Forums

Cheltenham Festival

There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
scooby91
15 Feb 16 18:47
Joined:
Date Joined: 17 Aug 15
| Topic/replies: 835 | Blogger: scooby91's blog
Bellshill scoped badly as did shaneshill and ufr aparrently.
Invitation only may run in the champion bumper  but poss will miss it for punchestown.  Battleford deffinately goes there and would be his leading contender and should put up a bold show.
Shaneshill  goes jlt.
Felix yonger goes champion chase. Dosent go to japan
Bellshill and shaneshill won't run in same race and will be split between supreme and neptune, undecided which goes where but neither will go bartlett
Nicholls canyon goes to cheltenham 100% almost certain hoes CH.
Wylie thinks his best chance at the festival is yorkhill. 
Augusta kate goes to the listed mares race at Sandown.  They will decide a couple of days  before Sandown if they go champion bumper  as there is a small temptation to go there  and he emphasised it's only a small chance and wouldn't go for both.
On his own likely goes for the national

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
Page 1 of 3  •  Previous 1 | 2 | 3 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 88
By:
shockster
When: 15 Feb 16 18:53
Yes was very good interview and well summarised Scooby.
By:
delsie777
When: 15 Feb 16 19:02
Well done Matt - great interview. Wylie gave a frank and open opinion on every horse. Interesting that HE brought up Augusta Kate when the topic turned to his best chance of a winner. I think that the owners are keen to persuade WPM to let them have their day.
Good summary from scooby - but to be fair he wasn't 100% that Nichols went CH, just 'almost certain at this stage' - same with Felix although it sounds like Japan is a lot less likely than it was.
The one that is really up in the air appears to be Black Hercules. Far from certain to go 4 Miler as the RSA sounds a definite possibility as far as Willie is concerned
By:
scooby91
When: 15 Feb 16 19:15
I'd agree with that delsie. For got to mention BH sounds like willie quite fancies the rsa but he said he's very much aware that he's favourite for the 4 miler and they will decide nearer the time.
By:
layingisthewayforward
When: 15 Feb 16 19:17
What race did he say for yorkhill please ?
By:
scooby91
When: 15 Feb 16 19:19
either the supreme or neptune. Same for bellshill.
Haven't decided either way
By:
Graeme83
When: 15 Feb 16 19:19
I'd be dissapointed if what odds black hercules is for a race became a factor. He surely seems like an RSA horse ?
By:
shockster
When: 15 Feb 16 19:20
Undecided on Yorkhill but said it was his best chance of a winner.
By:
delsie777
When: 15 Feb 16 19:21
Didn't know - but reading between the lines I got the impression that it looks like Yorkhill Neptune and Bellshill Supreme. Just the feeling I got anyway.
By:
buddeliea
When: 15 Feb 16 19:23
Not sure where you got that feeling, seemed 50/50 to me.
As long as Yorkhill is in one I will be happy.
By:
mincer11
When: 15 Feb 16 19:31
Yorkhill is clear second fav for the Neptune and you cannot give it away for the Supreme, so it's already been decided where he goes.
Basically Ricci is getting clear passage as usual with Min, and even though Yorkhill would be better suited to 2m, Wylie is getting messed around because Ruby wants 2 good chances rather than one, and maybe the wrong one winning .
They are avoiding Min but taking on Yanworth with Yorkhill. Ruby has a good ride in both races and Wylie gets it up the jaxxy.
By:
scooby91
When: 15 Feb 16 19:36
Mincer must be willie mullins
By:
scooby91
When: 15 Feb 16 19:56
Almost certainly he's going to be in the Champion Hurdle but we'll keep our options open just in case something happens between now and March 15," said Wylie.

"I think you'll probably see him in the Champion. It depends how he does this year, but I think we may step him up in terms of distance next season."

Reflecting upon his latest defeat, Wylie said: "Faugheen looked very, very impressive, and I don't know even if Nichols Canyon had turned up at his best if he'd have got that close to him.

