni
When: 12 Feb 12 17:06
It hasn't done Germany any harm.
By:
Cubanpete
When: 12 Feb 12 17:10
Yes back then. No now.

But if we had joined back in 1999 our country would have benefited so much that despite the problems of here and now we would still be better off.

So people thinking they have been proved correct by the state of the Euro now are wrong imo.
By:
Eeternaloptimist
When: 12 Feb 12 17:24
sibaroni

Of course it hasn't done Germany any harm. The EU has been shaped to work in their and France's interests.
By:
moisok
When: 12 Feb 12 17:51
exactly marche marche marche  and you cannot see it!!!
By:
egner
When: 13 Feb 12 14:36
Pandorica Joined: 10 Jul 10
Replies: 4610 12 Feb 12 09:22   
It's regarded as a Eurozone crisis now but even without the Euro, the collapse of at least four major Western European economies would have had a devastating effects on the rest of Europe. The Euro hasn't caused the problems in Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal.


it absolutely has.
By:
sibaroni
When: 13 Feb 12 14:46
All four spent vastly more on pensions and public services than they collected in tax.  The problems were inherent.
By:
egner
When: 13 Feb 12 14:58
yes sibaroni...they were inherent.

but as i stated in before they were their problems and stem from the differences i outlined in my 21:42 post.

by adopting the euro.....a one size fits all currency...these countries lose the flexibility that enables them to deal with these inherent problems in a managed way...such as setting their own interest rates, devaluation etc

Trying to make them into something they are not...efficieent manufaturing giants like Germany and trying to adjust their social habits and attitudes that have built up over generations (like attitudes to retiremnt age and working hours etc) is never going to work...and why should it. They are differnt countires ..with differnt people and cultures and resources.

Their economies are far from perfect but they are their economies.
By:
moisok
When: 13 Feb 12 15:01
the fuehrer's lot and franks started breaking their own 3 percent rules years ago which simply opened the door for the others
do not trust this lot
remember what they have done to us in the past
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