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Autocue
18 Mar 17 12:37
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Date Joined: 13 Apr 10
| Topic/replies: 1,487 | Blogger: Autocue's blog
Given all the whingeing beforehand about Irish horses being unfairly handicapped by Phil Smith, I thought I'd have a look at their Festival performance. The Irish won 70% of the handicaps with 26% of the entries.
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Report PedroPete12 • March 18, 2017 11:49 AM GMT
Irish handicap horses made a mockery of the lenient marks handed out by Phil Smith Wink
Report Autocue • March 18, 2017 6:59 PM GMT
To me it's not the Irish handicapper under-rating Irish horses. It's Phil Smith and his crew over-rating British horses. The sooner he's gone the better.
Report CheltenhamRoar • March 18, 2017 8:00 PM GMT
Or maybe, just maybe Irish horses are just better as proven time and time again in the grade 1 races.
Report charwell. • March 18, 2017 11:51 PM GMT
I don't think there is much to choose between the UK and Irish in the Grade 1 races.

However, the fiddling of the Irish makes a mockery of the handicapping. To bleat like a lamb pre the festival and to win most of the races despite a huge numerical disadvantage leaves a rather sour taste in the mouth.

Next year stick another 7lbs on all the Irish h'cappers.
Report the bloob • March 19, 2017 2:43 PM GMT
I'm not surprised by the fact that they have a better strike-rate than the % of runners, but the difference is huge. I would expect that those horses are sent over are there to win, and not just for a big day out for connections, because of the effort and cost involved in sending them over

the bleating by the Irish about their handicap marks has got to stop though, this happens every time and they walk away with most of the pots. Presenting Percy a great example, wins easily despite being badly treated according to the Irish
Report The Headmaster • March 20, 2017 10:58 AM GMT
"Or maybe, just maybe Irish horses are just better as proven time and time again in the grade 1 races."

LaughLaughLaugh
Report Ramruma • March 20, 2017 11:08 AM GMT
Or maybe, just maybe Irish horses are just better as proven time and time again in the grade 1 races.

Erm, that would explain *why* Phil Smith needs to add a few pounds.

For what it is worth, here are the Grade 1 results showing where winners were bred and who trained them. If Willie Mullins were a country ...

SUPREME Labaik (FR) Gordon Elliott
ARKLE Altior (IRE) Nicky Henderson
CHAMPION HURDLE Buveur D'Air (FR) Nicky Henderson
MARES Apple's Jade (FR) Gordon Elliott
NEPTUNE Willoughby Court (IRE) Ben Pauling
RSA Might Bite (IRE) Nicky Henderson
QMCC Special Tiara (GB) Henry De Bromhead
BUMPER Fayonagh (IRE) Gordon Elliott
JLT Yorkhill (IRE) W P Mullins
RYANAIR Un De Sceaux (FR) W P Mullins
STAYERS' HURDLE Nichols Canyon (GB) W P Mullins
TRIUMPH HURDLE Defi Du Seuil (FR) Philip Hobbs
ALBERT BARTLETT Penhill (GB) W P Mullins
GOLD CUP Sizing John (GB) Mrs John Harrington



On breeding, honours are even: 4 GB; 5 FR; 5 IRE. On training, 9-5 to the Emerald Isle.
Report impossible123 • March 20, 2017 7:21 PM GMT
If the Irish felt their horses had been unfairly treated despite their winning consistently might I suggest they come over prior to Cheltenham and run in at least two handicapped races?
Report joevalue147 • March 20, 2017 7:48 PM GMT
GrinLaugh......... The most important part of a trainers job is to get them to peak in March.
Report Autocue • March 21, 2017 9:15 AM GMT
"Or maybe, just maybe Irish horses are just better as proven time and time again in the grade 1 races."

What would be the point of handicaps if the best horses always won them? The handicapping system is supposed to create a level playing field. You do have a point though. Phil Smith and his crew have been over-rating British horses for years.
Report wondersobright • March 21, 2017 5:12 PM GMT
Phil Smith and his crew have been over-rating British horses for years

correct

"ratings creep" they call it

for clarity, that's when the horse population average ratings increases over time, not phil smithLaugh
Report The Headmaster • March 21, 2017 5:55 PM GMT
http://www.britishhorseracing.com/cheltenham-festival-2017-head-handicapping...
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