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Probably to do with Ben Pauling saying on Monday that he was leaning towards the Neptune Trial at Chelt on Trials day - race won by Bob's Worth and At Fishers Cross in recent years.
He also said Festival target will be decided nearer the time. Feeling was he is still leaning towards the AB but mentioned that he can't get the fact that the horse has speed out of his head. This, and next target, has led some to think he'll end up in the Neptune - probably the reason why he's a little weak on both markets. Personally think he'd need his head testing if he ran him in the Neptune as he's not a future Champ Hurdle horse - Neptunes are run quite steadily and then turn into a rush for home. He does have speed but his main attribute his a ruthless ability to gallop his rivals into submission. |
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he wouldnt have to be a future champion hurdler to run in the neptune though
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If he ran in the Neptune it wouldn't be steadily run if he made the pace which is extremely likely. He'd turn it into a real test. Keep your powder dry is my advice as these novice hurdles are a nightmare until much closer to the race.
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I think BH will end up in the Neptune, at least that is the way I interpreted the comments of Ben Pauling on Monday. He placed emphasis on the speed of the horse and I have to agree.
BH beat the current Neptune favourite in Bellshill over 2m at Aintree, yet people seem to be shocked the Neptune is even being considered. Jump on the 14/1 now and count yourself lucky when he battles up the hill like you know he will. |
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It's a complete no brainer, how the hell is he being even considered for the sluggers race?.
This is a class horse who has already beaten Bellshill who is fav for the race, and two of the front 3 in the betting for the supreme novices, namely Altior and Beuveuir Dair. They should run it in the shorter race, put up Johnson and let Bass lead it round the parade ring, that's what would be the ideal thing to do |
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Charlie. Obviously we can all take things differently but interested as to why you interpreted his comments in that way. I took them as AB still the plan, but not ruling out the Neptune?
"Then there's the Neptune trial at Cheltenham on January 30, there's an Albert Bartlett trial at Doncaster on the same day and the Sidney Banks at Huntingdon, so it will be one of those three I think." Pauling is in no rush to decide whether the Neptune or the longer Albert Bartlett will be his Festival target, but is still leaning towards the latter. He said: "If we go for the Neptune trial it doesn't mean we'll end up in the Neptune itself and vice versa. "He's not devoid of speed, but he does gallop and stay very well, so as I said the other day, if we get normal Cheltenham ground he'll probably end up in the Albert Bartlett, but we'll see nearer the time. "We're just going to enjoy the moment for now." |
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Stayers tend to beat faster horses over bumpers - I wouldn't be looking at Barters Hill and going 'oh be beat some really good 2 mile horses in bumpers so he must be quick'.
That's why CF is the only horse for some time to have won the supreme the year after winning the bumper. |
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^^^^^^^ Total nonsense ^^^^^^^
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I wouldn't put too much emphasis on bumper form when talking about hurdles races. They can be a decent gauge to start off with but are two completely different disciplines.
Good horses like Jezki, The New One, Killultagh Vic are three off the top of my head who get beat a decent number of lengths in the bumper and came very good over hurdles, where winners like Cousin Vinny, Dunguib, Briar Hill largely didn't do anything. |
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Backed for any race 9-1,know what race i would prefer to see him run,and its not The Neptune.
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CCM - It was the point he made about speed that led to me interpreting it the way I did. I have looked over it again and there are points to be made in going for either race - he says that himself like you pointed out.
I have backed Barter's Hill at 14's, 12's and 10's to win any race, so happy from that point of view |
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I've 14/1 for the AB - might at least cover the stake x 2 or 3 in the Neptune
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mincer..bass has won on the horse all its runs bar warwick (banned) and you think he should drop him?
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Bass wouldnt ride a rocking horse compared to the real cream of the riding proffesion. If you have a top horse in a top race at the Cheltenham festival then theres no room for sentiment when using a sub standard rider. Would Bass be considered to ride any other fancied horse at the festival, an emphatic no.
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Mincer - Bass has ridden BH very well to date and I don't think he is the easiest horse to ride. Having watched all the races back, Bass can often be seen pushing BH along at points in the race you wouldn't expect. Aintree being a classic example. He clearly knows the horses strengths and weaknesses which will is key come Cheltenham. I have backed BH fairly heavily Ante Post and would be happy with Bass on board.
