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Cheltenham Festival

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These 71 comments are related to the topic:
May not be a Chelt fez 2019 yet if this is as bad as first looks ...

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Replies: 71
By:
irishone
When: 08 Feb 19 17:25
What's that 7 unofficially .....?

Oh dear ...
By:
Hanx
When: 08 Feb 19 17:39
However, a backlash is emerging to the (some would say) over the top knee-jerk response of the BHB to equine flu ('not Ebola!' as one leading Equine Vetinary practise tweeted today)
By:
SEATHESTARS....NO1
When: 08 Feb 19 17:39
3 more confirmed cases, hopefully there will be none from other yards in the next 3 or 4 days otherwise this could rumble on and on.

Sorry for stating the obvious but my gut feeling isn't a good one so i will keep it to myself ScaredCry
By:
lewisham ranger
When: 08 Feb 19 17:42
it's over guys. time to move on to the 2020 renewal and hope we boost the vaccines by then Crazy

on a more serious note, I was watching a documentary the other night explaining how antibiotics aren't always working anymore because we've overused them... they are also used to treat animals as well. although this is separate from this, maybe it's in a way part of the same problem? Scared
By:
buddeliea
When: 08 Feb 19 17:46
Same with me STS.
I'm just hoping for some good news.......somewhen!!
By:
lewisham ranger
When: 08 Feb 19 17:46
However, a backlash is emerging to the (some would say) over the top knee-jerk response of the BHB to equine flu ('not Ebola!' as one leading Equine Vetinary practise tweeted today)

think they are terrified by the implications of the festival being cancelled. that's become such a big thing now that it's bigger than the game itself, it seems.
By:
duffy
When: 08 Feb 19 17:50
The problem that we've got at the moment is that we are living at a highly sensitive time, particularly in relation to horse "welfare" add into that the continual BHA blunders and you end up with a situation where the BHA want to be seen to be right on top of this and want to look like the knights in shining armour that save our festival and such like, it also though gives rise to potential over-reactions from them.

In 2003 there was a larger outbreak in Newmarket and we knew little about it and racing was not cancelled.

Between March and May 2003, equine influenza virus infection was confirmed as the cause of clinical respiratory disease among both vaccinated and unvaccinated horses of different breeds and types in at least 12 locations in the UK. In the largest outbreak, 21 thoroughbred training yards in Newmarket, with more than 1300 racehorses, were affected, with the horses showing signs of coughing and nasal discharge during a period of nine weeks. Many of the infected horses had been vaccinated during the previous three months with a vaccine that contained representatives from both the European (A/eq/Newmarket/2/93) and American (A/eq/Newmarket/1/93) H3NN8 influenza virus lineages. Antigenic and genetic characterisation of the viruses from Newmarket and elsewhere indicated that they were all closely related to representatives of a sublineage of American viruses, for example, Kentucky/5/02, the first time that this sublineage had been isolated in the uk. In the recently vaccinated racehorses in Newmarket the single radial haemolysis antibody levels in acute sera appeared to be adequate, and there did not appear to be significant antigenic differences between the infecting virus and A/eq/Newmarket/1/93, the representative of the American lineage virus present in the most widely used vaccine, to explain the vaccine failure. However, there was evidence for significantly fewer infections among two-year-old horses than older animals, despite their having similar high levels of antibody, consistent with a qualitative rather than a quantitative difference in the immunity conveyed by the vaccination.
By:
differentdrum
When: 08 Feb 19 19:54
What a bunch doom mongers. I doubt there are any experts on here and the white flag is already out.

6 confirmed cases in one yard. You could be excused for thinking it was 6,000 if you read this thread.
By:
duffy
When: 08 Feb 19 20:12
The BHA are the doom mongers, the point I've just made (badly obviously) is that the BHA are so scared of their own shadow and what the wider public are going to say that they've jumped all over it in an effort to give themselves some decent PR for a change.
By:
Hanx
When: 08 Feb 19 20:59
Fair point Duffy - they had to be seen to be doing something but what a PR disaster it will be if they do cancel Cheltenham.

