Forums

Cheltenham Festival

Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
Tiger Tiger
25 Feb 24 18:04
Joined:
Date Joined: 14 Jul 09
| Topic/replies: 23,531 | Blogger: Tiger Tiger's blog
Handicaps.....

If you layed every horse that started Fav in its last race, you would have had 11 winning years from the last 13
2023 Just 1/19 winning at a Bfsp of 9.22

Horses carrying between 10 stone 13lbs and 11 stone 2 lbs


lay all the ones between 3/1 and 12/1 - profits 11/13 years
2023 Just 1/23 winning at a Bfsp of 17.08
2022 O winners from 20 runners


Non Handicaps


Lay every horse than ran at Ascot last time out, profit every year for the last 13 years
2023 - 0/4
2022 - 1/6 winner was Bfsp 3.9
2021 - 0/8

Lay those that Didnt win LTO and lost at odds between 1.05 and 5.5 - Profit 12/13 years
2023 Just 3 winners from 58 runners, winners were Bfsp of 21, 8.6 and 2.41 for 24 points profit


Horses that are running in Grade 1 and 2 races and ran in a Grade 1,2 or 3 LTO

Back those priced up to 16/1 that have won a race in the last 12 months, no 8 year olds - Profit 11/13 years with a 17% strike rate, average Bfsp of 7
2023 14/60 won at prices up to Bfsp 18.7


Back 6/7 year olds up to 18/1

That won LTO at odds up to 11/1, profits 10 of the last 13 years
2023 7 won from 38 at Bfsp prices up to 18

And a real crazy one to finish: Strike rate just 5.3%
Back those that went off between 4th and 8th fav LTO - Profits 10/13 years
Up to 80/1
2023 7 winners from 103 runners at Bfsp of 110.14 and 55.74, 11.43, 12.45, 2.37, 5.7 and 8.11, giving 98 points profit

I did say dodgy, maybe I should have said crazy as well as dodgy

And I havent even looked at a bottle of wine today, yet.

Dont ask where I get some of these ideas from.
Pause Switch to Standard View Dodgy Festival alternative Stats......
Show More
Loading...
Report irishone February 25, 2024 6:50 PM GMT
fantastic analysis

.....but if it is that good WTF are you doing sharing it ?

Get yerself a job with At the Races, Sky etc

Do not bother with us mere dipsticks
Report OilyWragg February 25, 2024 6:56 PM GMT
Nice stuff TT but all backfitted of course.
Report Tiger Tiger February 26, 2024 11:24 AM GMT
Yes Oily, every stat is backfitted Mischief
Report Johnny The Guesser February 29, 2024 9:39 PM GMT
Back every horse in every race at BSP.
3 winning years on the bounce.
Report LoyalHoncho March 5, 2024 9:20 PM GMT
Don't call me mere!  Laugh
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com