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Yesteryear yesteryear where art thou yesteryear

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By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 00:32
Had 5 legs of the placepot at Wolverhampton today - 720 squid

My two hosses (11/4) finished 3rd and 4th behind 2 x 12-1 shots in a 7 hoss race ffs !!

=====================================================================

Southwell today Cool

£14k jackpot carry over as well.

Which generally means a big placepot pool, todays was £118k !!
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 00:52
Minor notes

1-45
Stallion Bering's progeny have had only 2 runs on Fibresand since december 2008, and both finished nowhere. In a 14 horse race where only 2 runners have course wins, Miereveld and Dunaskin, there could well be a shock result.

Bering's son, Watchmaker, may well like the surface as he has never raced on it before. Even though Fibresand is a lot different to Polytrack, He has plenty of win and place form at the other 3 AW tracks. A small bet at a big price won't do much harm to your wallet. And the trainer also has the horse entered over jumps on Sunday at Hereford !!
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 02:33
2-45

Your hoss, if you are backing one, should ideally have some form on this surface. Stallion stats, as strange as it may seem, are better at finding losers than finding winners.

Tagula's progeny have had 133 races here, yielding 12 wins (9.08% SR)

The short priced favourite is one of Tagula's sons, Drawnfromthepast. He won the Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot in 2007, and won at Lingfield recently. at the weights he looks a fair bet, but has no form on this surface whatsoever. If this was Polytrack you could proabably lump on large, but at odds on, he's not worth backing on his Fibresand debut at those odds. I'll lay this for a few quid.

The 7 horse, Griffin Point, is in the same boat - same sire - course debut. 

Argentine (Fasilyev) - Spic'n' Span (Picoolo) and Spirit of Coniston (Lake Coniston) have the best stallion stats in the race, and are all course winners.  With a bit of luck one of them will turn over the favourite.
By:
pumphol.
When: 07 Feb 12 10:47
Horses for lays

Dolly Colman 1.45
Dancing freddy 3.45
Holy Empress 4.15
Trickofthetrade 4.45

Agree Drawnfromthepast is no value but something tells me there is only Argentine that can beat him.

Good luck TMP
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 11:56
Layed drswnfromthepast at 1.9 last night.

The withdrawal of Spic 'n' Span has caused a reduction factor of 13%, so my lay is now priced at 1.65.

And it's back out to 1.9 now Happy
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 11:58
Can't have it all ways

I backed Global Village at 4.7 last night, it's out to 5.3 Sad
By:
pumphol.
When: 07 Feb 12 12:14
was looking to lay lord of the wing in the first 16/1 in the paper
Gone out from 50 to 130 Laugh
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 12:30
Laugh
By:
pumphol.
When: 07 Feb 12 13:20
Laid Yossi there, only small.
That's it off out now, be lucky.
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 13:27
What have I always said about Tuesdays !! Angry

6 horses in two placepot perms and a jackpot perm.

Not one in the first 3. Cry
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 13:33
Only 1 course and distance winner in the field, and it won it.

How the fack did I miss that ????
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 13:51
Shows how rubbish that race was, and that course form counts for everything.

Miereveld missed the break by some way, non-form studiers knockd it out to 20s for a place, and it got 2nd. Shocked
By:
curious-cat
When: 07 Feb 12 13:57
Hello :)

2 horses sired by Kyllachy in the 2 o'clock ...

Perlachy 8 wins from 41 on the course

La Capriosa 0 from 11

though the course is expected to ride slower today ...
By:
curious-cat
When: 07 Feb 12 13:58
1.45 winning trainer also had a winner yesterday

David Evans has hit a poor run of form recently.
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 14:01
2 'o' clock race is at Wolverhampton

I hold no stats there at all.

But I have stats for 721 stallions at Southwell Happy
By:
curious-cat
When: 07 Feb 12 14:07
David Evans is now 27 runners and 11 days since a winner .... he was in v good form before though.

Steelcut 2nd 5-2 came up on my system but I won't bet a trainer in poor recent form.
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 14:12
If Steelcut ever goes back to Southwell, his sire, Iron Mask, had has 17 runners since December 2008, no wins, no places.
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 14:14
2-15

Claretintheblood is prone to missing the break, but if he gets out with the rest, he's a good bet to be placed.
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 14:19
Broke level with the others, I asked for 1.58, got 1.7, Happy  it went to over 3 !! but was always going to run on late - 3rd Happy
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 14:20
Only 2 course and distance winners in the race, winner and third.
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 14:30
twomatchpoints
07 Feb 12 02:33   
2-45

Your hoss, if you are backing one, should ideally have some form on this surface. Stallion stats, as strange as it may seem, are better at finding losers than finding winners.

Tagula's progeny have had 133 races here, yielding 12 wins (9.08% SR)

The short priced favourite is one of Tagula's sons, Drawnfromthepast. He won the Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot in 2007, and won at Lingfield recently. at the weights he looks a fair bet, but has no form on this surface whatsoever. If this was Polytrack you could proabably lump on large, but at odds on, he's not worth backing on his Fibresand debut at those odds. I'll lay this for a few quid.

