Cheltenham Festival
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No more heroes looked very very good at Fairyhouse and now heads the market at best priced 6/1, is as short as 4/1 in places. I have taken it at 7/1. Could be a Gold Cup horse of the future
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Agree but not surprised Syam was not impressive as he'd been held up and not run for a long while nonetheless not a bad performance considering; he'd also beaten Blaklion who is shorter in the betting for the Rsa, and with MOT not a certain runner there's value to be had at 12.
I backed SYAM ages ago at 33s tbh i was at first a little bit down heartened by todays run, 8s on and was expecting the effort to be more impressive however after deliberating over it i am keeping my bet alive as am pretty sure hes the sort to only put in whats required is he not, plus am pretty confident this close to the big day he would not have been on the racecourse if connections didn't feel he needed a sharpener.
Happy with the 33s in a tight little RSA given how it looks very likely to cut up, the stats that surround the fav's in that race plus the fact that all bar MoT and now SYAM (the ground was not all that bad at Newcastle today) have been running on bottomless winter ground.
Happy with the 33s in a tight little RSA given how it looks very likely to cut up, the stats that surround the fav's in that race plus the fact that all bar MoT and now SYAM (the ground was not all that bad at Newcastle today) have been running on bottomless winter ground.
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Greatrex says Out Sam will miss this race (RSA) as is too well handicapped not to run in a Hcp. Ultima Hcp on the Tuesday being the most likely.
Now MOT is 'hot' on the Exchange,...what a difference two days in racing makes? The jockeys and the trainers are really taking the 'mickey' out of punters; I've always thought the City folks were challenging, the racing fraternities are in a different league!
Cannot wait for the Festival to begin...these shenanigans are so unprofessional, to say the least.
Cannot wait for the Festival to begin...these shenanigans are so unprofessional, to say the least.
Was just about post the same impossible! Back into 4's with the books and some good money on here today.
Got everything crossed... My Festival is in danger of taking a horrific turn before I even get there
Got everything crossed... My Festival is in danger of taking a horrific turn before I even get there
This quote from Brian Cooper in Saturday's Racing Post amused me:
'I can't understand why he (No More Heroes) is a shorter price than More Of That. Yes, our lad has been very good and has jumped great and has done nothing wrong, but More Of That is a World Hurdle winner and unbeaten around Cheltenham.He's beaten Annie Power as well. He's definitely our main danger.He has a good jumping technique too.If More of That beats us I would n't be shocked.'
This about a week after Gordon Elliott agreed with Matt Chapman that More Of That should be favourite for the RSA.
So, on the face of it, the connections of the favourite fancy the second favourite and the connections of the second favourite ain't sure they're going to run!
The fact is, the media commitments grow year on year so they're asked for more sound bites which means more total nonsense gets spouted.
My policy will be the same as it's always been, which is to take notice of them only when they state facts as opposed to expressing opinions.
'I can't understand why he (No More Heroes) is a shorter price than More Of That. Yes, our lad has been very good and has jumped great and has done nothing wrong, but More Of That is a World Hurdle winner and unbeaten around Cheltenham.He's beaten Annie Power as well. He's definitely our main danger.He has a good jumping technique too.If More of That beats us I would n't be shocked.'
This about a week after Gordon Elliott agreed with Matt Chapman that More Of That should be favourite for the RSA.
So, on the face of it, the connections of the favourite fancy the second favourite and the connections of the second favourite ain't sure they're going to run!
The fact is, the media commitments grow year on year so they're asked for more sound bites which means more total nonsense gets spouted.
My policy will be the same as it's always been, which is to take notice of them only when they state facts as opposed to expressing opinions.
If one fancies Outlander for the JLT get in quick because the price of Outlander has yet to retrace to where it was before ie 4/1 prior to the shenanigans of MOT two days ago and Black Hercules today.
