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Just watched both of new to this towns wins in bumpers and he tries really hard off the bridle and stays very well. But imo he will be one of the first of the bridle and likely to get him self shuffled back before staying on well late. I'm not sure if avenir dune vie gave his full running in that race either as he travelled supremely well but found nothing off the bridle or if you take it at face value then new to this town outstayed him. the smaller the field the better his chances imo. But It's usually the last one of the bridle WINNING the champion bumper rather than something hard ridden coming off the pace,
That said, i could see him running a simular race to modus last year if he can get a route up the rail and staying on for a late place. |
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Avenir d'Une Vie was fixing him 7lb as well. Seemed to tell in that ground late on.
The only thing is that you'd hope New To This Town would improve for better ground being out of Milan. |
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*giving
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Mullins & owners considering sending Augusta Kate to Cheltenham instead of Sandown according to RP
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In the expectation of really decent ground I've backed Dermot Welds First Figaro @ 20/1 - plus an e/w double with Silver Concorde @ 25/1 in the Supreme
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"(.4 ÌÒØÞ
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Dunno what happened there. Willie says Augusta kate is a possibility.
Battleford bacardys and very much so are likely to go for the race. And lucky pass will not run. |
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Any mention of Invitation Only?!
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Does anyone know if Fulham Road can qualify for Bumper from just a run in a PTP? He's still entered so guessing he'd need a run under rules to qualify?
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As far as I'm aware fulham road is injured until I hear different and he diddnt mention Admiral chief or invitation only it's on rp website
AUGUSTA KATE, whose famous owners had said she was likely to run at Sandown and miss Cheltenham, could be in line for a surprise switch to the Weatherbys Champion Bumper. The mare is undefeated in two starts and as low as 7-1 for the Grade 1, but was expected to swerve the Festival in favour of a Listed mares' bumper at Sandown on March 12. This plan was recently confirmed by Graham Wylie, who owns the mare with former Newcastle United and England footballer Alan Shearer, golfer Lee Westwood and TV presenters Ant and Dec. Mullins ran six horses in the Champion Bumper last season but it is unlikely he will have so many next month, especially as Gigginstown House Stud - owners of Avenir D'Une Vie and Lucky Pass - tend not to target the race. Mullins said on Monday: "Augusta Kate is working nicely. We've sort of said we'd go for the Sandown race but we might rejig it and go to Cheltenham instead. She is very hard to evaluate as she does not show at home what she does on the racetrack. "So far so good with her. We had nominated Sandown but I'd say everything is open at the moment." Other options Avenir D'Une Vie recorded a Racing Post Rating of 136, the best achieved in an Irish bumper this season, when bolting up at Navan on Sunday. However, Mullins said he was happy with whatever Gigginstown decide with regard to his plans. "I don't mind if they leave him at home for Irish races. He has been showing us plenty for some time and the two times he was beaten we were disappointed really. "Lucky Pass is not going to Cheltenham. Battleford is likely to run and Bacardys is another one. Very Much So goes. Some Neckwill probably stay at home." |
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Paddy Power cut Castello Sforza randomly yesterday from 20/1 into 12/1 ... news broke an hour ago that he has been purchased by JP McManus. Some pages on Twitter seem to think he's being aimed at the Champion Bumper but I can't find anything official. This one has definitely went under the radar, I've been waiting on him coming back out for ages. Mullins did previously describe him as a "bit backwards" a while ago, although also said after his debut win that the plan was Cheltenham ... interesting!
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all bookmakers have cut castello sforza for the bumper this morning.
part owner alan shearer has said that augusta kate is now likely to go to cheltenham rather than sandown. |
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When did Shearer say this ashleigh? If true, she's the one!
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does a blog for korals.
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Ahh my bad, I skipped that blog as I thought it was football related only. Cheers.