"I think he was very impressive that day. I think with my fella we don't know if it was a hard run or whether just trying to keep up with Faugheen took the legs off him. We just don't know. But Willie said to me this morning that he's good form, he's working well and he'll take his chance.

"There is a possibility he might turn up in the World Hurdle, but then Thistlecrack looks a very good horse too.

"I think the fact is that we haven't run Nichols Canyon at three miles at all. I'm not convinced therefore that it would be sensible to take him to the World Hurdle without knowing if he gets the trip."

Wylie also had news of some of his other squad, including Tolworth Hurdle winner Yorkhill, whose Sandown form has now been boosted twice in the last couple of weeks with big wins from O O Seven and Agrapart.

Punters are itching to find out whether Yorkhill will line up in either the Sky Bet Supreme or the Neptune Novices' Hurdle, but Wylie wasn't for committing with four weeks still to go.

"He's obviously one of my best novices this season, if not my best novice," he said. "The truth is he's down for both the Supreme and Neptune and we haven't made up our minds yet. If he goes in the Supreme, he's up against Min. If he goes in the Neptune, he's up against Yanworth. He's got two tough competitors in either race.

"I spoke to Willie this morning and he said he'd make up his mind nearer the time. We'll probably keep him separate from Bellshill - one of those will go in the Supreme and one in the Neptune - but we don't know just yet.

"The truth is that Ruby has ridden the horse quite a few times, Willie trains him every day, those two boys know which is the best race for him and I just leave it to them. They know far more about the quality of the horse and his chance than I ever could.

"He won his bumper at Punchestown on fast ground but the nice thing is he will go on either ground, but I do think he will be a better horse on better ground."

Yorkhill can be backed with Sky Bet for the Supreme at 16/1 or at 20/1 for the Neptune with the same firm.

Wylie said that Bellshill had recovered from a poor run at Leopardstown last time out, and also confirmed that some of his other recent disappointments, Shaneshill andUp For Review, were also on course to come back at Cheltenham despite their latest poor showings.

"Bellshill scoped afterwards and he scoped badly so we can probably still go to Cheltenham," said Wylie. "Ruby got off last time and said when he pulled him out the horse just had nothing. That race was too bad to be true, but if the horse wasn't right they can't run their race, can they?

"Shaneshill I think we went there [to Doncaster] to see if he was an Arkle horse and we got our answer - he'll definitely be in the JLT. He's down for the RSA as well, but I think the JLT is the race for him.

"Hopefully, Up For Review will bounce back and run a big race in the Albert Bartlett too. He's going to be a chaser, but it would be great to see him run well there."

Wylie's recent run of misfortune was extended when Black Hercules fell at the final fence at Navan on Sunday when having victory in the bag, but the owner was still looking on the bright side, even if unable to commit the horse to either the RSA Chase or the National Hunt Chase.

"Ruby said his jumping was superb, obviously up until the last fence," he said. "He had plenty of horse under him, he got in low, hit the top and just crumpled on landing. Just a novicey mistake.

"I spoke to Willie this morning and he said 'The horse isn't slow, he's actually quite fast' and the report from Ruby yesterday was that if he was in the RSA, he wouldn't show you up, he'd run a big race. It's very much options open - we'll make that decision nearer the time.

"From where I'm sitting he's got a great chance in the National Hunt Chase. We've never tried him over four miles, but we do think he'd stay. But Willie is convinced he'd run a big race in the RSA, so we'll see."

Wylie also said that he was looking to run Felix Yonger in the Champion Chase rather than the Ryanair and that his juvenile Voix Du Reve could make a first appearance in his silks in the Triumph Hurdle, or wait for Punchestown.
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 15 Feb 16 20:33
They are avoiding Min but taking on Yanworth with Yorkhill. Ruby has a good ride in both races and Wylie gets it up the jaxxy.

