Cheltenham Festival
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07 Mar 21
20:12
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Date Joined:
05 Oct 11
I don't stand to win much on this horse, but increasingly he is the one horse I want to see win at the Festival. It seems every single clever dick out there is fielding against him. I have just read four alternatives to him on the Sporting Life, one of which isn't even running. What has the horse done wrong? He was probably beaten by a decent horse last year and has won all his three starts over hurdles by daylight. Two starts ago he couldn't have been more impressive and last time he still got the job done without Fire Attack to run at. He stays well, seems straightforward and the likely faster pace should suit him well. There are plenty of others you could throw darts at that don't have those credentials.
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Replies: 72
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I agree, I watched all his races again today and most of the other runners races, and just thought he will win, Soaring Glory is the only one I can see beating him, and think Glory will be suited be the better ground.
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ballyadam got a bit closer to him at the dublin festival than he did at christmas however he was still put in his place,i thought at the start of the season he would be a ballymore horse but there you go.
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Appreciate it lover signing in....
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I think people are only against him because of the current price.
Good to soft I’d think you’d get 5/2 on the day. |
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good to soft when he was very impressive in his bumper win at leopardstown .
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I would think the Irish will lump on him to get the money to lump on Honeysuckle in the Champion Hurdle. Shiskin looks too strong to oppose in the Arkle.
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slight problem there andy there wont be any irish there or brits for that matter.
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Soft ground 5/4....goodish ground 9/4-5/2.
Soft he wins....goodish I’m not so sure. |
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The money will still be there though Jim
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So hibore at 5/2 are you a player
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Wants to set his own pace if it isn't quick and make it as stiff a test as he can without being compromised himself which is a fine line, because he would be vulnerable to something quicker. They didn't seem to go quick in the bumper last year and he travelled strongly through the race and turning in was still cruising and had 4 lengths in his pocket on Ferny Hollow, but couldn't pick up and the winner made the ground up and ran right on by.
He's got stamina as his big strength and the Supreme is typically a staying type of race and it looks a mediocre field so on balance I think he's the most likely winner, the price is horrible though. |
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I think it’s a poor race bar the top 4. Would I back AI at 5/2 on quicker ground than soft ?.......probably worth the risk.
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Why does he want to set his own pace? He was held up on hurdling debut and was happy to be towed along by Fire Attack when very impressive. He just wants a decent pace, he doesn't need to set it. I am sure under those circumstances he would be quite happy to sit behind the leader.
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That's what I said, set his own pace if it isn't quick enough, he would have to be prepared to do so rather than allow himself to be vulnerable if it isn't strong enough.
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can't see many runners ? hoping for the hills 7 places been a big earner last 2 years
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Apologies Duffy, I misread your comment.
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Quite alright
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A few people have put up Keskonrisk, but it seems if you take the comments on At The Races at face value he is now more likely to go Ballymore.
Yes, that is the tougher race, but surely a better fit for the horse. He hasn't looked anywhere near quick enough for a Supreme in his two hurdle runs. Along with Bear Ghylls I think he would be the other one to bustle up the front three in the Ballymore. Really looking forward to that race. |
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Looks the obvious winner but I would not put it past Willie to win it with another one.
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Soaring Glory not a def apparantly.
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backed him 40s when segal put him up was on devilscoachman to devastating
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The reason being giving for possibly not running Soaring Glory is that the owner won't be there. Wouldn't be many runners if they all did that.
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be lucky if 10 turn up supreme
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Only 18 left in today.
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Are half of them trained by W Mullins? The RP site is still showing about 40 still in.
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Six Mullins left in. It takes the RP and hour or so to update.
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Thanks strontium. I still wonder if Mullins will pull another rabbit out of his hat to beat Appreciate It. My only £2 bet was the Henderson horse that was withdrawn weeks ago so I will be watching and learning until Allmankind wins the Arkle
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Betfair Sportsbook has them up
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Is Bob Olinger still in?
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20s on here.
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Soaring Glory looks all right at 13.5 win only
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Willie has not left in his unraced or the unbeaten one from France which were the ones I was interested in. The ones that run all have Irish form.
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soaring glory not sure to run here
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Fair point FOYLES, the price has that risk inbuilt I guess. There must still be a genuine question over his participation.
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At least one formline horse left too , have the 250s Guard Your Dreams , still has to run though .
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if you want to back it nrnb the way to go ,8/1 for the county hurdle with b365, possibly wont line up at the festival.
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In everything !
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I can understand the opposition to Appreciate it at the price, in my opinion he should be running in the Ballymore and with the ground likely to be decent you can just visualise it getting done for toe
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Not my cup of tea amd I'm not an Arber but it struck me that there's money to be made by laying it here @ 2.74. I'd be surprised if the books don't go 2/1 on the day.
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