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Voix du Reve- off 20 mnths before this season & all 3 runs over too far, refusing to settle long way Coral Cup; didnt look short of speed when fell last in 2016 Fred Winter (hit 1.22 IR) & surely a 2miler
Seddon- gave up outside to no-one in bumper but trav well long way and beat more than beat him Bacardy's- unexposed beyond 2½m and looked to have plenty left when tumbling last in muddling Stayer's Theinval- real favourite who just found soft ground blunting him at business end in GA; remains 3lb lower than when leading over final fence in last year's valuable Red Rum at Aintree |
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Voix Du Reve for sure, I wrote the equivalent of war and peace and stuck it on the forum as to why he was a bet at the festival further down the thread
.He's a keen goer and consequently I was gobsmacked when the jockey had him right on the outside of the field which just served to light him up even more. His relative class still saw him right there until two out before his exertions told. Back down to 2 miles, I reckon he's very well handicapped, he'll be dropped again now most probably too. |
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Voix Du Reve......Totally agree with this one.Same trainer/owner won the last race on national day 2016,with Ivan Grozny,conditional jockeys over 2m,interested to see where they go with this lad.
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Discorama, exaggerated hold up tactics in the MP hurdle backfired, stormed up the hill, only been put up 2lb to 138. This mark wont stop him winning, should stay 3miles also.
Redician will be better back on a flat track chesterfield, good ground is key to this one, ran well in the mud, only up 1lb Paloma Blue, still progressing and could pick up a decent novice hurdle this season, I can see this one winning nexts years Arkle/JLT, all over a chaser. Petit Mouchoir, I'm hoping he goes to Aintree, ran well there before. Sh!t ride at Cheltenham, and not ran much this season. Topofthegame, Now up to 155, he could run well in the 3m novice hurdle at Aintree, would love to see him in that on decent ground. If back chasing next year I can see him going well in the RSA. |
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The eye's of a pocket talker
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MITE BITE was my eyecatcher
henderson should get the fear of the cul de sac out of him as he gets older and we wont see ground like that again for a while. he sought a lead up the hill and got it , he had loads in the tank and the ground fecked him. |
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What do you mean he had loads in the tank?
...the ground fecked him because he was tired come the end and when he needed to find he had nowt left. |
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doesnt go in heavy
plenty in the tank get yerself a horse and live with it |
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i can get you a nice shetland mare for 100 euros
she will teach you all you need to know my friend |
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he seemed to go in heavy for most of the race
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dont you. believe it
hes a low striding horse he coukd have picked native river up and carried him on his back on half decent ground watch the replays flicking his ears ten yards from the line you dont often see one on his toes at the end of a gold cup watch when the jockeys are shaking hands mitebite almost kisses native river "thanks for the ilead mate" |
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'irishone', I hope you're right. I'm in heavy on him for the King George and Gold Cup, and hoping for better ground.
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So...irish is implying that it is the horses action ( low striding) that prevented the horse from picking up despite having loads left
![]() However, it's that low striding action that tires the horse out because it necessitates the horse to come into contact with the gluey ground more often than a typical soft ground horse with a higher action . MB wouldn't have been as able to propel himself out of it as well, he did it well enough but the cumulative effect took its toll come the end. |
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the number of horses i have seen bottle it on the cul de sac.
hendos post race comments exposed those fears "he didnt turn right, he didnt shirk it, he didnt duck out he didnt shirk it" why have that in the back of yer head ? mite bite is a great horse without a doubt on a round course with decent ground, but he sh1ts himself running into the cul de sac. i saw denman do it, long run and one of j ps |
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I guess Hendo was referring to the fact that he did turn right last year.
This year he did'nt. I think the jurys out on Might Bite until he runs against NR in decent ground. Only then will we know for sure. My take on it,MB would definitely have a better chance on decent ground,but i am unsure whether he would beat NR on any ground in a Gold Cup.I hope he can,i love the horse,but NR is a class act imo, who won a Welsh National. |
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I would be holding fire on my judgment about MB's errant tactics, he was ok this time, but he was tired, would he be inclined to go wandering off under this circumstance, I don't know of course but I'd have thought that putting one hoof in front of the other in a straight line would be more appealing than anything else.
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Don't bite
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MB nor his jockey did anything wrong in the Gold Cup. I firmly believe he just got outstayed by a tough and thorough stayer on that atrocious ground; MB was going the better against NR coming to the 2nd and last fence. He was odds-on 'in-running in the Exchange until a few strides after jumping the last; he looked the likely winner from two out, and he did not shirk it either.
