Cheltenham Festival
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Only bookie I can find offering odds on the going is Joe C.
Very wet this week (surely be soft/heavy come the weekend) then a dry cold spell and then maybe rain next weekend so the 6/1 on soft looks massive to me - sadly they closed my account last year.
Very wet this week (surely be soft/heavy come the weekend) then a dry cold spell and then maybe rain next weekend so the 6/1 on soft looks massive to me - sadly they closed my account last year.
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Got no shops close by
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Good to Soft (is surely fav?), don't think it usually matters to Simon what it really is although he did call it Soft (Good to Soft in places) the year Champagne Fever won the Supreme
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Just found the market, think it's a good shout Uncle and should be second fav ahead of 'Good' as even if it was good I have no doubt Claisse would add the "to Soft" after it as he proclaims that to be the perfect ground
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Agreed... two runner race - Good to soft (fav) and Soft.
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uncle- Billy's also have this priced up (racing, specials) 5/1 soft
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Thanks tommy
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True thats a big price ok. 20-1 heavy ground might be worth a small interest too.
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Good to soft , it's tradition until after the first race ,
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it will be nice to see the natural going prevail for a change, no need for the hosepipe
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As others have already said, it'll officially be described as Good to Soft irrespective of what it actually is. Smug Smarmy Self-important Simon will make it clear that when he starts watering in the build up to the Festival, he's only doing so because he wants to ensure safe ground for the horses.
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Let's hope not too much watering, if any is needed as there is quite a bit of precipitation forecast for the next two weekends prior to Cheltenham week.
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Can I be first to mention the water table?
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6-1 for soft would be a cracking bet if it based upon the actual going. The problem is Claisse always aims for Good to Soft. So if its Soft its called Good to Soft or if its Good its called Good to Soft. How many times after the first race of the festival have we had a going change?
That said I still think 6-1 is worth a little dabble. On the hope he actually calls it honestly for once. |
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weather forecast has improved, doesn't look like much rain between now and the start
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Going described as Good to Soft (good in places) yesterday morning. Heavy rain tomorrow will probably turn it soft but if next week is mainly dry Good to soft looks nailed on once more on the opening day
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Amazed it has good in the going description. Based on the recent weather I'd have assumed it was good to soft / soft in places right now.
Like you say even with a very wet couple of days coming up it is almost sure to dry up next week - he might even have to get his hose pipe out if it is dry all week. |
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Rain forecast festival week according to the weather channel site.
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Just watched the latest BBC forecast (updated at 12.32pm) and the rain tomorrow doesn't look anywhere near s bad it had done and then a showery weekend but dry most of next week.
Nobody really knows yet what it will be doing from the end of next week up to the start of the Festival, though most models are suggesting mainly dry and pretty chilly. Might even snow. |
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Countryfile forecast for the coming week showed plenty of bands of rain coming in from the west all week long. Posibly drier forvthevfew days leading into the festival.
Be very interesting to see what the next turftrax readings are. Assuming they have had the same levels of rain as we've had in Northampton for the last 3 days then given it's a two horse race the 9/2 on soft still looks bigger than it should be imo. |
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Even if it was to be dry from Weds onwards and drying weather, that water table is going to be mighty high
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Doubt it had about an inch less rain this Feb compared with 2016 when it was given good to soft but was clearly good as Annie set a champion hurdle record.
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The key will be the 2 or 3 days prior to the meeting
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Geoff m is spot on. I remember a few years back the going was described as heavy with ten days or so to go before the start of the Festival. A dry spell then ensued and by the end of day 2 or 3 Claisse was undertaking "selective watering" to ensure "safe" ground on the New Course.
if it stays dry in the run up then the going will be good to soft. Any period of sustained rainfall though will quickly turn conditions soft, particularly if it rains while they're racing. |
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No apparent deluge forecast has been forecast between now and 17th March but light rain everyday from today according to www.myweather2.com; the weekend after the Festival more rain has been forecast it seems - very lucky.
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Amazed the going is still good-to-soft this morning - they clearly didn't have half as much rain as we had in Northampton where it lashed down for hours on Friday and Sunday. I was hoping it would be soft all round this morning.
 Forecast to be some decent rain Tuesday into Wednesday but then the forecasts I can see suggest mainly dry with the odd shower upto Festival time. No chance of soft going now and it might even be good ground come Tuesday if the sun comes out. |
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Weather channel has some rain next weekend and on the Tuesday.
Would not give up yet uncle. |
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Clerk of the course Simon Claisse does not expect any significant changes to ground conditions with the Cheltenham Festival now just over a week away.
The going is currently described as good to soft on the Old Course, which is used on the Tuesday and Wednesday, and good to soft, good in places on the New Course for Thursday and Friday. "The forecast remains unsettled, with bits and pieces of rain coming in during the course of the next week amounting to somewhere between nine and 11 millimetres," said Claisse. "I wouldn't expect much change in the going between now and the start of the Festival. For Festival week we're looking at temperatures of around 10C with little bits of rain here and there. "But as I've said before, the weather has been so volatile this winter and forecasts change every day, so there is uncertainty, but nothing of concern. "I haven't changed the ground from Sunday, so it's good to soft on the Old Course and good to soft, good in places on the New Course and the cross-country course. "We're very happy with where we are. The course looks in fantastic shape." |
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g/s 6.2 on the last going map given (1 march)
reported g/s today periodic rain forecast between now and the festival ie not enough to soften it considerably or also for that place to do what it does best ie drain well so looks like g/s which the clerk of the course will be oh so happy to call it guaranteed g/s |
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It's almost pointless looking at the weather forecasts as the course always seems to miss the forecast rain - incredible that they have good in the going description when Southwell and Lingfield are both heavy and had to miss fences out today. Exeter and Wincanton are soft, heavy in places and Fontwell is waterlogged.
I give up. |
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it takes a prolonged period of (winter) rain to get HQ soft and 5.x on the stick
every year forecast rain is always overplayed and drainage is underestimated, its just a pity g/s is not an attractive price nowadays |
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It does seem to get soft very quickly however if it rains during the Fez or even during the races themselves.
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we've had 2 fridays in the last few years where it has rained heavily and turned soft at the back end
but that is rain on top of opened up ground this market is what he calls the ground after walking it before it has been raced on |
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The course itself is undulating. It almost sits around it's own valley thus drainage is natural never mind the man made drainage that was put in some years ago. It is of no surprise to me it dries out quicker than other courses.
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And why the X-country course which sits in the centre is nearly always softer than the new or old courses
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Claisse's official going descriptions are notoriously unreliable. The good news is that it doesn't appear likely that he'll have an excuse to water the track before curtain up in 8 days' time. However unless there's a deluge immediately prior to racing, we're likely to be in the dark over the true state of the going until the Supreme has been run.
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X Country course doesn't benefit from the drainage that's been installed on the racecourse proper.
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You'd think one would get used to people who wouldn't understand what it is you've written and post an obvious observation.
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correct about the drainage on the XC course
that said, it frequently rides quicker than the O&N courses do as it is watered much less than the main tracks are throughout the year (understandably its less of a priority, and is more complex to do as well) |