Bang Bang Bang - Gordon Elliott on No More Heroes c/o Ben Linfoot http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/news/article/465/10187513/stable-tour-gordon-elliott-runs-through-his-cheltenham-festival-team
I thought he was very good when he schooled with Don Cossack the other day. He jumped big over the first one or two - that's why we took him up there as he hasn't raced since Christmas - but he was going with the highest-rated Gold Cup horse and I'll think he'll have learnt more there than he probably did in his two previous runs. We're getting there with him and hopefully we'll get him there in one piece. He's favourite and I'm not sure he should be, More Of That is a stayers' winner and five from five at Cheltenham, but when there's a horse like that in the race it takes a bit of the pressure off me. The ground wouldn't be an excuse for him, I'm sure the ground at Cheltenham will be in beautiful condition as it always is. He's not the biggest horse in the world but he's big enough. Sometimes with the big horses it's hard to keep them sound, but he's just the perfect size, he's a little ball and he jumped beautifully at Leopardstown bang, bang, bang. He's a stayer but he's not slow either, jumping is his game and I think Cheltenham will suit him.
I thought he was very good when he schooled with Don Cossack the other day. He jumped big over the first one or two - that's why we took him up there as he hasn't raced since Christmas - but he was going with the highest-rated Gold Cup horse and I'll think he'll have learnt more there than he probably did in his two previous runs. We're getting there with him and hopefully we'll get him there in one piece. He's favourite and I'm not sure he should be, More Of That is a stayers' winner and five from five at Cheltenham, but when there's a horse like that in the race it takes a bit of the pressure off me. The ground wouldn't be an excuse for him, I'm sure the ground at Cheltenham will be in beautiful condition as it always is. He's not the biggest horse in the world but he's big enough. Sometimes with the big horses it's hard to keep them sound, but he's just the perfect size, he's a little ball and he jumped beautifully at Leopardstown bang, bang, bang. He's a stayer but he's not slow either, jumping is his game and I think Cheltenham will suit him.
DR was very impressed with DC and turned it round and said that since he was so impressed with DC you'd have to be even more impressed with NMH who went with a very fluid, beautiful jumping DC who is CG fav when he's only a novice!
MORE OF THAT, regarded by trainer Jonjo O'Neill as his best chance of a winner at Cheltenham, came through his final festival preparation at Newbury on Friday, after which owner JP McManus said the RSA Chase would be the eight-year-old's most likely target.
McManus's retained rider Barry Geraghty partnered More Of That over five fences with stablemate and older brother Eastlake, who was ridden by Sir Anthony McCoy.
Winner of the World Hurdle in 2014, More Of That seems set to run in the RSA Chase, although he is entered in the JLT Novices' Chase as well.
'RSA is most likely'
"They seemed to be pleased and he has his chance at Cheltenham," said McManus.
"He's in everything, but the RSA is most likely. He'll be better on better ground."
Geraghty, whose best chance of a winner at the meeting - according to bookmakers at least - is the McManus-owned Yanworth in the Neptune Investment Management Novices' Hurdle, added: "He jumped nicely and felt really well. The ground will dictate things and there's no rush to decide what race. He's definitely one of my best chances."
Also pleased was O'Neill, who said: "They're happy and I'm happy. That was good and exactly what we wanted to do. He's my best chance at Cheltenham without a doubt."
McManus's retained rider Barry Geraghty partnered More Of That over five fences with stablemate and older brother Eastlake, who was ridden by Sir Anthony McCoy.
Winner of the World Hurdle in 2014, More Of That seems set to run in the RSA Chase, although he is entered in the JLT Novices' Chase as well.
'RSA is most likely'
"They seemed to be pleased and he has his chance at Cheltenham," said McManus.
"He's in everything, but the RSA is most likely. He'll be better on better ground."
Geraghty, whose best chance of a winner at the meeting - according to bookmakers at least - is the McManus-owned Yanworth in the Neptune Investment Management Novices' Hurdle, added: "He jumped nicely and felt really well. The ground will dictate things and there's no rush to decide what race. He's definitely one of my best chances."
Also pleased was O'Neill, who said: "They're happy and I'm happy. That was good and exactly what we wanted to do. He's my best chance at Cheltenham without a doubt."
cheers, shockster - no mention of the oppo or running scared of No More Heroes then?
Perhaps it's just Frank Berry that's the nervous type
Perhaps it's just Frank Berry that's the nervous type
Wish they'd stop f*cking about and just confirm the RSA!
That's what I like about Gordon Elliot - he's upfront, decisive and to the point, no ambiguity!
Both of the front two have absolutely zero value in their price now. Slowly but surely the bookies have eked any juice of it out. You'd be mad to take anything shorter than what they are now and I'd expect their current prices to be similar to what they are at the post. I'm happy with my 5/1 MOT. Just hope to hell he makes it now. Likewise with NMH of course so we can have one almighty clash!
