Cheltenham Festival
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Anybody know when the entries are out as well?
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Exactly that...wait till the entries are out
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Be interested in the weight and price ONE FOR THE TEAM gets / is if entered for the £m Handicap Chase on the Tuesday
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I am very interested and have already backed BLACKBOW in the Grand Annual, impressed on debut then fell and in my opinion was given a trot round last time whilst all eyes were on his better fancied stablemate, he basically had a schooling session out the back, I'd expect much the same at the weekend if he runs.
He just looks like a typical horse that the stable obviously think a lot of but things might not have panned out for him to compete at the highest level just now but might look very attractive in a handicap off a potentially decent mark. |
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Have backed MENGLI KHAN in the grand annual and SEA DUCOR in the County hurdle , Both are entered this weekend so will probably blow their marks so hoping neither run until March
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Tips now available if you look at the Musselburgh card for the weekend. Elliots range finding exercise has yielded some info.
Escaria Ten getting a rating of 140! I had him down for the NH Chase, looks as though the 3 miler and the Kim Muir are now in the cross-hairs. Talk about lenient! |
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It's not very original, but Jerrysback looks to be one for one of the handicap chases whether its the ULTIMA or the Kim Muir. Should imagine he is well found regardless.
Botox Has would interest me if he went to the County |
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Meat Loaf, entry stage is 23rd Feb. It’s usually two days later that they’re actually revealed.
I think that the weights will be revealed roughly a week later from the 25th. Apologies if this is wrong. |
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Lots of snow forecast for Scotland at the weekend, Musselburgh must be at risk.
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I agree with Blackbow duffy. He owes me after sitting out the back last time but the handicapper might have noticed. Otherwise I am happy to wait for the final decs.
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Blackbow running today is a bit bizarre. Must still fancy him for the Grade 1’s because if he runs well his handicap mark will be blown out of the water.
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Wasn't expecting such a prominent run as that, I'm pleased to see the good run and disappointed in equal measure
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Can’t see him running at Cheltenham after that. Where would he go with a chance now ?
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Well, he's going to be nearly top weight in the Grand Annual if he ran in that, it's that or nothing though I think, a trot round out the back would have been preferable, but he's classy and improving still and a strong end to end gallop will suit as he's still a little keen.
He's shown himself to a large degree and if there is something hidden away down the bottom so be it but I hope they run him in it. |
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he's classy and improving still and a strong end to end gallop will suit as he's still a little keen.
Do you think he’s improved from his debut run over fences Duffy? |
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If Blackbow doesn't jump better than that he won't win any chase at Cheltenham. Clearly very talented. County Hurdle?
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harry,
I'd say his 10 length 3rd in a grade one today behind a right tool was an improved run from his beginner's chase win. Why, do you think he's gone backwards ? |
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No don’t think he’s gone backwards, just don’t think he’s improved much from his debut chase win...I’d say myself we are talking small margins just an opinion but his debut run was decent but he hasn’t come forward much from that imo
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Out of interest Duffy how much do you think he’s improved from his debut run?
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Fair enough, he did fall the 2nd run and then was never put in the race, so this was his first proper effort since.
I think his sometimes sketchy jumping was down to for a large part because he was keen and a lot of the time the jockey was letting him find his own way at the fences, when they were in sync he made some good leaps, thought he boxed on well enough too after the last. |
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Well, I think if the handicapper was able to give him a mark after his debut he would have rated him in the low 140's, today he will be rated in the low 150's
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He was hurdling his fences. You can't do that at Cheltenham. He might jump better on better ground.
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Ive actually always liked him Duffy tbh but he’s a deceiving character if you know what I mean I don’t know why but he’s quirky in my book
he’s always had the talent but he does seem better this season but I’m a little bit with sageform in regards his jumping. I’m certainly not going to give up on him as think there is a pot in him but not sure when that maybe...I don’t think he has come forward much though but no doubt he can win again this season with his ability he just isn’t easy for me to place |
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The best one was Sky Pirate before the trainer thought it was sensible to wreck his mark by winning at Warwick.
The problem with every handicap is one J P McManus. Same every year. Just lucky if you land on the buzzer. Look how he flooded the handicaps today. Top Moon had appeared to show little aptitude for fences and nearly pops up at 50/1. |
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I just hope that in a years time there will be a new trivia question doing the rounds!!
Which festival winner was beaten in four maiden hurdles all at odds on? |
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It is hard enough for GB handicappers to rate Irish horses in a normal season but this time it is impossible.
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If he comes over the horse I would
be interested in is,Embittered (IR 144). |
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Good Ball Fred Winter for me
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If Thyme White does not get a run in the Betfair he might be interesting for the County Hurdle. He needs a run before though.
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Last year handicap entries were revealed on Thursday 20th February and weights were revealed on Wednesday 26th February. The Festival started on Tuesday 10th March.
Working back from this year's Festival start date of Tuesday 16th March, I'd expect handicap entries to be revealed on Thursday 25th February and weights to be revealed on Wednesday 3rd March. |
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Still think connections will think logically and exploit a mark of 140 with bear ghylls in the Martin pipe conditional jockeys race, he looks visibly treated to me
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So in all likelihood they have a 150+ horse who is more than qualified to take his chance in a Ballymore, but they will run him in a handicap with a jock who has never ridden the horse before? I wish I thought you were joking.
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I’m sure bryan carver or Rex dingle will be an able deputy...
certainly the right race for him, like you said on another thread, ballymore very competitive so this should be far more his bag, novices have a tremendous record in the Martin pipe so perfect for this keen horse |
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backing all elliots blind like the way they bolted up in last years festival. While his form isn't mighty over the past few mouths, alot of horses should be having a few lbs on the handicapper
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Harry will you stop winding that man up
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I'm not winding him up, that is the best spot for that horse...sorry if that offends. I did actually mention it on the bear ghylls thread if you care to look, it is on there. Why would you not want to exploit that Mark. Anyway just an opinion
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If you check I said the same to on the chat,.just trying to lighten the mood.. Plenty of graded horses goes MP instead of a novice race. If Fakiera(joint fav for AB) gets 145 IN England it'll go MP to
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Yes agreed plenty of graded horse go the Martin pipe, if I thought he was weighted out of it I wouldn’t think it was good spot for him but it seems a good fit to me,
I can’t remember a horse winning a handicap before the ballymore hurdle before and a handicap might just suit him more than a conditions race and help him drop the bit as he is a keen type...the Martin pipe is a grade 3 also and at this stage he’d only be that grade, so makes sense to keep him in company that he can win in |
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It'll also give him an extra 2 days to improve his jumping.
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