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A horse who has run in 3 chases, fallen in the most recent and all but fallen in the one before is not one I could back to win a Gold Cup, even in a poor year. Particularly when you look at some less than convincing leaps throughout Sunday's contest. Add to that an unknown trip and the fact that 152 Edwulf might have beaten him (had not been asked for his effort when KV fell) and I think he is the worst value in the race at present. And I don't think the stable has spoken of whether he has recovered from his fall or not. From the Mullins yard, that news may take a while to seep through.
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Mullins said: "Killultagh Vic is fine and came out of the race remarkably well.
"He isn't back riding out yet but hopefully he will shortly." He is defintiely one of the possible winners so 10/1 is about right. I can see him going off shorter, maybe 2nd fav, espeically if Ruby / Mullins have a half decent Festival. |
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Well if hes 2nd fav, theres a lot of mad punters around!!
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Looking at that last run,KV and Edwulf should be about the same price,and certainly that price should not be 2nd fav!!!
Edwulf was available at 30 on here earlier today,imo they should both be around 20's. |
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Thanks for the info, uncle.
However, it seems he's missed a week and may miss longer. On the old rule that every day of missed work equals two days needed to get back to where you were, time may get very short for him. Agree with budd that he and Edwulf should be similarly priced. |
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For Killultagh Vic's small owners, a runner in the Gold Cup is probably a once in a lifetime event, so good luck to them, but I personally think he'd have a better chance in the Ryanair.
I was all over him for the JLT before he got injured, and I know he beat Thistlecrack as a novice over 3m, but I think a fast pace 2.5m would suit him down to the ground, knowing he'll have stamina reserves up the hill. Don't get me wrong, nearly everyone would run in the Gold Cup, but at 10/1 nrnb for both races, I'd back him quite heavily in a Ryanair but wouldn't touch him at that price in a Gold Cup. |
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10-1 NRNB looks very generous to me, not saying he's a good thing but he's certainly one of the more likely winners in a weak looking Gold Cup.
Last years GC form has completely fallen apart, it was a poor renewal and while SJ could again have a big say, the next 4 home Rocco, Native River, Djak and Saphir have done nothing since. The egg and spoon race NR won the other day didn't really tell us anything other than he's healthy. Might Bite is a contender but I'm not nearly convinced about him at this stage. The King George was an awful race. He was all out to beat Double Shuffle a length with Tea For Two close up behind. Had Whisper run his race we would know a lot more but right now MB's GC price is based on beating Whisper twice as a novice and then beating 2 decent handicappers in the KG. I can't see how MB can be 7-2 when DS is 50-1. Thistlecrack was a novice last year and I cant remember what his GC price went to after winning another weak KG but I think it was 2-1 or even less. If Killultagh Vic had negotiated the last in the Irish GC he would have achieved more at the same stage. He is a proper horse with a serious engine and there are no stamina or ground issues with him. If his jumping holds up, and there's every chance it will, then the 10-1 could look huge. |
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There's every chance it won't too, 10's is too short IMO, his jumping was very poor early on, when you consider a quicker pace on likely quicker ground, he'll be too far back and under pressure far too early.
The horse has a habit of twisting his rear end at some fences, he did it earlier in the race, it throws his balance off...not for me. |
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10/1....generous??!!!
Worst priced horse in the race imo. |