I think this is a 2.5 horse race ie apart from the two main protagonists (NMH/MOT) and only a fall from either/both or last minute rerouting of MOT will create a reasonably chance for those outside these two to actually win the race; the nrnb elsewhere will reduce the betting (not trading) on the Exchange massively for them, and with respect to the connections of Blaklion (game/consistent) and Seeyouatmidnight (very weak/could it be eyeing the 4 miler?) I think they are running for place money only, all things being equal.
surely connections of more than that prefer the JLT cus the RSA can turn into a slog which can leave a mark on the horse
No more heroes ran well in the Albert Bartlett which is also a bit of a slog, jumps well with enthusiasm and seems to be in love with the game, so should be well suited to this
No more heroes ran well in the Albert Bartlett which is also a bit of a slog, jumps well with enthusiasm and seems to be in love with the game, so should be well suited to this
Interesting thoughts re 2 horse race.
Neither been seen out 2015,one looks like a mudlark,the other about as sound as a chelsea pensioner,both have question marks to answer on several fronts.
Thats not to say either can,t win,but value?
Cleeve hill used to be a lot lower,rumour has it,its where the RSA shorties are laid to rest.
Just a thought.
Neither been seen out 2015,one looks like a mudlark,the other about as sound as a chelsea pensioner,both have question marks to answer on several fronts.
Thats not to say either can,t win,but value?
Cleeve hill used to be a lot lower,rumour has it,its where the RSA shorties are laid to rest.
Just a thought.
I don't see it as a two horse race either, I love More Of That and, all things being equal, would like him to win - but his profile reminds a little bit of Time For Rupert - the latter did n't win the World Hurdle but was a very good second to the imperious Big Buck's and then won two (more competitive) novices chases at Cheltenham before being let down by his physical frailties in the RSA, More of That is a little fragile and that has to be a concern in such a tough race.
No More Heroes looks very robust but normal festival going is a bit of an unknown, the admirable Blaklion looks sure to run well but I can't quite see him winning and whilst I'd previously liked the chances of Seeyouatmidnight, I was underwhelmed by his performance last time out at Newcastle.
The problem with the Mullins contingent is the 'Willie, won't he' factor but I like Roi Des Francs best of his possible contenders (nice form frank today) - I can't have Pont Alexandre who looks soft to me.
That leaves Vyta Du Roc who actually reminds me a little bit of Bob's Worth (without his level of form admittedly) - I'd back him if I had to have a be now but it looks like a race to keep your powder dry if you have n't had a bet already, none of the NRNB firms are top price Vyta Du Roc.
No More Heroes looks very robust but normal festival going is a bit of an unknown, the admirable Blaklion looks sure to run well but I can't quite see him winning and whilst I'd previously liked the chances of Seeyouatmidnight, I was underwhelmed by his performance last time out at Newcastle.
The problem with the Mullins contingent is the 'Willie, won't he' factor but I like Roi Des Francs best of his possible contenders (nice form frank today) - I can't have Pont Alexandre who looks soft to me.
That leaves Vyta Du Roc who actually reminds me a little bit of Bob's Worth (without his level of form admittedly) - I'd back him if I had to have a be now but it looks like a race to keep your powder dry if you have n't had a bet already, none of the NRNB firms are top price Vyta Du Roc.
No More Heroes
He’s been great and I’d agree that he’s exactly the kind of horse we try to buy. He’s where we want him to be but the RSA looks a good race this year and he’ll have it all to do.
More Of That brings World Hurdle form to the race and maybe we’re a bit unfortunate to be taking on a very good World Hurdle winner. Roi Des Francs will run too, I think; he has clearly earned a shot at a Grade 1 title and especially one that will involve stamina.
He’s been great and I’d agree that he’s exactly the kind of horse we try to buy. He’s where we want him to be but the RSA looks a good race this year and he’ll have it all to do.
More Of That brings World Hurdle form to the race and maybe we’re a bit unfortunate to be taking on a very good World Hurdle winner. Roi Des Francs will run too, I think; he has clearly earned a shot at a Grade 1 title and especially one that will involve stamina.
Will MOT, BH, RDF, Seeyouatmidnight and possibly Shaneshill be confirmed on 10th March for the race? What a ridiculous scenario for 'punters' with just 9 days to the race? I hope the Festival reverts back to 3 days to eradicate this 'bookie' benevolent programme.