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I think your over the top mincer..bass is a fine jockey, ive seen plenty of him,lot of people rate him, in 4-5 years we,ll see were he is but no way would he be jocked off BH pauling rates him and its pauling parents who own the horse.
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ALBERT BARTLETT favourite Barters Hill may not run in the race with trainer Ben Pauling yet to rule out the Neptune for his impressive Challow Hurdle winner.
The 5-1 market leader for the longer race, and as short as 7-2, Barters Hill is 16-1 for the Neptune and will race once more on January 30 before connections decide with Cheltenham and Doncaster under consideration. "He will run on January 30 in either the Neptune trial at Cheltenham or the Albert Bartlett trial at Doncaster the same day," said the trainer. "Hand on heart, I can't tell you whether I'll go Neptune or Albert Bartlett after that. He's 5-1 across the board for the Abert Bartlett and he's about 10s or 12s for the Neptune, but my problem is that he's not devoid of speed; he's not an outright slogger." Ground a factor Going conditions are likely to determine which path Barters Hill will take. "Obviously he's going to be a horse who stays very well but I think my decision will depend largely on the ground," explained Pauling. "If we get 'Cheltenham ground' then we'll probably go Albert Bartlett but if it came up soft I think the Neptune is plenty enough test for him. "If he doesn't run at Doncaster at the end of the month then he'd never have run three miles so it's not as easy a decision as everyone might think and he'll have entries for both." Barters Hill scored by 12 lengths in the Challow but not everyone was entirely convinced with his performance in testing conditions. "The ground was so heavy and tiring, it made it hard for him to look as slick over his hurdles," said Pauling. "It looked like it was a bit more of an effort but you couldn't help but be impressed with how he quickened from the second-last to put 12 lengths between himself and the second horse when had been sat on his tail. "To do that in that sort of ground was really quite impressive. It's not that he didn't handle the ground, he just didn't enjoy it as much as he does a sounder surface." |
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I know he's never been totally committed to the AB, but I have to say Im getting a worried now. Sounds like he's swaying towards the Neptune to me.
And the way the weather has been the past few years and seems to be going this year, I think a soft ground festival is going to become more and more common. |
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I hope he goes for the Neptune to stay away from up for review, only on a selfish level as I carnt split them in the AB?..
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Genuinely dont think its because of any other horses tony. You can see their quandary I suppose... and I think they are just trying to do whats best for the horse. If he doesnt make the 3m race at Donny, its a big risk to go to the Festival having never run over 3m before.
Do you not think Up For Review needs soft ground? |
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yes I do..i think hes better on it, were barters will go on better ground and soft imo,i,ll be lucky enough to speak to ben on the 7th march as I help a friend who organises a preview night that ben has come too for the last 3 yrs..so I,ll find out what are his thoughts etc..by then we'll know were he goes..
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Looks like Neptune to me. Going the Neptune trial will give him Cheltenham experience over a trip that suits. Cannot see them going Donny and then running him first time over an untested trip.
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For me the Albert Bartlett is the race he should be aimed at for best chance of success. I base this on 2 simple opinions:
1.) The Neptune tends to be won by classy, future 2 mile horses more than future stayers. As I do not see Barters Hill running in championship 2 mile events in the future this would be a negative for me. I don't think he is classy enough for the Neptune despite his amazing winning streak. Every race he has won he has been off the bridle earlier than his challengers but they have not been able to pass him. In the Neptune he will come across horses with 2 mile speed that can stay 2 and a half. I have a feeling one of these might just do him for speed on the run in as they will travel better than him. 2.) Kalanisi is his sire and not really prolific in siring classy progeny. Apart from Katchit, who divides opinion, Kalanisi has never sired anything that you would call a Top Tier graded horse. |
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I think he,ll go 3m race myself, but he has genuinely not made up his mind so its up in the air..i personally think he,ll win what he runs in.
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JackieMoon33 - I have to disagree.