But I'm more than hopeful MB will avenge his defeat in the next renewal on better ground, and I'm longing for the day to arrive. He'll again be a major player in the King George come x'mas time, all being well. |
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Might Bite ran a cracker, travelled like a dream and would have been an impressive winner without Native river. I can't see the point in blaming the ground for him not winning. It was soft ground,much the same as they were
racing on all season.If they ever meet again it will be a different day and a different race but there were no hard luck stories in the GC. Who knows what the ground will be like for next year's Gold Cup but whatever it is its not as if its already shaping up into a 2 horse race again. Its 500-1 that the same 2 horses will fight out the 2019 GC. You have to go back to Lord Windermere to find the last horse to make the lineup the next year. Might Bite will be 10 and may not be quite as good as he was this season. At this stage there are probably 30 horses who could win it next year and it will take about 9 months from now until the race even begins to take shape. ) |
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the fact you believe the cheltenham official going is naieve, at best it should have been soft heavy in places.
as for no hard luck stories. edwulf was hampered ...did you see the race ? as for your line on lord windermere wots the relevance of that ? loads of horses like djackadam, native river came back after being placed. |
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irish...native river was the 1st gold cup winner since bregawn in 83 to improve on a previous placing in the race
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There are some I can think of since Bregawn -The Fellow,Desert Orchid,Kauto Star,See More Business,-there may be more, who improved their position next year. Lord Windermere was the last winner to make it back the next year.The relevance is that there is absolutely no guarantee we will ever see a rematch in the future.
So do we believe the official going or do we believe your version? Either way what does it matter. Native River won whatever the going was. Its a winter sport.There is no divine right to have good ground in early March so that doesn't make Might Bite an unlucky loser. As for claiming he doesn't go on the ground(he clearly did) and he had plenty left in the tank(he clearly did not) that's just as bizarre as claiming Edwulf was a hard luck story. WTF!! He was beaten about 50 lengths and the "interference" 3 out cost him,at best,a half a length. And I've seen the race at least 10 times. |
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I think it was evidently clear Might Bite (MB) was matching stride for stride with Native River (NR) until after the last fence, and the heavy going could have exposed the stamina limitation of MB who'd never run beyond 3m prior, but one cannot be sure.
NR is an out-and-out stayer and also excels on easier going, a ground he did not get when beaten by Sizing John (SJ) last year; whether NR had improved or not is unclear given the absence of SJ and a drastic change in going this year compare to last year. Unless one is sceptical about the assertion of Hendo - the trainer of MB - that MB is a better horse on good ground one cannot be certain MB was inconvenienced by the heavy going, but MB was clearly outstayed by NR; if good going is encountered next year and the same scenario prevails eg NR and MB in unison at the 2nd or last fence, and the same result prevails then one can safely conclude NR is a better horse over 3.25m than MB on better or easier ground. However, if MB beats NR in the King George (KG) over 3m given the same scenario (all things being equal) and the going is heavy then one can safely conclude that 3.25m was a stretch too far for MB given the ease MB was going 2 and 1 fence out in the Gold Cup; if MB beats NR convincingly in the KG on better going (all things being equal) then one can safely conclude the better going certainly has helped MB to cement his victory over NR - the nature of Kempton Park could have been a factor but only to a far lesser one than the reduction in distance, one can safely infer I firmly believe. On the topic of who's posting or not on this platform, this is a public forum and anyone is welcome to contribute, I believe, provided one is not rude, threatening, abusive or behaving in an infantile and immature manner to other posters which is contradictory to the purpose of this platform which is to share and exchange knowledge or info; this is not a platform to exhibit or inflate one's ego or "superior" knowledge on horse racing. Horse racing is not nuclear physics, so try and keep it simple; it is a sport of opinions with many factors determining the eventual result. Any disagreement or differing views accepted (or not) could be marginalised at the touch of the 'ignore button' to nullify any ill-feeling and unsavoury climate on this forum. But the views of any poster, far fetched or not, should not be stifled. If anything, go against the herd, that is the (rewarding) motto. Personally, I can assure anyone I've used the 'ignore button' regularly and will continue to do so should I feel necessary. |
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i am sure i heard the jockey of might bite say if he had tried to kick on sooner he would have got beaten by farther which suggests to me it was stamina.
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^^It looked that way and MB was still over 8l infront of the 3rd horse Anibale Fly; NR is a thorough stayer and on easy going is certainly the one to be on next year, if he turns up which has not been the case the last 3 years eg Coneygree, Don Cossack and Sizing John; I do hope Sizing John makes a 100% recovery and makes it to the gig next March.
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I'd never use the ignore button, you wouldn't be able to see what people are writing. It would make for a very disjointed "experience" I'd have thought, seeing peoples replies to posts you can't see yourself would be a bit confusing.
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"staying" is relative, without NR, MB would have been a good winner and we'd all be lauding his stamina.
However the presense of NR saw the level of performance regarding the stamina side of things raised to an even higher level than that of what MB could achieve. MB ran an incredible race but ultimately the race has put a ceiling given certain circumstances as to what MB is capable of. On better ground the crucial thing would be for MB to force NR to go a stride or two quicker than what he'd want to earlier on and to break him up, he'd then be able to settle into a lead and get home better. All that before you even bring in the likes of PP and SJ to mention just a couple...who I'd want to personally be with anyhow. |
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i have no doubt that had MB run exactly the same race without NR in the field, the shrewdies would be insisting he was merely idling as Anibale Fly closed up late
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The only known form of NR on good going was in the Gold Cup (GC) won by Sizing John. Maybe NR could be excused of eating too many pies before the GC gig. Hopefully, NR goes to the King George (unlikely I understand), but if so, my money will be on MB with a smaller amount on NR...with a free ride on both (hopefully).