I've backed MOT and I've got NMH in a couple of Betfair's "enhanced" bolox. But the more I think about it the more I think this is the race where we could see big shocks. I'm tempted to lay both the favourites and take the field at better than evens. I just think both are far too short. MOT is being backed like winning the World Hurdle makes him a certainty, but actually the record of horses going chasing after more than one season of hurdling in this and other novice chases isn't great, and whilst I respect No More Heroes I think it is priced as much on the colour of its silks than actual achievements. With the better going and the decent field almost anything could either improve past these two, outbattle them up the hill or both.
This is one race where I will be studying the videos in great detail to find the horse with the biggest heart, not necessarily the fastest engine. But if I can't decide laying the front two and having the field is a bloody good option!
This is one race where I will be studying the videos in great detail to find the horse with the biggest heart, not necessarily the fastest engine. But if I can't decide laying the front two and having the field is a bloody good option!
Maybe it's just one where you should leave your brain at the door and look at the record of the fav.
4/4 at cheltenham tells it's own story.
enough said.
4/4 at cheltenham tells it's own story.
enough said.
Fwiw, I think your field against the two is a good bet, marychain. They look the two standout horses but, as you say, they adre rather skimpy in the market.
I guess the worry with this MOT is he's had some relatively easy races now he's thrown in at the deep end. 4/4 at cheltenham so it could be a case of leave your brain at home indeed, but I'm just starting to have my doubts.
just seen a video of this no more heroes galloping with don cossack at leopardstown. don't think I've seen a novice jump with such enthusiam, he actually out jumps the don at most of the fences.
just seen a video of this no more heroes galloping with don cossack at leopardstown. don't think I've seen a novice jump with such enthusiam, he actually out jumps the don at most of the fences.
DR was saying how impressed he was with with DC and then added but you'd have to be even more impressed with NMH as he's a novice and to be able to go with a fluent DC was something.. D Cassey said he rode in that piece of work with a group of 135+ rated horses and they couldn't get near them and they where flat out
Indeed, what a let down...after what McCoy and others were spouting just a few days ago; could that be a que for BH to be confirmed for the JLT then?
another one who has been underestimated by the market I think is this black hercules. if you forgive his last run then his jumping display at warwick was as good as anything I've seen from a novice this season.
not sure if he'll line up here or the JLT but if it's the rsa I could be leaning towards backing him and taking on the front two, both are very short and you'd have to say all the juice has gone in their price
not sure if he'll line up here or the JLT but if it's the rsa I could be leaning towards backing him and taking on the front two, both are very short and you'd have to say all the juice has gone in their price
At the moment BH is being "pointed" towards the JLT but it could all change between now and race day - it is the WPM/RW/GW circus after all. Punters beware!
As usual Blaklion rang its heart out and won with Shaneshill 2nd; More Of That finished with two bloodied noses and No More Heroes (NMH) sustained a life threatening tendon injury and unlikely to race again, and is still being worked on in an equine hospital - I hope NMH recovers.
No More Heroes, without any doubt in my mind, would be one hell of a Gold Cup horse next year. The fact he injured himself three out and was still jumping the last in the front shows the heart he had. RIP.
Gutted to have lost him, and I thought Long Dog would have a big future over hurdles.
I underestimated Blaklion (I think that was because he cost me a lot of money in last years Albert Bartlett, but obviously fences have made him). Shaneshill got up the hill miles better than I think he would and ran a cracker.
More of That is very fragile, he's not one that I could have on my mind for the Gold Cup next year.
Gutted to have lost him, and I thought Long Dog would have a big future over hurdles.
I underestimated Blaklion (I think that was because he cost me a lot of money in last years Albert Bartlett, but obviously fences have made him). Shaneshill got up the hill miles better than I think he would and ran a cracker.
More of That is very fragile, he's not one that I could have on my mind for the Gold Cup next year.
very very sad that he never made it such a loss to the game. thoughts go to connections and all those who lost horses this year. did seem to be a lot i think it was 7
62 entries for the 2018 race...
Of Orish interest are.....
