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Meat Loaf
12 Mar 17 11:46
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Date Joined: 22 May 09
| Topic/replies: 3,394 | Blogger: Meat Loaf's blog
Can see it going off at 2/1
Pause Switch to Standard View Is Melon value at 7/2?
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Report jasey March 12, 2017 10:53 AM GMT
I wouldn't back it if I could get 10s.
2/1 would be a maximum lay bet for me.
Report buddeliea March 12, 2017 10:58 AM GMT
I think 10,s would be ok to find out if he is the new Pegasus,not sure 7/2 is though.
Report wellchief March 12, 2017 11:02 AM GMT
I expected his price to be cut by more than it did when the Moon Racer news broke though.  A signficant opponent was removed from the race, but it didn't cause as big a ripple as I was expecting.
Report Ibrahima Sonko March 12, 2017 11:07 AM GMT
I was very impressed with his debut and his flat form, looks a real trier. But backing him with so little experience goes against every rule in my book. Plain
Report Shrews March 12, 2017 11:27 AM GMT
But all the others are relatively inexperienced too, it is a novices after all!  And Cheltenham is one of those courses a horse either takes to or doesn't.

Trust in the record of the trainers in this race, I say. Mullins/Ruby (not the 2nd string) and Henderson do well and if Ruby chooses Melon we can be assured that it's a very decent animal.

Melon and Henderson's River Wylde to fight it out.
Report duffy March 12, 2017 5:52 PM GMT
I can easily see it going off 2's, events of recent days are beginning to shift it that way. I think that as we approach race time the confidence from Mullins is going to ring louder in peoples ears and gather a momentum that is going to turn it into the first race Irish plunge. You can add on the likelihood that the opposition are weaker than you'd expect to see and he probably doesn't need to be Pegasus in any case to get the job done...all pointing to likely support coming IMO.
Report lewisham ranger March 12, 2017 5:58 PM GMT
if anymore drop out he might get a walkover! Laugh
Report maelduin March 12, 2017 6:11 PM GMT
Ballyandy for me now with Movewiththetimes out. The Betfair Hurdle form looks strong especially with the front 2 pulling clear of a well-in Clyne. The Irish horses look like a mediocre bunch.

Wouldn't surprise me if Ballyandy starts Fav on the day. GL
Report impossible123 March 12, 2017 6:27 PM GMT
I agree there is no horse the calibre of Altior this year but Melon's winning time was over 6s slower than that won by Petit Mouchoir later that day. I hope Melon will start at between 2/1 and 3/1, if so, an excellent lay in my opinion.
Report Lady Margaret March 12, 2017 6:32 PM GMT
Expect the Irish will pile into Melon on-course so could go off at 2/1
Report Mooono March 12, 2017 7:54 PM GMT
People who think Melon is value at 7/2 are the same people who buy reduced bread from Lidl, oh 50% off!! then get it home and its full of mould.. No value in the 7/2 and no value in the half price bread!
Report marychain1 March 13, 2017 12:06 PM GMT
I can't see past Ballyandy and Bunk Off Early. One of those two wins, the other probabyl second. Melon might get third.
Report Big Black Cat March 13, 2017 12:08 PM GMT
Price based on home rep rather than form.

If you back it and he wins, good luck.

ELGIN massively overpriced IMHO-has achieved far more on the course than MELON
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! March 13, 2017 12:12 PM GMT
At last nites preview at the racecourse
It emerged Melon has had 5 schooling runs
Before his debut

Tom Malone-bloodstick agent
Said that was a major NEGATIVE

Laugh
Report throwthetellyoutawindow March 14, 2017 12:20 AM GMT
Got Melon and Altior as a bankers on day 1 with 3 out of C.H.,looked very impressive on his only start and is Ruby's pick,that'll do for me gl all.

C.H. picks are Yanworth,Buveur D'air and Brain Power.
Report Storm Alert March 14, 2017 9:29 AM GMT
With you Black Cat.  Elgin 28/1 e/w much better than sticking big money on Melon who I fully expect to get squashed.
Report Shrews March 14, 2017 9:48 AM GMT
Ruby rarely makes a mistake with his choice for this. If he's picked Melon, then be assured that Melon is good. Other than Nicky Henderson's, it's hard to see anything else being a Supreme Hurdle winner given the 5 year stats below. Mullins and Henderson just seem to have them right for this.

2016 - 2nd (Henderson's excellent Altior won)
2015 - Won (Henderson 4th)
2014 - Won (Henderson 2nd and 3rd)
2013 - Won (Henderson 2nd)
2012 - Unplaced (Henderson 2nd to McCains Cinders and Ashes) - Ruby rode for Paul Nicholls

All the Mullins wins and 2nd were with Ruby riding.
Report parispike March 14, 2017 11:17 AM GMT
At last nites preview at the racecourse
It emerged Melon has had 5 schooling runs
Before his debut

Tom Malone-bloodstick agent
Said that was a major NEGATIVE




Bloodstick agent. I like that.
Report Shrews March 14, 2017 1:40 PM GMT
Great run, just beaten by a better horse. They both pulled well clear of the rest.
Report lewisham ranger March 14, 2017 3:11 PM GMT
how did that get beat Cry
Report buddeliea March 15, 2017 5:43 AM GMT
Winner is very good.
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