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Inthepocket
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I’ve already backed Inthepocket (after his win) he’s one of my 4 antepost so far with Brighterdaysahead and New Lion.
The speed of jumping between Ballyburn and Inthepocket was very noticeable. 5/1 RSA Ballyburn is my 4th antepost bet. Going back to I’Eau de Sud Saturday, wouldn’t want to back Rubaud first time over Sandown but could be anything. The Irish horse is also very promising and won very easily last time. Could be a cracker. Looking forward to going Sandown both days. |
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I was very taken with Down Memory Lane on chase debut, especially for such a lightly raced horse. I expected him to be stepped up in trip though. The changes to the novice chases at Cheltenham certainly make the novice chase program more interesting imo.
For the RSA, I'd point out that Mullins is very keen on Majborough (though as a 5-y-o he wouldn't be for me). Caldwell Potter should also end up here, and given how keen Elliott was to keep him, he should be good. Croke Park looks like a typical RSA horse - not flashy, but solid, tough and a stout stayer. Meanwhile, the Champion Hurdle is boiling up lovely. I was astonished when Sir Gino went favourite after beating a bunch of moderate handicappers. Lossiemouth looked superb, but in a race run perfectly for her. I'm loving the way Mullins in messing with Henderson's head by saying she'll run against Constitution Hill at Kempton - Nicky regards that race as his own personal penalty kick - he must be crapping himself. |
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Agree Mullins likes Marlborough, but he also has to run Ballyburn in right race. If he’s not speedy enough for 2 miles then he must go down RSA route. If they run over 2miles + in next race I’m not sure we learn anything?
Interesting to see where they go. |
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Think best is 4/6 now
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4/6 l'eau I mean.
I backed Down Memory lane when at Navan and he got the run of things in the race so could be vulnerable in Sandown if he travels |
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Yes, just seen that. Between 4/6 and 4/9 antepost now. King of Kingsfield can be a total rogue and make horses look better than they are, so interesting to see if they bring DML over to take his chance.
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Uncle ur prognosis of Drinmore and Royal Bond races would resemble the slowness of DML race,in the chases the leaders stayed on front of a slow pace and the flat speed won the hurdle of that that ran on the flat
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Uncle
Think you're being a bit harsh on Sir Gino in relation to Lossiemouth, people can crab SG but must do the same for Lossiemouth, she beat slow horses in a crawl, a proper crawl, the novices that weekend went further and 25 seconds quicker the day before, lossiemouth ran in an absolute farce of a race and did precisely what she should have done, she's beating teahupoo and beacon edge receiving weight, in relation to and trying to assimilate that to a champion hurdle is, well it can't be done and she's priced up as if she's already been there and done it. |
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Notwithstanding of course that she could obviously be the real deal and when called upon on the big day she of course may well be able to deliver.
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It's all part of a fascinating puzzle. State Man sets a very solid standard, but one of the others could clearly be better than him. Lossiemouth and Sir Gino still have to prove themselves at that level. If Constitution Hill remains at his best, he'll pick up and carry the others, but that is a huge "if" (and his best was arguably in March 2022). I suppose that's why it's called "gambling".
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Fastorslow out for the rest of the season injured.
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It does wear on you though, every trial that comes and goes seem to leave nothing answered, races being run at a crawl or level of opposition sub standard, then you've got the will he won't he be back, owners having multiple entrants, trainers having multiple entrants, avoiding one another, he'll go here, she'll go there...round and round and round we go
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Some good racing today despite the inclement conditions.
At Sandown Jonbon won as he liked at his favourite track. He's not a terrible price at 11/4 for the QM considering the lack of realistic alternatives but I still wouldn't want to be backing him. I had a speculative little dabble on JPR One at 100/1 a few weeks ago in the hope it might be a goodish ground Festival and he ran pretty well considering the going was all against him. L'eau Du Sud won well enough and cemented his position as the best of the British 2m novice chasers. Where that will leave him come March is another matter. Over in Ireland I have to accept defeat in my hope that The Yellow Clay may go for the Supreme after he to up late to win the Grade 2 over 2m4f. There were three Cheltenham winners in last years running and maybe the one to note was the Mullins trained My Great Mate who was given an 'interesting' ride and might be one for the Martin Pipe. The Cheltenham Bumper winner Jasmin De Faux made a successful hurdling debut without being desperately impressive. The 2m4f novice chase looks a decent heat and Ice Atlantique was impressive in making all. A few scribes are suggesting him for the Brown Advisory but he was impressive on his bumper and hurdles debuts and didn't really kick on. I was more interested in the running of Good Land back in 3rd who was coming back from over 18 months off the track. He was very easy to back on here suggesting the run was going to be needed and he jumped nicely until understandably tiring between the last two. He has good form at Leopardstown so can see him being aimed at the Dublin Racing festival. 50/1 on here for Brown Advisory looks fair. |
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Energumene came back with a win last Sunday though he was receiving weight and was left alone when being challenged at the last by Banbridge.