Al Boum Photo (FR) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Bonbon Au Miel (FR) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
C'Est Jersey (FR) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Invitation Only (IRE) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Kemboy (FR) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Livelovelaugh (IRE) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Pylonthepressure (IRE) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Rathvinden (IRE) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Saturnas (FR) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Turcagua (FR) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Up For Review (IRE) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
De Plotting Shed (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Dounikos (FR) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Fagan Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Jury Duty (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Mossback (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Sutton Manor (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Sutton Place (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
The Storyteller (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Tombstone (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Woods Well (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Shattered Love (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland 10st 11lb
Dinaria des Obeaux (FR) Gordon Elliott, Ireland 10st 9lb
Moulin A Vent Noel Meade, Ireland
Snow Falcon (IRE) Noel Meade, Ireland
Monalee (IRE) Henry de Bromhead, Ireland
Phil's Magic (IRE) A. J. Martin, Ireland
Presenting Percy Patrick G. Kelly, Ireland
Of Orish interest are.....
Al Boum Photo (FR) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Bonbon Au Miel (FR) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
C'Est Jersey (FR) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Invitation Only (IRE) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Kemboy (FR) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Livelovelaugh (IRE) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Pylonthepressure (IRE) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Rathvinden (IRE) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Saturnas (FR) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Turcagua (FR) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
Up For Review (IRE) W. P. Mullins, Ireland
De Plotting Shed (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Dounikos (FR) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Fagan Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Jury Duty (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Mossback (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Sutton Manor (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Sutton Place (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
The Storyteller (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Tombstone (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Woods Well (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland
Shattered Love (IRE) Gordon Elliott, Ireland 10st 11lb
Dinaria des Obeaux (FR) Gordon Elliott, Ireland 10st 9lb
Moulin A Vent Noel Meade, Ireland
Snow Falcon (IRE) Noel Meade, Ireland
Monalee (IRE) Henry de Bromhead, Ireland
Phil's Magic (IRE) A. J. Martin, Ireland
Presenting Percy Patrick G. Kelly, Ireland
Like the price of Snow Falcon......25nrnb.
Value imo.
Value imo.
Any reason why Invitation Only has gone out to 25.0 on betfair for this, can't find any comments from Mullins that he goes JLT or may skip festival. Thanks
Somebody put up Mias Storm today? Bet her at 20s nr-nb yesterday for the race, see being cut in a fair few places this evening
Running this weekend Dragon.lets hope for a nice round of jumping.
Pricewise put up Mia's Storm yday p_f (and Snow Falcon)
I'm still hoping for a good things from Fountains Windfall. If his jumping holds up I think he has a serious chance. When he fell in the Feltham he was going better than anything on likely unsuitable ground. Although clearly there was a little way to go at that point.
Entered in the Scilly Isles on Saturday, which is not really a RSA trial, but they may just not fancy slogging him over 3 miles again before the RSA.
Honeyball was talking about the Reynoldstown for him and I wouldn't mind that, it's been a fair Fes trial in recent years.
Entered in the Scilly Isles on Saturday, which is not really a RSA trial, but they may just not fancy slogging him over 3 miles again before the RSA.
Honeyball was talking about the Reynoldstown for him and I wouldn't mind that, it's been a fair Fes trial in recent years.
Yeh,looks a threat Sakhee, if his jumping goes well.
Was at Kempton the other day,impressive he was.
Was at Kempton the other day,impressive he was.
Bud - Pleased to see FW pulled out of the Scilly Isles. Dare say the Reynoldstown is the plan if the ground comes up good to soft.
Dragon - Could be a turn up this year, no standout horse in the UK or Ireland.
Dragon - Could be a turn up this year, no standout horse in the UK or Ireland.
agreed DBS not one to get too involved in until the day i reckon , i love this race but this year is just a total puzzle
Nick watts has put up Black Cortonnas his ante post selection in this which is available at 16/1 and its a horse i do like. His case is that its a grade 1 winner who is unbeaten in two runs over fences at cheltenham and has a bettrer or an equal offical rating than any of the last 9 out of 10 winners.he makes a compelling case to be fair if your read the article ,sound jumper who stays well acts on any ground and will go to the festival fresh with his last run on Boxing day.
At 16 i might just shove 20 ew on it !!!!
Nick watts has put up Black Cortonnas his ante post selection in this which is available at 16/1 and its a horse i do like. His case is that its a grade 1 winner who is unbeaten in two runs over fences at cheltenham and has a bettrer or an equal offical rating than any of the last 9 out of 10 winners.he makes a compelling case to be fair if your read the article ,sound jumper who stays well acts on any ground and will go to the festival fresh with his last run on Boxing day.