I hope Sizing John comes back 100% in the winter and makes the GC - he's of the same age as NR. Nevertheless, one must not underestimate the severity of a pelvic injury to a horse. The use of the 'ignore button' is a last resort, and only to those with a history/propensity of belittling or 'shouting down' or 'hunting-in-a-pack' with their forum mates eg those old fashioned, antagonistic and cantankerous, on any poster whose views are not conducive to theirs; these posters like to think of themselves as the aficionados of horse racing. Personally, horse racing is a game to be enjoyed; if it creates stress I'd eradicate this stress by not reading their posts - usually bland and non-informative. So far, this practice has not been a disadvantage, and unlikely to be in the future either given the depth of new posters, their opinions (creative or otherwise), enthusiasm, etc - they give a new approach and richness to horse racing and betting/punting, period! |
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impossible123
27 Mar 18 18:19 usually bland and non-informative. I couldn't have described your input to the forum any better myself. This is a thread, that I started, asking for people to put up horses that were well beaten at Cheltenham and so might have been missed by the market/media with a view to being some value in races in the coming weeks at Aintree and Punchestown. Instead you come on here saying you are backing Might Bite, Native River and Sizing John for next years Gold Cup. Wow thanks for the insight. If I ask you for a dark horse you'd probably think I was referring to Black Beauty so little so do you know about racing and betting. Please refrain from posting on any threads that I start in future or I'll ask Betfair to remove them like you did with the Arc thread last year. ![]() |
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If someone can copy and paste that I'd be grateful becasue the dumb tw*t probably has me on ignore and won't see it.
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mite bite is a monster
but he doesnt do chelteham |
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hendo has got a year to get the horse to run into a cul de sac
with massive crowds either side if there is one trainer in your country who can do that its him the chances of it coming up heavy again must be at least 10/1 horses are very sensitive i have three of them and if they dont fancy anything it doesnt matter what i do they wont have it best of luck to hendo .... he is different gravy |
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good thread - until imp decided to make it about him (he forgot to mention that he also blocks you if you correct any of his multiple factual errors).
Anyway I concur about The Worlds End (still got reservations about his form figures of 8447 after winning 5 of his first 7 races - is he going to be good enough at Grade 1 level in open company over hurdles?), Topofthegame (3 mile novice at Aintree is a good shout, nothing to lose assuming he'll be novice chasing next season) and particularly Chesterfield (can't think that even his connections were expecting him to run that well on that ground). Would add Moon Racer (best effort for a long time in the County Hurdle, dropped 3lbs since) - assuming he's sound, he could be one for the 2m 4f handicap hurdle which opens Day Two of the Grand National meeting, I think he'd prefer nicer ground too. In fairness, you could have similar reservations about him to the ones I expressed about The Worlds End but he will be running in a handicap. |
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duffy
27 Mar 18 13:58 "staying" is relative, without NR, MB would have been a good winner and we'd all be lauding his stamina. However the presense of NR saw the level of performance regarding the stamina side of things raised to an even higher level than that of what MB could achieve. On better ground the crucial thing would be for MB to force NR to go a stride or two quicker than what he'd want to earlier on and to break him up, he'd then be able to settle into a lead and get home better. For me this from Duffy makes absolute sense,in particular that last bit about getting NR to go quicker earlier on than he likes to do. If he can do that he will imo beat NR,if he cannot he wont. He has to win his race earlier,otherwise NR will simply outstay him every time.....NR is a Welsh National winner with class. |
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Surely if you are going to go a stride quicker than NR would want to in the early stages then stamina is going to be the key @ the end?
Budd you seem to be suggesting the slower they go it will suit NRs stamina. Not that Johnson would allow it to be a steady gallop. |
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Agree GiMac:Chesterfield was a big eyecatcher travelled strong and raced wide.Surely be suited by better ground .Liverpool/Aintree better ground but hardly 1 under the radar.(interstingly Chesterfield and winner Moahayed ran in Greatwood and both kept to the inner where they didnt have a prayer finishing 10and 11th respectivaly)
also Paloma Blue all over a chaser and if he can settle better will make a cracking chaser travels probably needs better ground another (Special Tiara) Agree with Rease :Moon Racer certainly 1 under the radar lost his pitch from 2nd last and around 20th turning in but ran on really well to finish 9th. 1 to watch if he can be kept sound . Another from Pipes Eamon Ca Noic in the Ultima travelled strongly up front over a trip 3m1f well in excess of his previous efforts but stopped as if shot in the straight. Long term plot for the Bet Victor /Caspian Caviar next season. |
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another from pipes is kings sock who travelled very well and was always in prime position until dropping away towards the end,maybe a drop in trip or easier track but he has been flagged up a couple of times in post and weekender so probally be short price next time out but one to watch
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