Cheltenham Festival
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Ante Post Musings- Triumph Hurdle
Ante Post Musings- Triumph Hurdle
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Replies: 242
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this ivanovich gorbatov screams out at me as a horse that will absolutely relish cheltenham and spring ground
I'm all over it like a sore rash |
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Can someone tell me why Leoncavallo is 33/1 and Sceau Royal 7/1. What am I missing here?. It seems to be going for the triumph as it looks like Coleman already booked to ride the horse. It beat Sceau Royal earlier in the season and was closing and challenging the same horse in its last race when it unseated. Was/is the horse injured or was it the ground that has kept it off the track since december. I see that as the only negative with a lower flat rating of 68.
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Leoncavallo Was just kept for better ground. I can see why SR is a shorter price, but I can't see why leoncavallo is a 331 shot
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there's plenty of us on here that are baffled by the price on Leoncavallo, I think the solution is to just keep piling in! why on earth this horse is 33/1 is beyond me
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I hope JPM agrees with us LR
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At last sense has prevailed, Zubayr is out to 7 here but only wanted at 17, and Leoncavallo into 34.
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Zub's didnt school well, come on the IG !
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Mr G
Zubayr schooled well against tommy silver yesterday morning according to nicholls. Said tommy silver would need to improve. Clan des obeaux and adrien du pont not certain runners |
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"Zubayr has worked very well this morning with tommy silver and he has improved enormously from his kept on run"
Paul nicholls. |
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* Kempton.
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Ive heard i didnt school well lol. CDO wont want it drying like it is. IG will love this ground and i cant have Pont nor Royal form on my mind.
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RW has switched allegiance - he's on Footpad for SM (despite ground) - and not on Let's dance (RR). I think it will be gambled on tomorrow, currently 8/1 from 10/1.
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Money coming in for Footpad here.
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It could be more that: RW is not riding RR's Let's Dance but Simon Munir's Footpad - RW has jumped ship for the 1st time (I think).
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He'd be on Ricci's if he thought it was the best.
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Are we keeping the Faith with IG todays lads or not ?
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Nope, cannot have IG. My 4 against the field are Footpad, Who Dares Wins, Leoncavallo and Gilbrafaro.
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cannot have IG at all. i'm still happy with WDW but i think footpad will also have a chance.
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I like Sceau Royal, but it's not a race i'd get too involved in. Mullins likes Footpad, yet i'm still daft enough to think IG could be the best of the Irish runners. My only real advice would be for smaller staked mugs like myself to take the sky bet 'money back as a free bet' concession.(up to 25 quid)
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On Footpad at 33's and I still think he is the one to beat today. Mullins comments have only strengthened that view.
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^^^ should add it's money back if your selection loses.
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I'v a few decent chances here antepost.
But if I haddnt already backed here, id be all ove sceau royale with 4 places think he's got a great chance. |
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Money keeps pouring in for Footpad, down to 8.2 here and still being backed, and RW is riding for Munir despite RR has a runner in Let's Dance.
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If Ivanovich Gorbatov hadn't run lto he'd be a sub 4.0 shot here. They thought he wasn't right and that the ground will suit today, I'm on at 8.0 looks a very fair price.
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JPM agrees with me itll run a race - Keep The Faith
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At this rate Footpad could start off 'fav' - it's 7.4 here and contracting.
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5.4 here it comes
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Now IG is being smashed into.
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Do I lay off and secure it's victory, or do I let it run and secure it's defeat.
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IG earlier but now it's Footpad again - let's hope they run accordingly.
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Oi Oi Limini and IG
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Very well done IG backers!
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Almost impossible to tell at this stage, but I suspect that was a good renewal of the Triumph, and the ones I'd hope would come to the fore did, and showed that the Irish juvenile form was far better than the British.
The front four all look like very good ones for next year. Allblak Des Place didn't run, but he must be a good one too based on how the Leopardstown Juvenile Hurdle has worked out. |
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Lads i loved it when use all gave up on this beast, if you watch the win and the loss at Leopardstown its not the same horse at all, that day in February was filthy and it never showed its true running like what it did today with a good pace and on ideal ground, well done to use all that kept the faith and ill have a few listen backs to all the Podcasts including Mr Mullins who said it wouldnt beat the Ambulance home, to the Couch who said the Russians must of come over and backed it, NOT TOO FAR Ivanovich Gorbatov and as always lads Keep The Faith with a Good Thing !
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I certainly never gave up! I backed him a few times over Xmas time and was disappointed in his run last time but the fact he was smashed back into fav again within a few days gave me more hope it was the ground/off day as we all have them! It stopped me backing him more right enough and made do with what I had on which won me a good few quid and a great start to today. And after a bad start with about 250 worth of antepost bets going down before we even started coming out with a profit was fantastic lol
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Fair play and a good performance by IG. I couldn't have him after his last run.
I could understand ruby was doing on foot pad, replicating the ride he was given by danny mullins but up hill on that ground, he had no chance of winning from that far back |
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I think it was a decent renewal - the winner will be a force to be reckoned with in open company, Apple's Jade was only running for the third time in her life and will surely be a challenger in the Mares races.
Would also throw in a positive mention for Clan Des Obeaux who got outpaced but was staying on again at the end and will surely be an excellent novice chasing prospect. |
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Leoncavallo ran really well too considering he had not run since December yet beat most of the fancy runners eg Sceau Royal, Zubayr and Let's Dance.
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