Cheltenham Festival
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Cheltenham Handicap Dark Hosse
Cheltenham Handicap Dark Hosse
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Lite Duties for Charles Byrnes in the Pertemps. His only runner at the meeting. He'd have finished a lot closer in his qualifier but for a mistake 4 from home. I'd say Davy Russell rides. That Leopardstown qualifier looked a good race ... I'd also have a strong feeling for Mydor for Tony Martin.
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NOBLE ENDEAVOUR for Gordon Elliott in the Conditionals Hurdle.
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No such thing as a Tony Martin trained or McManus owned "dark horse" when it comes to the Festival - every deluded conspiracy theorist latches on to their entries as soon as they're published and they end up overbet as a consequence.
If you're looking for genuine dark horses - all currently available to back at big fancy dan odds NRNB - how about Qewy (Supreme), Vino Griego (Festival Handicap), Storm Force Ten & Beatabout The Bush (both Fred Winter), Smashing (JLT), Sybarite (Pertemps), Eduard (Ryanair), Sign of a Victory (County) & Croco Bay (Grand Annual). |
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I'll try.....
Novices Handicap - Oscar Fortune Coral Cup - Ttebbob Kim Muir - Colbert Station County Hurdle - The Game Changer |
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Wicklow Brave, Tiger Roll County
Vino Griego. |
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Killala Quay - Novice H'cap Case
Rolling Star - Coral Cup Royal Irish Hussar - County Hurdle Astracad - Grand Annual |
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KQ backer signing in
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I’ve taken 40/1 (Ladbrokes) about Sandra Hughes’ Art Of Payroll in the novice handicap chase. They have form with this horse regards getting him handicapped, but they over did things last season as he was too lowly rated to get into the County Hurdle. He absolutely cruised home off a mark of 127 in a handicap hurdle at Leopardstown instead.
He’s been out for three runs over fences, and although a mark of 137 looks high on what he has done over the larger obstacles, he’s definitely capable of much better than what he has done and looks a real plot. He’ll improve for the likely better ground and at 40/1 he’s well worth a punt imo. |
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Just been to the Aintree preview night and Charlie Longsdon very sweet on Kilala Quay in the novice handicap chase. Might wear first time cheekpieces.
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Fits good few trends wellchief,worth few bob at 20/1.
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id have bought you a beer wellchief if I'd known you were there too
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I was the one who asked the questions about Smad Place and Reve de Sivola mate.
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What did you ask about Smad Place mate.... And what was the response?!
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They basically thought he weren't good enough mate, although that was John Parrot!
I said he'd been placed in two world hurdles and an RSA after an interrupted prep, but they liked the horse and would love to own him, but might lack the class and pace. Same with Reve. I said how can he be 5 times the price of Zark and SDR when he beat Zark and at the weights beat SDR. They said if the World Hurdle was at Ascot he could win it but not at Cheltenham. Not sure I agree with that to be honest. Won a cleeve, second in a cleeve and placed in a Neptune. |
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Good stuff, cheers. I am sticking with SP in an open year and not unduly worried Parrot doesn't fancy him!
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Viva Le France for Tony Martin.
Just think this has a similar profile to Savello last year (who I put on last years thread) and looks to be a similar plot. Expensive, well bred horse owned by big owner who has been given a few easy rides and kept for a big handicap before showing any decent form to recoup some of the costs. |
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I was the one who asked the questions about Rajdhani Express and the Fred Winter
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@shrewd. he wouldn't get in though would he?
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GRUMETI in the Grand Annual.
Has an absolutely ideal profile for this race, which King has won with Oh Crick previously. Classy, unexposed, goes on likely good ground, enjoys fast-paced race, recent prep run, not outside first four on any completed run this season and ahead of handicapper based on penultimate run. Both Gitane De Berlais and Irish Saint have come out and won since the Scilly Isles Chase, where Grumeti came third (admittedly a long way off third) but that looks a particularly classy renewal. |
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decent shout roger
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Good to see we're getting some decent posts on this forum page at long last instead of a whole host of phantom Tony Martin and Jonjo and JP McManus plots. There are many shrewd punters who are users of the Betfair forum and if you can sort the wheat from the chaff there will be opinions expressed on these pages that will bear favourable comparison with those of the so-called (paid) experts.
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Champagne James - good bumper winner for Ted Walsh has been brought along steadily over fences and running in handicap company recently. Very nice staying on close second last time at Naas in a 15 runner handicap, gets in here with a perfect mark and is surely better than has performed to date. 20/1 NRNB B3.65 and others or 25s take yer chance with Laddies.
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I've done a £1ew yankee on some of these for fun.
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yep gary obrien really liked ch james for his last run ,has he put him up anywhere for chelt
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That was the hurdle race actually. I take it back
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You are spot on Benjy, think Grumeti would get a 60k bonus if winning at the Festival - definitely an interesting runner
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Grumeti won one of the Plumpton bonus races so connections would receive an additional £60k if he wins any race at the Festival. The bonus has only been won once before - by the Alan King trained Voy Por Ustedes!
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Sybarite ln the Pertemps
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If it sneaks in down the bottom off of 133 then KILLULTAGH VIC in the conditional handicap hurdle. I really want Mullins to run him as a back up to Black Hercules in the Albert Bartlett as I believe he will be massively improved when stepped up to 3 miles.
Anyway, the 2.5 will do on the stiffer track, he is not a slow horse as his runs in last years bumper at the festival and at Punchestown show but he is being seen in a better light upped in trip, he won his maiden effortlessy enough and was then beaten by L'ami serge over 2 miles that was just too short. His final run was the one that really made me take notice of him, stepped into a hot grade 2 he travelled at the back of the pack, as the race was hotting up he missed out the 5th, 4th and 3rd last but it did not interrupt his smooth travelling style and he travelled into contention around the outside and looked a threat before sticking on well enough to take 3rd, obviously his jumping is a question, but his performance in this race which was full of festival hopefuls and particularly how he travelled suggest to me that he's very well handicapped....I'm not a stats man as such but even I have noticed that he hits pretty much all the criteria for this race....he's also entered in the coral cup too...I'll be backing him wherever he turns up. |
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Grand Vision only has 1 entry left and that is in the Kim Muir. I think he should have a rating in the low 140's but is in off 137 so has a bit in hand and 20/1 NRNB Ladbrokes has appealed to me. Sure to be shorter if he takes his chance next Thursday and money back if he doesn't.
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Thunder Zone for the Fred Winter.
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Ted veale going for the grand annual
Ground too soft for him though  |