Like differentdrum says (yeah,feel the love, brothers I'm in a good mood tonight) none of us have a scooby about any of this, but FWIW I can't see how the flu can shut down racing's biggest festival of the year. It might cut the fields down (and surely it's down to the owners & trainers after blood tests and their usual pre-race checks to decide if their horse should run or not), it might render the form book useless and it might mean some strange performances / winners over the 4 days, but I genuinely can't see the BHB shutting down the Festival

It is not foot and mouth again and, it is not Ebola.
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 08 Feb 19 21:58
Do horses die of it? I know people do (not of the equine variety, I hope).
By:
duffy
When: 08 Feb 19 22:24
The BHA have already blinked and started off down the wrong road by shutting racing down, they may find that hard to do a turnabout if there is anything less than a 100% all clear and this raises the problem of what the impact of further delays will have going forward.

It may all be sorted by the time the festival comes round but if a stack of runners have missed their preps beforehand and are therefore not ready then the festival itself becomes potentially farcical.

We can't afford to miss any more weekends.
By:
duffy
When: 08 Feb 19 22:25
The BBC are loving this by the way, listening to their latest news report you'd think the population was facing extinction.Cry
By:
Hanx
When: 08 Feb 19 22:34
Well that's the BBC for you.

Not a peep from the quoting someone like Nigel Twiston-Davies who is calling this a 'massive over reaction' pointing out, quite correctly, that all stables usually have a couple of horses under the weather that they check with blood tests and tracheal washes and if they come back negative, they don't run them.

This is not strangles or equine herpes that can kill horses.

"They get sick, but not that sick – just a snotty nose and temperature."

Newmarket Vet Peter Ramzan also states:

"We can expect some poor-performing yards and more respiratory disease than usual, but as with previous episodes it will pass, vaccines will get updated and we’ll then have another extended period of relative health in the population.

"I can understand a degree of nervousness on the part of the regulator, who have to be seen to be doing the right thing, and it's understandable it wishes to find out more, but this can be achieved through surveillance swabbing without mandating a shutdown of racing or of individual yards.

"Trainers by and large use their common sense and nobody chooses to send sick horses to the races."
By:
irishone
When: 08 Feb 19 23:27
Its not an over reaction lads..... If any of you own horses you will know....they are chucking a bucket of water on a burning bale of hay. It takes horses 4 to 6. weeks to get over it..... The more tests positive at different yards the worse it gets. If you have one horse in a field of forty with it they will all have it in no time. They are doing the best they can, they have to, basic p r crisis management. They probably have a p r company telling them what to say. Not looking good
By:
duffy
When: 08 Feb 19 23:43
What of the 2003 outbreak then that we heard nothing of and racing continued without it all falling down, it's the current climate of fear of the animal rights brigade driving this...nothing more.
By:
TimmyRiggins
When: 09 Feb 19 01:35
Irishone got his bollocks on the festival to be cancelled by the looks of things
By:
The Dragon
When: 09 Feb 19 08:36
yup
By:
The Dragon
When: 09 Feb 19 08:37
will be fine ffs
By:
irishone
When: 09 Feb 19 09:24
Ive got my b0llox on n air fare, a hotel for three nights and a hired car morelike
By:
buddeliea
When: 09 Feb 19 09:47
I think the festival will still be on,but like all of us on here i dont know for sure.
So people having differing views should be expected.
Just because we want it on,dont mean someone cant come on here expressing doubts.

