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Cheltenham Festival
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These 51 comments are related to the topic:
Cheltenham Ante-Post Post-Mortem
Cheltenham Ante-Post Post-Mortem
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Replies: 51
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Nice bet scooby
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I agree it's all but dead, the last remaining hint of value is the "to win at the festival" markets. The whole year is based around Cheltenham now so bookies are far more switched on and as soon as any novice hurdler/chaser wins a small race it's cut for Cheltenham
The only fancy price I got was 8/1 on Mags winning the Mares hurdle but like an idiot I'd doubled it with Bellshill on the Neptune and Josies Order in the Cross Country......singles the way forward |
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good morning scooby
i wasnt doubting you i was just wandering when and who would want to lay 25/1 thistlecrack ,i was very pleased with 10/1 after newbury well done he is a really good horse, i hope he stays to hurdles but this trainer likes to have a go so i should think we will see him over fences in the autumn. |
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Timeform put Thistlecrack up at 33s very early in the season IIRC.
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best i seen douvan all year since last march was 5/2 getting 3s somewhere was nice..
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Douvan was 4's with PPower last April Kavvie, sadly I wasn't on
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Yep was on Douvan at 4s in double with Don Poli at 6s ffs.
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fair play.it was some price(obv with risk of a switch from wp!!)
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I shall continue my policy of laying anything at 3 or shorter on here until the end of November.
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Personally think you'd have to be on some form of strong drug to view Senewalk as worth a few quid at 16/1 for the Supreme this far away.
Min was available at 50/1 up until July/August time last year, 25/1 up until late October and 14/1 on the 9th of December, the day before his maiden hurdle run at Punchestown. I also very clearly remember Douvan being freely available at 12/1 in early January 2015, in the close build up to his Moscow Flyer win. The fact the bookies are already quoting Senewalk at 16/1 a good 51 weeks out shows they are getting tighter on it yet again, they know they're going to have far smaller liabilities next time round as they aren't laying anyone 50's and 25's like they were with Min - and we all thought they couldn't have been a bigger joke than they were last year antepost. One week down and no antepost bets. Better than last year already and a philosophy I shall be sticking to with the scandalous prices the bookies are dishing out. |
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OP is an out and out mug favourite backer. Every selection was on the shorties. Backing them all blind AP is the quickest way to the workhouse.
The days of value betting AP without valuable inside info is very tricky. The one easy one for everybody was backing Vatour NRNB for the Ryanair. I placed about 10 AP bets. 5 never turned up and only one won. Barely wiped my face. Going to simply wait for NRNB next year as the bookies make several tempting offers near the off. Even Sportsbook offered 3 free bets to the same value up to £25 on Day 1 for a winner above 3/1. Altior @ 9/2 obliged handsomely very first race so then playing up 3 x £25 bets as well as the winnings. So lesson is work smarter and not harder for myself. |
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Charwell, you misunderstood. I did not back those horses I was just pointing out the pitfalls of many long term fancied horses for this years festival.
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