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Middle_Of_March
11 Jan 18 22:11
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Date Joined: 12 Sep 17
| Topic/replies: 231 | Blogger: Middle_Of_March's blog
This is the first year I’ve made it to the new year with no massive non runners. Thistlecrack wasn’t a big bet but I did have him but asides from that, hopefully all are going to the races I wanted.

These are my bets anyway:



Any race – Samcro 4/1
Any race – Dame De Compagnie 10/1
Any race – Bamako Moriviere 20/1
Any race – If The Cap Fits 16/1
Any race – Benie Des Dieux 14/1 & 10/1
Any race – Finians Oscar 9/2

Tuesday:
Supreme – If The Cap Fits 10/1 & 7/1 NRNB
Arkle – Petit Mouchoir 7/1 NRNB

Wednesday:
Champion Bumper – Hollowgraphic 12/1

Thursday:
Mares Novice – Lesley Dawn 16/1
Stayers – Unowhatimeanharry 7/1
RSA – Black Corton 20/1 each way

Friday:
Gold Cup – Thistlecrack 5/1
Gold Cup – Bristol De Mai 33/1
Gold Cup – Blaklion 40/1 each way
Foxhunters – Burning Ambition 10/1 NRNB

Plus many multiples. Quite a few trixies and Yankees of Apples Shakira, Samcro, Altior and Apples Jade.

On the whole, I’d say I’m happy with that. My biggest bets are the trixies of the four mentioned above.

Biggest single bet is If The Cap Fits.




How are you lot getting on at this stage? What’s your main bets?

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Replies: 113
By:
bluebirdfan
When: 11 Jan 18 23:22
Bits and pieces still running but the make or break will be if Samcro makes it to the starting tapes in the Ballymore; check every day expecting to see a season ending injury announced
By:
DontBeSakhee
When: 12 Jan 18 07:40
Mixed for me: Some of these bets are dead already. Every year I say I'm not going to bet AP next year, and every year I get suckered in!

Supreme:
The Russian Doyen 50 NRNB

Arkle:
Movewiththetimes 28

Champion Hurdle:
Defi Du Seuil 22 & 9

Ballymore
Next Destination 7

RSA:
Finians Oscar 16
Fountains Windfall 33

QM:
Douvan 5 NRNB

Champion Bumper:
Clinton Hill 25

Ryanair:
Min 14

Stayers:
Supasundae 16
The Worlds End 25

Gold Cup:
Might Bite 7

Any Race (WillHills):
Next Destination 4.31
Slate House 15.3
By:
irishone
When: 12 Jan 18 08:16
one wonders what percentage of this years cheltenham
winners are not even quoted yet
if you said 30% it would be low in my experience

then if you ask that percentage of those quoted will
actually run in the races they are quoted for

and then you ask what chance it has actually
got of winning....

8 weeks out ????   ....
By:
nocturnal
When: 12 Jan 18 08:45
Same as Bluebidfan........Dreading the news....Wish me luck

Moses......(Any hurdle race) up to 400

Johnson .....200 to 400

Coe.....800 to 1500

All......NRNB
By:
maelduin
When: 12 Jan 18 11:02
Irishone - don't be such a negative nancy. AP betting is great fun if you do most of your bets NRNB (365 also BOG) and keep your stakes to a minimum.  What's not to like? Your horse isn't going to run if he is not 100% so the variable risks are competition and ground. Outside of the handicaps nearly all possible winners are quoted, so you can see the competition right now. And as you can see nearly all of the AP bets mentioned so far are non-handicaps. Give these guys some credit.

My best AP is a small treble running onto Footpad (Arkle) and Samcro (Ballymore) which will pay me 80/1 if it comes in. I got to scream for Footpad at Leopardstown without even having a bet on him that day. If your horse loses in the run-up to Cheltenham (lots of those) so be it but you still have a chance he runs/wins. To me it's great fun and entertainment and i don't understand why the chat boards are full of people knocking it. Keep it simple and keep bets to a minimum.

