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Al Ferof

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Replies: 203
By:
duffy
When: 26 Dec 13 23:00
His finishing position today probably wasn't too far away from where you'd have expected BW to have finished....a stayer on the wrong type of track....coming back from the inconveniance of having a long time off.
By:
wellchief
When: 26 Dec 13 23:06
I just can't see how he could make up 14 lengths with Conti and 11 with Cue Card to be honest.

As I said, he did stay on, but only when his chances were already long gone; to have a chance of winning a Gold Cup he would have needed to prove that he could stay on whilst being up with the pace imo.  He jumped the last about 1 length in front of MB, and ended up about 2 lengths ahead at the line, so not that big a difference.

I know that logic means he'd be completely outpaced in the Ryanair, but I think a strongly run race, leading from the front, would suit him better.

All a game of opinions though....
By:
alleged22
When: 26 Dec 13 23:10
whats the negative? since being a nOvice he,s won a PP and 3rd in a KG , cue card and SC are grade 1 horses, is it really that bad bally? in hindsight?
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 26 Dec 13 23:12
Considering his record around cheltenham he is entitled to show better form than at kempton.
By:
buddeliea
When: 27 Dec 13 07:48
Yep,a different track with an up hill finish and 2 furlongs more will see him a lot closer to the front 2 yesterday imo.
Always a  chance that Kempton would not suit the horse at the highest level and so it proved, but I genuinely feel Cheltenham suits him really well.
No way have I given up on him, and look forward to his next race hopefully at Cheltenham in January.

As for Ryanair...forget that,hes a stayer.
By:
wellchief
When: 27 Dec 13 09:27
Unless he runs in the Argento or AON, I'm not convinced with him over the Gold Cup trip. I think he is probably the second best horse over 2.5, but I think there are about 5 who are probably better over 3.

I know the Ryanair is not the most prestigious race, but his odds in that are half of that in the Gold Cup, ao it would seem to be his best chance of a win.

As you say, he will improve for Cheltenham, but as I said earlier, there's one thing staying on past beaten horses and staying on with the big boys at the front.

I accept that if Cue Card runs in the Ryanair, he probably won't have the speed to beat him, but Imo he needs to prove he stays better over 3m Championship pace.

You pay your money and take your chance though, so good luck to all that gave backed him in either race.
By:
alleged22
When: 27 Dec 13 09:32
too too early to be written off, if he puts up a good performance in one of those trials he is defo back in the mix
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 27 Dec 13 10:06
For lack of a better phrase...Gold Cup my arsse.his own trainer  says he thinks he should go Ryanair. Al Ferof backers  who done their money yesterday...please accept that your horse was way behind Cue Card and Silviniaco Conti. He's simply not that ****g good!!
By:
alleged22
When: 27 Dec 13 10:21
have you got a quote for that bally?
By:
HaylingBilly
When: 27 Dec 13 10:23
I would not be writing Al Ferof off quite so easily. He's been off the track for a long time with just a training gallop of 2m3f at Ascot in last 13 months. This was his first time at a distance over 2m4f and he came 3rd in the second most important G1 3m Chase of the calendar. He is bred to stay. To me he looked like a stayer yesterday in the Bobs Worth mould. That'll do for me. Silviniaco Conti just turned round 10 lengths versus Cue Card from Betfair at Haydock. I reckon Al Ferof will get a whole lot better by March and over 3m2f going left handed he looks a great bet at 25/1. Surely he will make the first three at least. Almost as good as Champagne Fever at 10/1 for Jewson with NRFB. That looks a steal.
By:
alleged22
When: 27 Dec 13 10:24
its ok found it...
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 27 Dec 13 10:26
The winner's stablemate Al Ferof was 11 lengths back in third in a race dominated by just two horses, and Nicholls said: "I was worried about soft ground for him. He might be more a Ryanair horse than a Gold Cup horse this year, but I'll talk to John Hales (owner)."
By:
alleged22
When: 27 Dec 13 10:27
I doubt john hales will go the Ryanair route
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 27 Dec 13 10:28
Silviniaco Conti was beat 5 lengths in the Betfair.not 10
By:
SoYouThink
When: 27 Dec 13 10:28
Al Ferof's next run will probably clear things up a bit. If it's the Cotswolds Chase or the Irish Hennessy, then connections are clearly hoping to persevere with him at longer distances and if he runs well in one of those races, then off he goes to the Gold Cup. If he runs in something like that 2m 4f race at Ascot, then it's probably more like the Ryanair.
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 27 Dec 13 10:31
I think he would stay the Gold Cup trip but he's just simply not good enough to win. Wouldn't win Ryanair if Cue Card went for that either but think Cue Card will run in Gold Cup and be held up
By:
alleged22
When: 27 Dec 13 10:31
8 1/2 length turnround then
By:
SoYouThink
When: 27 Dec 13 10:33
Whatever about the Gold Cup for Al Ferof, I would think it would be poor decision making by the Tizzards if they don't go for the Ryanair after yesterday.
By:
HaylingBilly
When: 27 Dec 13 10:34
Nicholls has always been very keen on Silviniaco Conti as a Gold Cup horse. He was sure he had him right last year for it. At the moment he has nothing for the Ryanair so Al Ferof to Ryanair would suit Nicholls I am sure of that. But John Hales is no pushover and if he thinks he has a Gold Cup horse he will be arguing his case very strongly I am sure. Every time Hales speaks about Al Ferof he talks about that fact he is bred to stay. Personally I think both Cue Card and Al Ferof should and will run in the Gold Cup………but WTFDIK……….great race yesterday. Really lived up to billing. Dynaste fans might not agree. Now that one aint no Gold Cup horse in my opinion.
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 27 Dec 13 10:35
Run Al Ferof in the William Hill then if he don't want to go to Ryanair
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 27 Dec 13 10:37
I jest.....as for Cue Card yep think connections would be mad not to run in Ryanair but they will look and say "well won the Betfair and were a clear 2nd in King George so shall we give it a try?"
By:
HaylingBilly
When: 27 Dec 13 10:38
Bally - officially was beat 5.75 lengths in Betfair and won yesterday by 3.5 yesterday. Thats a turn round of 9.25 lengths. Make that 10 for cash Grin. Making sense ?
By:
SoYouThink
When: 27 Dec 13 10:38
Don't forget Unioniste folks.....his performance tomorrow might have a bearing on where Al Ferof goes.
By:
alleged22
When: 27 Dec 13 10:40
a year too soon for unioniste imo, but you never know....
By:
HaylingBilly
When: 27 Dec 13 10:41
SYT - very good point. Unioniste gives both Hales and Nicholls options. My bad. Thanks for the reminder.
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 27 Dec 13 10:42
Very true
By:
HaylingBilly
When: 27 Dec 13 10:45
Bally - if I were sitting on that great 40/1 double you are on I would be hoping to persuade Tizzard and Nicholls to go for the Ryanair too ! That was a great bet.
By:
wellchief
When: 27 Dec 13 10:53
In an ideal world we'd like to see them all in the Gold Cup, however I can see at least two of Cue Card, Alf, Unioniste and Dynaste in the Ryanair.