No change there then!Mischief
By:
buddeliea
When: 15 Feb 16 20:46
yep,normal thing with this lot.
Wylie  can say what he likes bless him,but it's coming across more and more who the beneficiaries are when it comes to decisions.
Jockey trainer and ricci.
By:
baNjackst
When: 15 Feb 16 20:50
From what I seen at Punchestown last year I'd have thought Yorkhills best option lay over 2 miles, I remember thinking at the time that if he ran against the 2nd that day OK Corral over a longer distance the outcome would be different. OK Corral hasn't been seen this year unfortunately. Yorkhill is a special horse and Id have thought Min would need to be very good to beat him. On pedigree he shouldn't have any problem over the longer trip but it keeps niggling at me OK Corral was closing in hand over fist on him in a true run race at Punchestown. I would love for him to run in the Supreme and damn Bellshill for having a wobbly and thrown the original plan up in the air.
By:
delsie777
When: 15 Feb 16 20:52
He can put his horses where he likes, fella. Don't you think there's just a chance he's happy to have them as his trainer and jockey? Cos if he wasn't happy he'd feck off, wouldn't he? Numerous Grade 1's and big race successes? Perhaps he should send them all to Nicholls and retain STD to ride them all.
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 15 Feb 16 20:55
PFN has had a crap season. Might tempt Howard Johnson out of retirement though......Blush
By:
buddeliea
When: 15 Feb 16 20:59
He had a fair few big race wins before he got involved with Mullins.
I dare say he would get them with other trainers as well.
If he's happy with his relationship with Mullins and the way the yard works,of course that's up to him.
I would be off personally.
By:
baNjackst
When: 15 Feb 16 21:05
It's a liberty trainers and jockeys take making decisions about somebody else's horse. If your paying the bills man up and make the decision and if your getting paid shut up and do as your told.
By:
mayburydrr
When: 15 Feb 16 21:09
So from what ive read, the consensus is Yorkill goes for the Neptune. If Wylie sticks to his word and splits Yorkhill and Bellshill, that means Bellshill goes for the Supreme...Surely the 25/1 about Bellshill is huge value then? He beat most of the supreme runners at Punch and Aintreee last year (admittedly not at Cheltenham)
By:
buddeliea
When: 15 Feb 16 21:19
Depends how much notice you take of his last run I guess.
By:
mayburydrr
When: 15 Feb 16 21:28
Well even if you take his last run at face value, do you believe he will go for the Supreme? The market doesnt. you can't lay him, and can back at 40/1, whilst Neptune has a 14-19 spread. Same with the bookies. Best price 12/1 Neptune, best price Supreme, 33/1. Am i missing something? Or is Wylie just lying
By:
buddeliea
When: 15 Feb 16 21:36
Sorry, I meant backing him on his last run,which was not good.
He's 50/50 which race he runs at Cheltenham according to his owner tonight.
Think he's pretty genuine on that myself.
By:
mayburydrr
When: 15 Feb 16 22:06
Well my issue is Wylie says "we will split them up" which makes sense. But the markets dont agree at all. The exchange points to them both going for the Neptune. Hence my question. If Wylie is telling the truth, there is some serious value to be had one one of them going for the Supreme. If hes lying, which the markets indicate, then you'd get burnt trying to find value in the supreme market...
By:
JackieMoon33
When: 15 Feb 16 22:07
Based on breeding alone I would send Yorkhill to the Neptune:
E41,000 F; 2nd foal; unraced dam closely related to 2m1f-3m1f hurdle/smart chase winner Offshore Account and useful 2m1f-3m hurdle/chase winner Dooneys Gate, half-sister to high-class chaser The Listener & smart chasers Fork Lightning and Distant Thunder

Even though his previous runs may look like he could be competitive in the Supreme, I would ask myself the following questions:

1.) How many Presenting progeny have won the Supreme?
2.) How many Presenting progeny have won or been very competitive over further in novice races at Cheltenham?