If you're a heavy hitter then ignore all of the above. GL
By:
impossible123
When: 12 Jan 18 12:52
Supreme: Mengli Khan (post mishap)
Arkle: Footpad (any race)
Champion H: Faugheen (very iffy runner)
Mares: Apple's Jade
Neptune: Samcro (joined the hype)
RSA: Yanworth/Finian's Oscar
Champion Chase: Altior/Yorkhill (nrnb)
JLT: Death Duty (loser)
Ryanair: Yorkhill (nrnb)
Stayers: Uno/Beer Goggles/Yanworth (nrnb)
Gold Cup: Sizing John/Might Bite/Our Duke/Empire Of Dirt

Several large singles, doubles/trebles/trixies and accas. At present one is lost, very probably Faugheen will suffer a similar fate. But expecting more come race days - the perils of betting antepost.
By:
Desmond Orchard
When: 12 Jan 18 13:54
Laugh Doesn't back Mullins horses ante-post! Crazy

I've only three so far, which I'm very pleased about as I've managed to pretty much stick to my resolution not to, all in the Summer.
Fox Norton QMCC
Melon CHurdle
Mite Bite CGC
Win singles and an e/w trixie.
By:
Mystic Wind
When: 12 Jan 18 19:24
Supreme
Sayar @ 25/1 (betting on here suggests the setback isn't as "minor" as WPM suggested)

NH Chase
Duel At Dawn @ 50/1 (small)

Ballymore
Kalashnikov @ 33/1

Triumph
Sussex Ranger @ 33/1
We Have A Dream @ 8/1

Various multiples involving various of the above plus Next Destination (Ballymore, 10/1 or less) and Cracking Smart (Albert Bartlett, 16/1 or less)

Don't envisage adding much more, although final preps may change that.
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 12 Jan 18 19:40
Stayers Hurdle - Finians Oscar 50s, Yanworth 10s nr-nb

Mares Novices Hurdle - Kupatana 25s
By:
willie the milk
When: 12 Jan 18 20:29
Plenty on Samcro and Boveur but biggest bet is Altior at 2s. I have a nice £4 Lucky 15 on Buveur CH 4s, Apples Jade Mares 3s, Altior QM 5-4, Cause of Causes XC 7s.
By:
irishone
When: 13 Jan 18 08:16
mael i am not anti antepost
just stating facts
i am on two so far native river which is being trained for the race and whiskey sour .
i happen to believe far more in the reality of the owners intentions than guesses
By:
DontBeSakhee
When: 13 Jan 18 15:30
My AP portfolio improved markedly today. Having added Getabird at 8/1 any race (grrrr, bottled the 16 for the Supreme!), he bolted up at Punchestown.

Also the aforementioned above 33 on Fountains Windfall is looking better. Just hoping his jumping keeps holding up!
By:
Forty
When: 14 Jan 18 18:00
Mengli Khan 7/1 and 10/1
Sayar 25/1 and 20/1 NRNB
Faugheen average 44/1
Mondale 7/1
Death Duty Non runner
Nichols Canyon non runner
Cause of Causes 10/1, 8/1 and 7/1
Stay Humble 33/1
Samcro 16/1 Ballymore, 14/1, 10/1 and 5/1 any race
Next Destination 14/1 12/1 AB 10/1 any race
Mite Bite 10/1
Whisper average 36/1
Apples Shakira 25/1
Poli Roi 25//1 any race
Sutton Place 14/1 any race
Salsartta 12/1 and 10/1
Top Notch 7/1
Douvan 11/4 and 7/1
Footpad 5/1 any race
Squouteur 16/1 any race
Henderson to be top trainer 7/1

Various multiple with the above

Pleased so far

Forty
By:
Forty
When: 14 Jan 18 18:01
Mondale should read Monalee

Forty
By:
sageform
When: 14 Jan 18 18:13
Only 2 so far.
Thistlecrack GC out
Politologue Champion chase at 8.4. Praying that Waiting Patiently doesn't run against him.
By:
sixtwosix
When: 14 Jan 18 18:33
Gold Cup
Road To Respect 41
Disko 26
Cloudy of Dream 60
Empire Of Dirt 200
Total Recall 100