He clearly loves Cheltenham and if it cones up really soft again he could do a Moscow Flyer at age 11. Banbridge has been well backed for the King George and the weather forecast is in his favour. Yet to win at 3m though. At Cheltenham it was more quantity over quality though Jet Blue was impressive in the Albert Bartlett trial and 25/1 is not the worst price. Liberty Hunter was impressive and it will be interesting to see how he gets on up in grade. Over in Ireland the main focus was on the novice chasers. Majborough won impressively at Fairyhouse first time out and was made 5/1 for the Arkle. Not sure 2m on the Old Course will be far enough for him. Today at Naas Lecky Watson beat Slade Steel after a great round of jumping. Slade Steel jumped safely but maybe not a natural. I will add the Henry De Bromhead stable is in shocking form so I would definitely give him another chance - out to 50/1 on here which I put a few quiz on. I also threw a couple on him for the Champion Hurdle at 350. ![]() ![]() |
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Yep had the 36 on here Jet Blue , you know its coming for the Bartlett and hopefully will jump better early on .Clocked decent time fwiw .
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Sir Gino, Constitution Hill and Galopin Des Champs are sorted; 2 are previous winners, the former was unavoidably detained in his box. I think one could add Jon Bon to the list.
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I123 - go away.
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Well the usual busy Christmas period and plenty to cogitate on.
At Ascot the the Long Walk was won for the second year running by Crambo but as with last year you could throw a blanket over them and the race had little bearing on the Stayers Hurdle so hard to see why it will be different in 2025. Over at Leopardstown the 3m Grade 1 was won by Home By The Lee who also won it in 2022. On paper he looks the ideal type for the New Course, similar to Inglis Drever, but he has not been competitive in the last three Stayers Hurdle, just staying on once the race is over. He still looks the main danger too Teahupoo. The Champion Hurdle picture is still very unclear despite all the main protagonists showing their hand over Christmas. Constitution Hill won nicely from Lossiemouth who was flat to the boards all the way and never looked happy. The proximity in third of Burdett Road, who made. terrible mistake at theist which must have cost him 3-5 lengths, definitely raises doubts about the form. Of course there are legitimate reasons to think Constitution Hill should improve for this given his year off and if he stays 100% sound he should take the beating. Lossiemouth drifted out to 7/1 and she looks the bet to me. Her run reminded me of Galoipin De Champ in the 2023 John Durkan - never travelling or jumping from the word go, over a track/trip that was too sharp, yet still only beaten a short distance. In Ireland Brighterdaysahead put up an astonishing performance on paper to thrash Stateman who couldn't even finish second. However it does bring to mind the likes of Apples Jade and Cyrname, even Hawkwing's Lockinge, and there is still a chance she goes for the Mares Hurdle. The King George was a bit weird. No surprise to see the French horse run them ragged for a long wag and equally no surprise it fell in a hole once it came out of cruise control (I think I read it burst a blood vessel again). The only surprise was the the only horse able to take advantage was the unproven stayer Banbridge. I guess his ability to travel in his comfort zone was a key point and the rest were all done before the home turn. He is now favourite for the Ryanair and given decent conditions he should go well. The likes of Spillanes Tower, L'Homme Presse, Grey Dawning etc may do better at Cheltenham, though if he were mine I'd save Spillanes Tower for Fairyhouse and Punchestown. In Ireland Galopin Des Champ did his usual Leopardstown procession and will need to underperform for anything to touch him at Cheltenham. Fact To File ran well but an extra 2f at Cheltenham is surely not what he needs and he would be an odds-on shot if they go for the Ryanair. Inothewayyourthinkin ran ok and 50/1 e/w looks a reasonable bet for the Gold Cup. The 2m Grade One at Leopardstown was won by the fully exposed Solness with Gaelic Warrior running a bit flat in second. It still wouldn't be a surprise top see him win at Cheltenham, especially as I don't like Jonbon. The novice chase races threw up some nice winners and obviously Sir Gino looks a penalty kick for the Arkle - as suggested a year ago in last years thread. ![]() I was very impressed