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Just happened to see this myself.... still doesnt sound confiemd so think I will leave it until its 100%:
Willie Mullins is going to make the decision about our horse Augusta Kate on whether she will run in the Champion Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival a week before the race. He’s confident she will give a great account of herself in the race. Hopefully we will have a day out at Cheltenham to look forward to! My knowledge of horse racing is not great but I love the day out and the fun that comes with it. I’ve never sat on a horse and I have no desire to do so. I watched Victoria Pendleton fall off her mount last week and she is very brave. I’ve had enough broken bones during my football career and don’t want any more of that! |
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Couer Blimey
Gardner said: "We really don't know where we are going at this stage, but he definitely won't go to Cheltenham unless the ground is soft and even if it is, he might not go anyway. "I'll have a chat with the owners and see what they want to do. The entry stage is March 1, so I'll see if they want to pay the entry fee or not. "The Champion Bumper is certainly not the be all and end all. We have a very nice young horse and the last thing we want to do is ruin him. "Even if they call the ground good to soft at Cheltenham, you know there'll be some quicker parts. You can go there with a nice young horse, but then after running down that hill on quick ground, in the blink of an eye you don't have a nice young horse any more. "Unless the ground is described as soft, he won't be going." "Without wanting to sound too clever, he ran as we expected at Ascot," said the Devon-based trainer. "He ran a nice race at Uttoxeter, but he was a bit green and got a bit lost and we knew he was better than he showed that day. "That's why we decided to go to Ascot with him, which is not something I would do unless I knew I had a good horse as we don't get one very often. "He hasn't had any leg problems, but he does seem to be at his best on soft ground, so that's what we'll be sticking to. "If we miss Cheltenham, we might be more likely to get soft ground at Punchestown. "Whatever happens for the rest of this season, he'll be a better horse next year, I guarantee you that." |
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Aspen Colorado entered at the weekend. Looking like JP could have a strong hand.
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Saw the mention of New To This Town. The horse might be OK but I wouldn't want to be going to Cheltenham with the same unbalanced jockey, though it looks like that will happen. Not for me.
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I reckon Shearer's and Mullins' comments in recent days about Augusta Kate mean they're almost confirmed re-routing her to Cheltenham. Owners want the big day out and Mullins himself has been quoted as reconsidering Sandown, looks ominous to me and I think the 10/1 is a bet.
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get yourself a cupla pints the blackstuff while the mugs get involved in this shambles of a race
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a king running cric rock in the last at kempton tomorrow, will be interesting to see how he gets on giving weight all round.
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Anyone heard if Hobbs has had a change of plan with Open meeting winner COPPER KAY. He had said the mares bumper at Sandown but I see today on oddschecker today she has been intriduced at 14s and not just with nrnb firms. Was visually impressive that day and in a very open year would becworth her place.
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Mullins interview on ATR today:
Castillo Sforza - JP wants to go jumping (maybe depends how AC does today?) Battleford - may have improved sufficiently to run Bacardys - intended runner Lucky pass - does not run Invitation only - does not run Fulham road - does not run L'Avenir d'une arbor- Gigginstown call Augusta Kate - sandown v Cheltenham still undecided There were a few others discussed but the hangover is strong! |
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Aspen Colorado workmanlike at leopardstown and drifts to 10s
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Regardless of giggingstowns policy.
One that deffinately won't be going is Admiral chief he's still not entered up and the rules state that you have to have finished in the first 3 in a previous french aqps race, ptp or nhf |
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Bit of money for invitation only today , I can't follow this race at all
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If augusta kate runs ruby will be on board as patrick can't do the weight.
Patrick looks to have the choice between Battleford: patrick was raving about him to matt chapman and Johnny burke Very much so: ruby put him up to outrun his odds in the race And bacardys who patrick earlier said after his bumper win that he was more of a hardy staying type and wasn't too enthusiastic about his chances in this race. |
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just been looking at the bumper not in any great depth but one horse ive came across is HIGH BRIDGE of john fergusons won easy at catterick last time but form of last 2 races been working out well,have a look at see what you lot think ,16/1 at mo.