Champion Hurdle
My Tent Or Yours 40
Chitebello 61
By:
harry callaghan
When: 14 Jan 18 19:10
can't find anything that stands out yet in which to place a proper wager but am working on it...

although i will say i have been in mystic winds camp in regards the triumph hurdle for quite a while, i just can't bring myself to have a bet until all the jigsaw pieces are in place...looking at some of the lists on here some people are already looking on the back foot to me and is the reason why i like to have an unbiased opinion going into the meeting 

i have one ew yankee for fun but i don't hold out much hope, however i like a stab at one just to see if i can win the shop


Yankee (x22) Each Way

    Arkle Chase - Each Way
    Footpad 6/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
    Champion Hurdle 2018 - Each Way
    Yorkhill 12/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
    Ballymore Novices Hurdle 2018 - Each Way
    Samcro 9/2
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places
    Gold Cup 2018 - Each Way
    Might Bite 8/1
    E/W Terms: 1/5 Odds | 3 Places 

hopefully might bite and footpad could at least run a place and get near the stake back
By:
BigField
When: 14 Jan 18 20:04
Triumph Hurdle

We Have A Dream - 25s and 20s on here
By:
BigField
When: 14 Jan 18 20:05
only for £70 though so nothing crazy
By:
DontBeSakhee
When: 14 Jan 18 20:13
Much improved after this weekend:

Supreme:
The Russian Doyen 50 NRNB
Arkle:
Movewiththetimes 28
Champion Hurdle:
Defi Du Seuil 22 & 9
Ballymore
Next Destination 7
RSA:
Finians Oscar 16
Fountains Windfall 33
QM:
Douvan 5 NRNB
Coral Cup:
Le Breuil 33 AP & 20 NRNB
Champion Bumper:
Clinton Hill 25
Ryanair:
Min 14
Stayers:
Supasundae 16
The Worlds End 25
Gold Cup:
Might Bite 7

Any Race (WillHills):
Next Destination 4.31
Getabird 8.63
Slate House 15.3
By:
BigField
When: 14 Jan 18 20:23
DontBeSakhee, very nice with RSA Finians Oscar and Fountains Windfall and Any Race Getabird, obviously love the Le Breuil Coral Cup as well. Good luck!
By:
Jb23
When: 15 Jan 18 14:23
Some good and some bad in here. Here are my main positions

Tuesday
- If The Cap Fits (Supreme) @ 80.00
- Neon Wolf (Arkle) @ 10-1
- Faugheen (Champion Hurdle) @ 6-1
- Ballyoptic (4 Miler) @ 25-1
- Movewiththetimes (Close brothers Nvice Chase) @ 20-1

Wednesday
- Red Jack (Ballymore) @ 16-1
- Barney Dwan (RSA) @ 150.00
- Sceau Royal (RSA) @ 130.00
- Pingshou (Coral Cup) @ 25.00
- Un De Sceaux (QMCC) @ 55.00
- Cause of Causes (X Country) in pretty much every lucky 15
- Hollowgraphic (Champion Bumper) @ 10.00


Thursday
- Willoughby Court (JLT) @ 16-1
- Finians Oscar (JLT) @ 12-1
- Clas Des Obeaux (Ryan Air) @ 140.00
- Barters Hill (Stayers) @ 75.00
- Countister (Mares Novice Hurdle) @ 20-1
- Dame De Companie (Mares Novice Hurdle) @ 20-1


Friday
- Next Destination (Albert Bartlett) @ 25-1
- Coney Island (Gold Cup) @ 30-1
- Blaklion (Gold Cup) @ 40-1

Anyrace:
- Getabird @ 9-1
- Daphne Du Clos @ 16-1

Multiples/Gag bets :
- Apples Jade (Mares) & Samcro (Neptune) on the end of a football 5 fold
- Captaine (Arkle) doubled with Alabama for the NCAA
- Faugheen (Champion Hurdle) doubled with Texas A&M to beat LA Lafayette
- Jury Duty (RSA) trebled with 2 Football BTTS
- Willoughby Court doubled with a virtual football correct score (After a few beers)
By:
impossible123
When: 15 Jan 18 17:05
Jb23, any more? I hope you can keep track of all of them. Good luck!
By:
Quevega06
When: 15 Jan 18 20:11
Some good ones in there alright !!!
By:
Jb23
When: 16 Jan 18 10:53
Certainly not a big stakes punter and abit of a baseball stats nerd. I just like looking for things which appear over priced and under valued!