Barter's Hill beat Buveur D'air and Altior over 2m1f, then went on to beat current Neptune favorite Bellshill over the same trip. That, on top of the trainers comments re speed, put any question marks over speed completely into touch for me, especially if the ground isn't good. I think he would get the trip for the AB but think his combination of speed and stamina would fit perfectly for the Neptune. |
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I tend to disregard the distance angle in bumpers as they are all run over the same trip give or take a few yards. Also, comparing speed in bumpers to hurdles is dangerous as horses are at different levels of maturity in their careers. Winners of the various championship bumpers over the years have turned up at Cheltenham the following year over all the novice trips as well. So for me I only take into consideration their season hurdling with regards to what is the best trip and how good they actually are.
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JakieMoon33 - I am not basing my opinion solely on the bumper runs because as you say, that is a dangerous game, but since those runs we have seen BH in two Novice Hurdle races where he confirmed he can jump very well.
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Some bumper horses are more mature than others and also trained and campaigned differently. Take Barters Hill versus Buveur D'Air from last season. When they first met Buveur travelled all over Barters Hill but did not find enough to pass him. In their second meeting in the big field at Aintree Buveur was never really in the race and beaten out of sight. Now maybe Barters was more mature last year and being pushed hard by Ben Pauling to succeed. Factor in Henderson is never too hard on his bumper horses and you could argue that the form line there is worthless. Buveur D'Air looked a completely different horse this season over hurdles and finished his race off on debut. Therefore it could be that some of the horses Barters Hill beat last year will improve and get closer to his level or even surpass it.
Alternatively I could be completely wrong and Barters has improved relative to or greater than every horse he beat..... |
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JakieMoon33 - Good point on a trainers general approach to bumper horses - perhaps a point I overlooked, but I would argue Barters Hill will come on leaps and bounds in the maturity department. At Newbury he had a long look at the exit and at Huntington he shyed at the path, in both cases Bass had to set him right.
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Agreed that Barters Hill is still mentally immature but I think Physically he may have been ahead of the others last year and now they may catch up.
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I'm in no way knocking the horse though, he'd be my pick for the Albert Bartlett but not for the Neptune.
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Looking at the weather forecast for the next few days I have decided BARTERS HILL will run at @DoncasterRaces for his @cheltenham prep run.
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Pauling has confirmed its Donny. Great news for AB backers.
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BARTERS HILL and Up For Review, the first two in the Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle betting, may clash on Saturday after trainer Ben Pauling confirmed Barters Hill an intended runner in the River Don Novices' Hurdle at Doncaster.
The Grade 2 is the only entry held by the Willie Mullins-trained Up For Review this weekend, and Pauling, who had the option of running his unbeaten Challow Hurdle winner over half a mile shorter at Cheltenham on the same day, has put the ball in Mullins' court by declaring his hand. RELATED LINKS Doncaster card "It came down to the fact it's good to soft, good in places at Doncaster and Cheltenham is already soft," said Pauling. "I'm based 12 miles away [from Cheltenham] and it's been monsoon-like for three hours, so I can see it getting very soft. "David [Bass] felt after the Challow that, while Barters Hill handled the ground, he doesn't want it that soft and I agree with him, so we're going to Doncaster." Trip decision Doncaster will give Pauling a chance to see how Barters Hill, a best-priced 9-2 favourite for the Albert Bartlett, handles the trip of the festival contest. He said: "It'll be nice to see him at three miles - it will confirm our plans. We all think he'll stay, but if I'm going to go for the Albert Bartlett I want to know for sure. "We're going to meet a decent horse wherever we go, and I would rather meet another good horse on better ground." Conditions update Doncaster clerk of the course Roderick Duncan said on Wednesday: "We've avoided the rain this morning and we have no more forecast until Friday into Saturday. We won't have any problems either way - it's just how it will affect the ground given we're also racing on Friday. "Given the course's condition at the moment and the fact we're forecast dry and windy days, I wouldn't be surprised if we were to report at least patches of good ground on both courses for Friday." |
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Surely there is no way that Mullins will send over Up For Review. He may well have done had Barters gone to Cheltenham, but I'd imagine he'll send over one of his lesser rans to see where they stand against Barters.
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Think you will be correct Tory, be bit shocked if he sends Up For Review.
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Yes I thought the same. A hard race against BH is the last thing the will want.
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up for review intended runner at donny according to w mullins.
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I thought he had a hard race today and was ridden out to the line, hope he doesn't bounce at the festival as the AB looks his to lose.. can't believe he's still above 2/1..
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