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Forget Mullins, clearly doesn't have a standout for the bumber as he is going to run around 5. English winner again, as last year P. Nicholls, Capeland.
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Why because of your other thread where STD told Talk Sport it's his best chance of a winner? Think you're forgetting he can't say The New One because he's not actually officially announced who he's riding. "He keeps on improving since his last win" ... will need to improve a hell of a lot in my opinion because Ballyandy wiped the floor with the horse Capeland only beat 3 lengths. Having said that, at least he has course form and the extra couple of furlongs could be to his advantage. At 66/1 you're almost forced into it.
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Take your points Mr Paterson - the bumper is all about potential and guesswork - STD is definitely riding The New One according to my contact at Twisters.
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Loon cat paul nicholls twitter page, answered the question ad late as yesterday saying he dosent run.
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Agree that Mullins doesn't have the winner, but not sure who does!
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Not sure why STD is saying Capeland, when his Dad is so keen on Ballyandy. Towing the line as per usual
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Only 32 entered in the bumper.
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NO. HORSE AGE TRAINER
1 1121 Ballyandy32 5 Nigel Twiston-Davies 2 02-1 Coeur Blimey89 5 Sue Gardner 3 2-311 High Bridge92 5 John Ferguson 4 11 Aspen Colorado17 4 A P O´Brien 5 FF-11 Westend Story31 5 Philip Hobbs 6 2-212 First Figaro78 6 D K Weld 7 11 Augusta Kate115 5 W P Mullins 8 F1-1 Bacardys81 5 W P Mullins 9 6-115 Criq Rock18 5 Alan King 10 11 New To This Town55 5 Mrs John Harrington 11 1- Castello Sforza346 5 W P Mullins 12 1- Very Much So687 6 W P Mullins 13 F-1 Battleford45 5 W P Mullins 14 12 Jam Session 4 Ian Williams 15 3/1- Turcagua466 6 W P Mullins 16 ANY DRAMA (IRE) 5 Harry Fry 17 AUGUSTIN (FR) 6 Willie Mullins IRE 18 AVENIR D'UNE VIE (FR) 6 Willie Mullins IRE 19 BALLYMALIN (IRE) 6 Nigel Twiston-Davies 20 BLOW BY BLOW (IRE) 5 Willie Mullins IRE 21 COMPADRE (IRE) 5 Jonjo O'Neill 22 DRUID'S FOLLY (IRE) 6 Rebecca Curtis 23 GEORDIE DES CHAMPS 5 Rebecca Curtis 24 GOOD THYNE TARA 6 Willie Mullins IRE 25 JOT'EM DOWN (IRE) 5 David Bridgwater 26 KING UTHER 6 Chris Gordon 27 ONTHEWESTERNFRONT 6 Jonjo O'Neill 28 PRIDE OF LECALE 5 Fergal O'Brien 29 RATHER BE (IRE) 5 Nicky Henderson 30 SPIRIT OF KAYF 5 Sandy Thomson 31 UTILITY (GER) 5 Jonjo O'Neill 32 WINSOME BUCKS 6 Tom Hogan IRE |
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I think that Augusta Kate looks very interesting indeed. The stable thought she was pretty moderate and were not expecting too much when she made her first appearance. Then she absolutely hacked up. It was a shock as she shows nothing at all at home. Mullins had her down as a possible winner of a summer maiden bumper!
Then she went into a much tougher race and again did a most passable impersonation of an utterly top class mare; slaughtering a load of previous winners with some ease. 7/1 with a run with B365 looks pretty decent value. She is certainly very good and could still be anything. |
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Lots of people seem to be looking for monsters under the bed ... but tough sort Ballyandy has it all in the book... he'll do for me out of that sorry bunch below.
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Remember Augusta Kate is as you point out a mare, and she's only run in mares races to date. This will be an altogether different experience for her, and looking back through the years its fairly rare for mares to even turn up for this race.
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