with The Jukebox Man who jumped impeccaby. At 7/1 I much prefer him to Ballyburn and Dancing City. The big novice chases in Ireland weren't desperately exciting with Croke Park winning at Leopardstown and Impaire Et Passe beating a bad field at Limerick. The novice hurdle divisions still looks very open. The Supreme is still 10/1 the field. As I suggested up thread Romeo Coolio was much better suited to making the running over 2m and while he won well I can't get excited about him for the Supreme. At Aintree Potters Charm won the old Tolworth but it was a very weak race and he may be better suited to the Turners. The Challow was won effortlessly by The New Lion and he is now 3/1 favourite for the Turners. It wasn't a great race and there have been a few impressive winners in recent years who have gone on to get stuffed at Cheltenham, though the Irish challenge is currently not looking that threatening. In the non graded races there wasn't a huge amount to get excited about. Kopek Des Bordes was the most interesting and won easily despite jumping poorly. I assume he'll go up in trip but he might be one for fences next year. |
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Thanks Uncle , hard to remember a better novice jumper than The Jukebox Man .
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Does anyone think there is a possibility of Losange Bleu coming over for the Stayers ? I realise all runs have been at Auteuil , but at least its the right way round .
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Lots of action since my last post and several high profile runners have been ruled out like Anzadam and The Jukebox Man
.Jonbon impressively won the Grade 1 at Ascot from Energumene but I still want to oppose him at Cheltenham . As with Lossiemouth at Kempton there was a big drift on Energumene and he never really looks like challenging Jonbon. It was his second run back after a long off and the ground would have been plenty quick enough for him - out to 16/1 on her which if it came up really soft would look generous. The Dublin Racing Festival (aka Wille Mullins Benefit) is on this weekend and Gaelic Warrior puts his QM credentials on the line at Leopardstown on Sunday (though don't forget he flopped at the meeting last year and then rose like a phoenix at Cheltenham). Plenty of good novice races since my last post and the horse that really grabbed my attention was Kawaboomga who won at Fairyhouse. That race featured three horses who had been in the frame at the Leopardstown Christmas meeting and he stayed on strongly to beat William Munny with miles back to the third. Mullins said afterwards he would step up to the Turners and I have had plenty of 14/1 nrnb. ![]() His win franked the from of Kopek Des Bordes who beat him at Leopardstown and he is favourite for the 2m Grade 1 on Sunday. His jumping needs to be better but he clearly has some engine and the current 12/1 (7/1 nrnb) for the Supreme now might look good by Sunday evening. The Irish Champion hurdle could be an all Mullins affair with Brighterdaysahead not featuring and the vibe being she will go for the Mares. Lossiemouth is favourite but an on song Statesman should beat her - if she looks to lack the pace for 2m again will she go back for the Mares? With that possibility in mind I had a speculative £20 at 100/1 nrnb on Kargese with Slybet last night (odds were immediately cut to 80/1 ).Went through the Triumph like the best horse before getting outstayed on the New Course by the mighty Majborough. Then really served it up to Sir Gino at Aintree - and he would be second favourite for the Champion Hurdle if he was being aimed there. She returned at Ascot over 2m3f but pulled her jockeys arms out to the start and through the race and despite coming there looking the winner between he last two she got outstayed, and to me looks like a fast run 2m is what she wants not 2m4f of the Mares. Obviously an on song Constitution Hill will be unbeatable but he could yet have another 'problem' and does take a chance at his hurdles. |
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If BDA and Lossiemouth run in the CH, Kargese will definitely run in the Mares. To be honest, I don't think she will run in CH, no matter what happens.
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It's only 3 weeks away. Is anyone in the Festival mood yet? I just like to see Constitution Hill and Galopin Des Champ retaining their crown.
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Has constitutional Hill got a share in Galloping des champs crown
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A belated update with the Festival now just around the corner.