At 16 i might just shove 20 ew on it !!!!
Agree that BC has improved all year and wouldn't put anyone off backing.
That's a reason why I played on Fountains Windfall at 33 for this. I backed in the Feltham and he had BC scrubbing in behind along with the rest.
He looked like the winner at the point he fell. So I reasoned, on that basis, that if he hadn't fallen then he would've won. In which case he is 5 or 6 for the RSA.
I try to not go with the stats too much, but the RSA trends do tend to be quite strong and the Feltham winner never wins the RSA. Something to be wary of.
That's a reason why I played on Fountains Windfall at 33 for this. I backed in the Feltham and he had BC scrubbing in behind along with the rest.
He looked like the winner at the point he fell. So I reasoned, on that basis, that if he hadn't fallen then he would've won. In which case he is 5 or 6 for the RSA.
I try to not go with the stats too much, but the RSA trends do tend to be quite strong and the Feltham winner never wins the RSA. Something to be wary of.
What do we make of Mullins runs today.. invatation only & Am Boum still unsure as 2 were they'll go
quite a few irish trainers will be changing plans after this festival , well worth watching the markets
Agreed Irish. Play NRNB on those.
Although, as someone who backed Invitation today, so was watching him, he didn't strike me as a horse that is crying out for 3m. Although is a ptp winner.
Am Boum was staying on so wouldn't surprise me if he was stepped up in trip. He has an entry for the four miler as well.
Although, as someone who backed Invitation today, so was watching him, he didn't strike me as a horse that is crying out for 3m. Although is a ptp winner.
Am Boum was staying on so wouldn't surprise me if he was stepped up in trip. He has an entry for the four miler as well.
Boum was staying on but didn't increase his lead on invatation,it was a funny old race Monalee seemed to be the only one who streched on. A few will be better for the ground as it was genuine soft.
Two very good 3m novices head the market here - Presenting Percy and Monalee. I think they will drive a few to the JLT (Invitation Only) and 4 miler. Both look exceptional prospects.
May well take a chance on Elegant Escape if he turns up here at a decent price. Having said that Monalee does look very strong.
only thing with elegant escape is he seemed outpaced LTO so may be better in the 4miler for which he's also entered (and is a general 12/1 whereas he's 16/1 for the RSA)
will surely run in the 4 miler and have a massive chance
agree to be honest, think that'll be my play in the race and will leave the RSA alone!
Only a small interest in Yanworth (a tentative selection) if he does not go for the Stayers (big bet nrnb). This has not been a lucky race for me.
they finished in a bit of a heap on Sunday so maybe the form of Monalee is misleading? what I would say is he travelled the best turning for home and looked like winning easily
Monalee & invatation only were travelling equally as good. I'd love to see Monalee go JLT I just think the RSA he could travel really well then falter up the hill due to his keenness
No given up on Snow Falcon for this.
Jumped well again last week, but thought he may have been better off held up more.
Maybe a tad outpaced in the end, and hoping 3m with being off the pace will see him produce his best.
Jumped well again last week, but thought he may have been better off held up more.
Maybe a tad outpaced in the end, and hoping 3m with being off the pace will see him produce his best.
It was more testing ground in Ireland than is likely in the RSA so I would be happy to see Monalee take part as they will go much quicker and he may not be so keen. He impressed me by pulling away again close home.
To me Monalee and Presenting Percy look out on their own as 3m novices and I have read a lot about the possibility of Monalee going JLT rather than RSA. Wondering if this is because Davy Russell who has ridden both has chosen to ride PP at Cheltenham and has told the Monalee owners to avoid PP. Crazy thinking ?
Feb 7, 2018 -- 9:56PM, Quevega06 wrote:
Monalee & invatation only were travelling equally as good. I'd love to see Monalee go JLT I just think the RSA he could travel really well then falter up the hill due to his keenness
I don’t see Monalee failing up the hill for stamina, he kept finding on Sunday every time something came to him. I’m just not sure he’s as good on better ground, but RSA seems the more obvious race to me. Invitation Only on the other hand I think would be more suited by the JLT and could be the biggest danger to Willoughby Court if he turns up there. I quite like Presenting Percy for this, he hasn’t mixed it in the same company yet, but stamina, course form and further improvement still possible. Price short enough though.
