WHITE CHRISTMAS AND BITTERLY COLD....XMAS WEEK....

I am spending New year in Aldeburgh this year Eastern tip of Suffolk). Might be nippy going for a swim in the sea you reckon?

as long as Kempers is on

iF YOU BELIEVE THE FORECAST, YOU MIGHT BE ABLE TO GO FOR A WALK ON THE SEA..

I have very low confidence in any forecast this far out. Unless we get a lengthy period of high pressure "blocking" patterns just change too quickly to be able to make a prediction with any confidence.

But bring on the White Christmas anyway.

The high pressure moving north towards the UK seems to have come all the way from Africa. Surely that sort of air is going to be stable enough to regress all the way to Iceland and Greenland and give us proper 60s/70s-style northern blocking for a good while to come?

I'm-uh der-reamin' of a whi-i-te Chris-muss imo.

Just looked at the GFS 06z model.... very interesting stuff, with an easterly blast then being followed by northerly winds. Haven't seen a set up like that in winter too often. Models largely in agreement as well except the UKMO one. GFS 06z ensembles look good as well, some very cold 850 HPa temps possible for London.

I'm not a meteorologist, it is a little hobby of mine though.

GFS has been so unreliable in recent winters, even within 48hrs

would be great if it came off

I'm no meteorologist either, Dark Dagger, just a guesser with a 30-year-old O level physics certificate. But what the hell, we could hardly be much worse than the professionals in this field.

I was just watching the charts before 10 o'clock on the BBC news channel last night. The presenter mentioned the high pressure forecast to arrive without mentioning the source shown on the chart. That source seemed significant to me. We don't see this sort of air ridging north very often in December.

Usually the Atlantic just smashes away high pressure after a few days, as the Met office are probably forecasting, but this looks different to me. I reckon these Atlantic lows we've been enjoying are going to get deflected south by this block, as they used to, resulting in easterly blizzards.

But then, that's what we learnt in 30 O level physics 30 years ago. I suppose global warming makes white Christmases impossible in O level physics now.

can I dust off the sledge then?

its about time we got a white christmas

I'd hardly suggest we've been "enjoying" the Atlantic lows :0

the weatherman who does the yorkshire weather on tv, as lumped on a white christmas at 8/1, hes even got his betting slip out on the programme
think the price might drift, or the gamble could snowball,lol