But before that can I just say how desperately sad it was when the news Rome last week about Michael O’Sullivan. It’s easy to forget just how dangerous this sport can be and I will be leaving the bulk of my estate to the IJF in my will. The Dublin Racing festival was the expected Mullins benefit. Kopek Des Bordes was immense and my 12/1 is looking very nice. It also paid a compliment to Kawaboomga so my novice hurdle portfolio is looking rather tasty. ![]() One other horse I will look to play in the Supreme is William Munny, who was very impressive at Punchestown on Thursday. He too franked the form of the above two as well as Workahead who beat him at Christmas, though WM jumped far better on this occasion. Will look to play him in the place market and forecast with KDB. Final Demand was an easy winner of the longer novice hurdle but it wasn’t a particular strong race and he looks short enough with The Yellow Clay, The New Lion and Kawaboomga in opposition - though The Yellow Clay may go for the Albert Bartlett, and maybe even The New Lion and/or Kawaboomga might go Supreme if it was really soft (have taken 12/1 on the latter nrnb just in case). The Irish Champion Hurdle match up ended with a terrible looking fall for Lossiemouth. Stateman won unchallenged yet was unimpressive in doing so. Surely Brighterdaysahead has to take her chance now, not that I want her to win. Majborough and Ballymore won the grade one novice chases and will be hard to beat at Cheltenham, especially after Sir Gino was ruled out. ![]() Galopin Des Champs did his usual and could go off crazy short for the Gold Cup. Fact To File ran well and should go for the Ryanair but JP has Spillanes Tower for that - maybe one of them will miss Cheltenham altogether? Spillanes Tower apparently didn’t travel well when he disappointed in the King George which would be a worry. The Champion Chase trial was a rerun of the Christmas meeting race and the result was the same with Solness making all to beat Marine Nationale and Gaelic Warrior. The latter again looked very laboured and one can only hope it’s a Leopardstown thing. I’d love to see Marine Nationale win in memory of Michael O’Sullivan and he does seem to be improving. The Triumph Hurdle trial was a repeat of the Christmas race with Hello Neighbour beating Lady Vega Allen. The winner is now unbeaten in four starts and only seems to do enough so is hard to weigh up. East India Dock looks bombproof and, with Lulamba’s Ascot form being let down by Mondo Man, EID will surely go off clear favourite on the day? |
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Looking like Kawaboomga won’t be running at Cheltenham judging from markets on here.
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Afraid so
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If you are going and looking for somewhere to eat afterwards ... The Beefy Boys in Cheltenham was ranked the best burger in the UK and 2nd best in the world.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HJ19M5-23rs |
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Cheltenham (if the going gets really soft or heavy don’t back them)::
Tuesday TRIPOLI FLYER (each way), JANGO BAIE (each way), CONSTITUTION HILL Wednesday THE NEW LION, JONBON Thursday SIXANDAHALF, PROTEKTORAT Friday EAST INDIA DOCK, KABRAL DE MATHAN (each way). All the best |
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No horse wearing any type of headgear has won since Flown in 1992 if thinking getting your betting bank for rest of meeting on fav in first wears a hood mybe 34 time lucky
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NOTED
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There's only one horse everyone has come to see tomorrow. It's Galopin Des Champs. Let's hope he wins, and is accorded the same accolade as Arkle and Best Mate.
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None of the big four races went to the favourite. The Ryanair is the fifth "major".
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Went to Gold Cup day this year and honestly it was a bit underwhelming. Watched more races on the big screens than actually live, queues for the toilets were excessive in the Centaur building and 3 deep when you actually did eventually get there.
Food and drink grossly overpriced, £7.80 for a Guinness and £3.10 for a can of Diet Coke for example. Wouldn't rush back if I'm being brutally honest. I was in an Irish bar in Birmingham called Hennessey's on the Thursday and they had screens everywhere showing RacingTV along with tables and chairs, no excessive quesues for drinks, decent food menu too. That'd be my kind of idea of watching the festival next year. |
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Got to agree Somerset. £9 to use the shuttle bus to town or £15 to use the park and ride. £7.80 for a can of bitter that costs a quid in the supermarket. They are just taking the p1$$.
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They are just taking the p1$$.
Surprised they haven't started charging for that, big queues, a good few quid in that ![]() |
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Quite.
Welcome to the racecourse sir, please empty your wallet into this bin as you go in. |
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The management will squeeze and squeeze and squeeze the maximum profit they can. As their prices / profits go up, the crowd numbers will drop accordingly. Shame on them.
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