End of the day, decisions will be made in the interests of horses welfare,not our desire to have the festival.
By:
johnslad
When: 09 Feb 19 11:04
Joined: 22 Sep 06
| Topic/replies: 40,490 | Blogger: irishone's blog
Its not an over reaction lads..... If any of you own horses you will know....they are chucking a bucket of water on a burning bale of hay. It takes horses 4 to 6. weeks to get over it..... The more tests positive at different yards the worse it gets. If you have one horse in a field of forty with it they will all have it in no time. They are doing the best they can, they have to, basic p r crisis management. They probably have a p r company telling them what to say. Not looking good
would you ever get a grip,if 1 has it they will all get it ahh grow up ffs
By:
FOYLESWAR
When: 09 Feb 19 13:11
these stable shutdowns  excuse my ignorance ,does it mean no gallops or working of horses on home gallops and the like ?
By:
Hanx
When: 09 Feb 19 13:35
hey have to, basic p r crisis management. They probably have a p r company telling them what to say. Not looking good

If they have then they're being badly advised in strictly PR terms, because, whilst on Thursday afternoon, the BHB might have given the impression of taking charge and being in control, they have left themselves nowhere to go now.

So say that a few (defne that as you like) stables have horses that come back with positive signs of flu. This would be expected anyway and trainers would put them on the asy list, definitely not run them and test them to ensure they are fit to run again.

Now, this will be used as evidence for a longer shutdown of racing - even though there is absolutly no restrictions on movements of the rest of the horse population. But hey, it gives a great impression that the BHB are in control, even though what they're suggesting is as much use as t1ts on a fish.

I repeat. This is not foot and mouth Mk2.
By:
nocturnal
When: 09 Feb 19 14:22
Not Ignorant Foyles,nobody seems to have a clue.

I would guess that 99% yards are doing nothing different,just monitoring horses daily,as they would do throughout the year,working them as normal.

There are a few things here that confuse me,forgive my naivety.

If every racehorse has been vaccinated,surely they must be the lowest risk group in the country ?

Imagine a few ringing into work with flu,they say fine,and shut down the whole 16,000 odd company.

That may not be the best analogy,but thats how it looks to me as an outsider.

Of course it opens up a whole can of worms,just what and how are they testing ?

If it includes blood tests,white cell and red cell blood counts would be a given.

Just how many of these yards want their horses tested,at short notice.

If the break is designed to allow for testing,no issue with that at all.

As stated above,what do you do if those tests do highlight a certain % of horses are positive ?

Have the BHB backed themselves into a corner ? Interesting to see how this pans out.
By:
Hanx
When: 09 Feb 19 15:07
"The BHA has announced that "there have been no further positive samples returned" from 720 swabs tested to date for equine flu by the Animal Health Trust of the 2,100 received". (Sporting Life website, live as of now)

Your move BHB, having, effectively, marched us all to the top of the hill.....
By:
irishone
When: 09 Feb 19 16:38
Good news !
By:
irishone
When: 10 Feb 19 09:36
Interesting with luck on sunday. Mild clinical signs, inconsistent swabs, ireland still racing after case found here, different strain behaving differently, all the hallmarks of a mess
By:
irishone
When: 10 Feb 19 09:37
The animal health trust have not been doing the swabs....down to the trainers
By:
irishone
When: 11 Feb 19 07:12
10 reported in total now .... Tip of the iceberg ...1.01 nap
By:
duffy
When: 11 Feb 19 14:44
Yeah, and if they tested every month for the past 20 years they'd have probably found 10 cases, if they are going to wait until there are no cases then there will be no racing again, they must be brave and resume racing WITH positive cases, it is not armageddon.
By:
Hanx
When: 11 Feb 19 14:44
The relatively few number of cases presents an even greater challenge to the BHB.

I'd have been amazed if the authorities hadn't found further cases in the rachorse population, but what is the threshold level for a further cancellation of racing? Four? Forty? Four Hundred?

Meanwhile DEFRA have not initiated any mandatory preventitive measures in the general horse population, so whilst racing continues to be in the vanguard of being seen to be doing something and feeling very important about itself, practically (fully prepared to admit my technical limitations here) it's achieving nothing.

Like I said, they've matched everyone up to the top of the hill and now there's nowhere left for them to go - sure, they got a short-term PR plus last Wednesday. Now what?

Meanwhile jockeys, valets, horse-box hiring companies....the whole racing supply chain away from the high-profile operators such as the courses themselves, bookmakers owners & trainers....continue to suffer.
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