Resner take your point that he kept finding and come the RSA that may well be I just have the AB in my head that he was a sitting duck
Personally I'd love to see Monalee over the JLT and lead from start to finish
Noel Fehily seemed in no doubt after the race that it was RSA but will he be available to ride?
he will, that's the reason they got him to ride in the Flogas they said
Personally I think Noel was on it to keep options open for JLT & RSA. When the owner was asked the question about Davy he never said he wasn't riding
Re Monalee in the Albert Bartlett, I seem to recall him being fairly free and he didn’t really tire up the hill was just beaten by a better horse on the day. I don’t actually mind your theory of running it in the JLT you could well be correct in how it would pan out but don’t think he runs there. I also think Noel rose the other day as they intend running in RSA and Davy Russell will be on Percy
having a canter and school over a few poles and obstacles
Gutted, had 33/1 and I really fancied him for this.
Mias Storm for me, however Alan King and her owners should be counting their lucky stars that they still have a racehorse. Just watched the Kauto Star Novices chase again......6 of the 7 jockeys chose to give their mounts a good sight of the first as they thundered towards it, but not Hutchinson. At the 3rd, she is asked to do almost the impossible, on soft ground and her 3rd chase, she is asked to take off (almost from outside the wings), at the same time as Ballyoptic who is 1 1/2 to two lengths in front of her....freeze the frame and you'll see. She does as the jockey asks and gives it a go but lands on the fence. Despite this she still has the guts and ability to get back into the race, makes a mistake at the 6th last, ((asked up, says no thanks(not after what just happened) and puts in an extra stride)), then falls at the 5th last. I have no doubt she would have been in the shake up if her ride had been different/better, despite the ground.
With luck on her side at Cheltenham, meeting the fences on a good stride(a must), and her 7lb mares allowance, she must go close, in spite of her proposed pilot!
With luck on her side at Cheltenham, meeting the fences on a good stride(a must), and her 7lb mares allowance, she must go close, in spite of her proposed pilot!
Agree Duffy very happy with that from PP, this is starting look like a pretty good race. Personally think it’s between PP and Monalee. Black Corton done nothing wrong, but don’t think the stats are good for Feltham or Reynoldstown winners.
mmmm not sure you are right guys happy with bc whatever
I'd be very happy with 16's too Dragon; looks an underrated horse Black Corton. Looks like it could be a cracking renewal of the RSA this year.
I'd personally have Presenting Percy and Black Corton over Monalee; not original but it'd be a big shock to me if one of those three didn't win.
Black Corton still available at 10's; seems a fair price to me.
I'd personally have Presenting Percy and Black Corton over Monalee; not original but it'd be a big shock to me if one of those three didn't win.
Black Corton still available at 10's; seems a fair price to me.
thankful that I backed Black Corton this morning at 14s, lots of experience under the belt and impressive today after a break. I just think it's an each-way bet to nothing, I would be very surprised if BC is out of the first 3
14/1 BC isa good bet no doubt.........BUT..........."an EW bet to nothing"...........thats very brave call in a 3m Novice Chase anytime never mind at The Festival. Good luck.
super consistent and experienced, maybe not put in any super-eyecatching performances yet but 9 wins and 1 second place (giving weight to Elegant Escape, which was subsequently avenged off levels) in all Chase starts to date including a grade 1
Would think sizing Tennessee would be a good e/w bet,looked like he was going to beat black corton earlier in the year at cheltenham and should be well suited to 3 miles on decent ground
Yanworth, is he a cert to run in the Stayers then? Otherwise, he could surprise if he had a good jumping round.
Another who will be well suited to 3miles although bit of a worry that they entered him in the stayers more so with the trainer saying he entered him on his form with sustained who is the favourite
I hope connections will make a decision soon. I'm not impressed with the main principals for this race but I'd prefer Yanworth in the Stayers.
On 2nd thought I think Presenting Percy ran a very good race and justify his position at the top of the betting market for this race; he was just outstayed by Our Duke who is an out and out stayer who'd relish soft/heavy going.
Don't know why but I fancy a massive outsider in this race this season. But which one?!
bc best price 9/1 mostly 8 with the odd 7, 15/2 happy with my bet!!
It's good when value is on your side but do you not worry that he may have been to the well to often?
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