The 7 horse, Griffin Point, is in the same boat - same sire - course debut. 

Argentine (Fasilyev) - Spic'n' Span (Picoolo) and Spirit of Coniston (Lake Coniston) have the best stallion stats in the race, and are all course winners.  With a bit of luck one of them will turn over the favourite.


Spic'n' Span is a non-runner.

Just noticed that Spencer rides the favourite (price has drifted all morning) Jamie bound to try and be stylish and come from the back, but if this hoss doesn't like Fibresand it will soon drift further in the betting once the race goes in-running.

If he doesn't lay up with the leaders it may well be worth laying after a furlong to get a bigger price in running for a back.





.
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 14:47
it won - but went as big as 3/1 in running
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 16:43
£4Ok Jackpot carried forward to Kempton tomorrow.

11 runners in leg 6, the syndicates may come out to play and boost both jackpot and placepot pools.
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 16:45
Tricksofthetrade has been well backed

I hope they're wrong as I've layed it. Shocked

Mull Of Kintyre, his sire, has useless stats here compared to the rest of the field
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 16:48
I facking hate Tuesdays Cry
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 16:52
Tricksofthetrade
Dual bumper winner who showed fair level of form in turf maidens, but looked to struggle on this surface on only try. Ran poorly on handicap bow at Catterick in October, and overlooked now.


Timeform ffs.  ^^^ 14/1 to 9/2
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 07 Feb 12 16:53
Horses for lays

Dolly Colman 1.45
Dancing freddy 3.45
Holy Empress 4.15

Trickofthetrade 4.45

Did your money as well then Sad
By:
pumphol.
When: 07 Feb 12 21:46
Yup Sad

No serious damage, problem is if I was at home & seen it gambled I would probably not have done it, & if I had not @ 11 Cry
As I tend to lay race by race, never mind, only winner laid for several meetings so cannot complain.
The 1/8 had the worse stats of the four runners Shocked
By:
pumphol.
When: 07 Feb 12 21:48
Best stat lay of the day was Holy Empress 46 runs one win four places Shocked
Came last I think.
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 08 Feb 12 00:05
Tuesdays ffs !!

I backed Southampton, traded out when they got in front 2-1 for a healthy profit, and a small equal profit if Millwall won or it went to a draw.

Then I changed my mind when it got to 2-2, lowered the profit on Southampton and increased the profit on the draw.

Millwas got a 3rd goal and I ended up level Sad
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 08 Feb 12 21:26
Kempton

Jackpot - out after 3 legs

2 x placepot perms  - out after 4 legs

Backed Astroscarlet for a place in the 5-00 race - he hung badly left coming round the final turn, which is right handed - finished 4th.

What a time to have a quick miscalculation. Angry

Layed the 0-0 at half time in the Middlesborough v Sunderland match, had to wait long enough for the facking goal !!!

Profit on the day - 10p ffs Sad
By:
pumphol.
When: 08 Feb 12 21:51
Oh dear Sad
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 09 Feb 12 19:42
Placepot c0ck up of the year.

When I got home today I thought I had missed the first race, so wasn't bothered about the placepot.

When I noticed I hadn't missed it I put on a perm, in a rush. Sad I always have the favourite in the last leg so I can lay it if I get that far. 

But by mistake I put in the stall number (4) not the horse number (3)

It was a 9/1 shot on Betfair, but I couldn't lay the place as it was a 4 runner race.

BF pay the 2nd place, but the Tote don't.

If I layed it and it got 2nd, I lose my wonga, and don't get the placepot.

I watched in misery as it ran like a facking donkey.

The 8/15 favourite won it, and it paid £150

CryCryCry
By:
pumphol.
When: 10 Feb 12 15:43
Cry
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 12 Feb 12 13:09
Crap card at Southwell today, but if stallion stats hold up, Ron has a fair chance in this field in the 1-15

He's 22 to win and a measly 3.2 for a place

From what I saw with a quick glance, nothing else on the card is interesting
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 12 Feb 12 13:20
^^^ 2nd Happy traded as low as 5.1 but had no chance against the winner.
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 12 Feb 12 13:51
short lived effort in the placepot, out in the 2nd race Sad

It pays £19 after just 2 races, could be a monster dividend
By:
twomatchpoints
When: 12 Feb 12 14:33
my last 3 legs in the placepot were

3-6
1-10
2

I hope one of these fails - I hate going out on just 1 leg Sad
By:
squares
When: 13 Feb 12 14:34
I'm sure I know someone or know of someone who is a fan.  Is it you pumphol?

Frankie Valli and The Four Seasons coming to HQ - 29th June!
By:
David Fishwick Minibus Sales
When: 13 Feb 12 14:45
ttt
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