I123- Ha! My Antepost spreadsheet with a coffee at work is my pride and joy!

No doubt there will be a foot & mouth virus which wipes out half of my investments!
By:
impossible123
When: 16 Jan 18 17:48
Foot and mouth,...there will be no Cheltenham without a doubt. But you do have some good ones which will see you thro' to the end of the Festival.
By:
joevalue147
When: 16 Jan 18 18:42
Cracking price on Movewiththetimes.   Could take some holding off that mark. I'd say connections could target that race aswell considering they went close in it 2 years ago.
By:
woodmanchester
When: 17 Jan 18 11:56
Some nice prices before now:

By far biggest bet 80/1 Might Bite. Sidebet Blaklion, each-way

Buveur D'air, 2/1 before question mark against Faugheen

Willoughby Court, Apples Shakira, Un De Sceaux (Patent)

Little bet 9/1 Foxrock, narrowly got nod over tongue-tied Wonderful Charm

Large price each-way Beer Goggles

Just added Waterlord, Supreme, too at 25/1 365. Think will be close in the betting Haydock Saturday with Claimantakingforgan and that's only 8/1 best for the opener at Cheltenham this year. Close between pair Saturday and gulf in odds dramatically contract
By:
p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y
When: 18 Jan 18 20:03
woodmanchester   






  19 Dec 17 17:02 
Joined:   25 Aug 11      | Topic/replies: 23,517  | Blogger: woodmanchester's blog   



Now's the time of year I usually make my opening gambit on the Cheltenham Festival and no different this

Faugheen cost me the chance of a small fortune in the Champion Hurdle with loads of free, accumulated ante-post bets this year, but injured and never turned up. Still trying to make it pay at 5/2 now but the play could have been, just as easily, equally impressive 2/1 Buveur D'Air



hmmm Woody, so is it Faugheen or Buveur D'air you backed for the Champion Hurdle ??
By:
woodmanchester
When: 18 Jan 18 20:39
One free bet Faugheen but Buveur on 3 doubles and a treble Grin
By:
irishone
When: 18 Jan 18 22:01
...in a UNION JACK with a non runner ?
By:
woodmanchester
When: 18 Jan 18 22:35
He pops up everywhere after me, without fail! Laugh
By:
woodmanchester
When: 20 Jan 18 23:34
Waterlord ran okay for a long way before dropping away tamely. Prompted me to cash out for Cheltenham for small loss and jump ships onto today's winner 42.0 First Flow. Will surely be totally conditions in March but Flow did it very nicely today
By:
resner not lesnar
When: 21 Jan 18 01:07
Kim Bailey said on ITV straight after the race that First Flow was probably done for the year and wouldn’t be going anywhere near Cheltenham
By:
woodmanchester
When: 21 Jan 18 11:38
Oh well, looks like £1.25 down the drain! Laugh
By:
woodmanchester
When: 21 Jan 18 12:31
Anyway, seemed pointless running Flow in the Supreme trial then

Finished for the season? I'd have thought still early days! Crazy
By:
Deptford
When: 21 Jan 18 12:38
Piss off you mug ^
By:
maelduin
When: 21 Jan 18 18:55
Woodmanchester - head over to the fatjockey forum you'll fit right in. Phucking place has been hijacked by two imbeciles who post incessantly. That was my go to place for years and now it's unreadable. Angry
By:
Fabulous
When: 21 Jan 18 20:06
Can't disagree maelduin, the two of them have singlehandedly ruined it.
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