This might seem a bit too simplistic but Presenting is a prolific sire so would have had ample progeny to have been aimed at and won a Supreme. War Of Attrition was second and Dunguib third in a Supreme but most Presenting progeny have been competitive over further and turn out to be stayers in their second seasons.
By:
Eeternaloptimist
When: 15 Feb 16 23:11
He's very much a gent from what can be seen and Wylie seems to love the sport. He doesn't try to dictate or even seem to sit in during the planning stage which must put him at a disadvantage vis a vis Ricci's horses because as he freely admits Ricci definitely is hands on in the planning stages.
By:
duffy
When: 16 Feb 16 01:50
When asked about having his horses back in England, he said, I sent all my good ground horses to Nicholls and all my soft ground horses to Mullins.Laugh
By:
gutfeeling
When: 16 Feb 16 13:39
Festivalfanatic - PFN has had a crap season. Might tempt Howard Johnson out of retirement though......Blush


Well there have been mutterings that JHJ might be returning to the training ranks, He is mad as a box of frogs though so could just be playing around.
By:
Hussard
When: 16 Feb 16 15:33
He needs to do what is best for his horses and have Yorkhill, Bellshill, Shaneshill, Black Hercules, Up for Review, Nichols Canyon, etc put in the correct races not dropped from a race because Ruby wants a ride in it or some other feeble excuse.

If he wants Mullins and Walsh so much  he deserves only the crumbs he gets from the Ricci, Mullin, Walsh leftovers.
By:
impossible123
When: 16 Feb 16 17:24
Let's hope what happened to Shaneshill last year is not replicated with Yorkhill solely to facilitate WPM and RW personal aims only.
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 17 Feb 16 19:17
Even with Faugheen out of the race, there was little chance of Ruby riding Nichols Canyon in the CH. However now that Townsend is likely to ride Arctic Fire, Wyllie might be a bit pissed that Willie intends putting up Mattie Batchelor on his horse. Could be worse though ....Patrick....?Laugh
By:
roobuck
When: 17 Feb 16 19:24
He needs to do what is best for his horses and have Yorkhill, Bellshill, Shaneshill, Black Hercules, Up for Review, Nichols Canyon, etc put in the correct races not dropped from a race because Ruby wants a ride in it or some other feeble excuse.

If he wants Mullins and Walsh so much  he deserves only the crumbs he gets from the Ricci, Mullin, Walsh leftovers.


Couldn't agree more. An owner of his standing needs to be main man and get his horses in 'right' race
By:
Hussard
When: 18 Feb 16 17:44
Gordon Elliot, Alan King, or similar training his horses, get Davy Russell or Hutchison retained and start challenging the three amigos. The horses rarely have any continuity and it cannot be helping their progress. I've backed Arctic Fire but I'd like nothing more than Noichols Canyon beating Annie and Walsh  in the champ and even though Mullins would win it id reckon he'd look like he lost a grand and found a fiver.
By:
buddeliea
When: 18 Feb 16 17:49
Be careful,theres a fair few that will come after you for that.
Some think its just not on to criticise Mullins ,Ricci, Walsh.

Fwiw,i have thought for some time he should go to other trainers.
By:
Graeme83
When: 18 Feb 16 18:05
Not so straight forward when wpm get the right horse for him. Wylie has good horses for a smaller string owner.
By:
buddeliea
When: 18 Feb 16 18:09
Well he can do what he wants with his horses he has now ,and I'm sure other people are around that can buy horses for him.
Hes had success in the past before mullins, im sure he could in the future after him.
By:
duffy
When: 18 Feb 16 18:28
He doesn't want any French breds,( suits Ricci) I reckon if he changed his mind on that he'd have to go elsewhere, otherwise how would they divi them up between them.
By:
Hussard
When: 18 Feb 16 18:32
I think he had greater success before Mullins. I also think he'd have more success taking the horses elsewhere as they are treated like second class citizens so why he keeps them there is beyond me.
By:
seaside dreamer
When: 18 Feb 16 18:37
with regards Howard Johnson did Wyllie not say he spoke to HJ the other day,sure he would send him some if he came back......said he loved a winner at Hexham,cannot see Mullins or Nicholls having many there Que HJ!!!
Page 1 of 3  •  Previous 1 | 2 | 3 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
‹ back to topics
www.betfair.com