Nichols said he had Conti spot on yesterday rather than Haydock, which could explain the turn around.

I think the Gold Cup winner was one of the front two in the KG, no matter what happens in Ireland. Both seem to have the blend of speed and stamina (despite Cue Card fading).

If Tidal Bay runs well off a big weight in the Welsh National, he could be another possible Nichols runner.
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 27 Dec 13 10:56
Yeah but I'm not so sure SC wins the Gold Cup. If you see Stevos thread I've put up Harry Topper (no chance) Lord Windermere and First Lieutenant. The last two are fair nags with Cheltenham experience. Then there is Bobs Worth who is a specialist and Sir Des Champs. Was more of a bet to allow for playin about with others if he won the King George.i took SC at 6/1 and Dynaste for yest. Dynaste ran like a drain and surely can't be winning no Gold Cup and I don't fear Cue Card at all. will run in it but will not stay..
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 27 Dec 13 10:57
Think the Welsh National might be Tidal Bays last race if he runs like he did at Haydock
By:
buddeliea
When: 27 Dec 13 12:21
A horse that gets outpaced over 3m and runs on at the finish jumping the last fence really well,tells me he had plenty left and certainly don't want to go back in trip.
We will see a different horse back at Cheltenham and he needs to be aimed at the Gold Cup trial race in Jan.
As for not being good enough,thats of course possible, and yesterday did tell us that...... if the GC was run at Kempton over 3m.
But it aint.Its run over 3m2 at Cheltenham, the horse deserves a chance at the track that suits him best before being written off for the Gold Cup this season.Hope he gets it.
By:
duffy
When: 27 Dec 13 12:57
Agree with Budd, he shaped like a stayer, yes he got well beat, but at chelts over further going that way round, he's a chance to improve over the extra distance, said earlier, the talk before was about his staying pedigree, well it looks even more like it now, I know BW has proved it, but this is why he doesn't run in this race and AF is shaping like a stayer himself.

You would be more than hopeful that he'd finish in front of CC and Dynaste now.BW and SDC have questions to answer in the next few days themselves, conti is obviously strong...but I have a hunch that the GC is going to thin out, that's the problem with the Ryanair, 3 of the top6 in the GC market may now not even run in it, they've all got somewhere to run to now and take away from the spectacle of the real big race.......25's is more than fair for me.
By:
buddeliea
When: 27 Dec 13 13:04
Also think that the race will have done him the world of good in terms of experience being only his 2nd proper race out of novice company, and maybe fitness wise as well?.
Nice break now and back in 4-5 weeks.
Look forward to it.
By:
buddeliea
When: 27 Dec 13 13:06
yep,Bob and SDC certainly have questions to answer,Bob after an awful run lto,and SDC fell lto.
By:
buddeliea
When: 03 Jan 14 17:12
Kempton third Al Ferof will take in the Denman Chase at Newbury next month before we decide whether to go down the Ryanair or Gold Cup route with him.

Pleased with that news from Nicholls.
I was a tad concerned they might go to Ascot over 2 and a half, but at least they are giving him a go over 3m next time,and really hope its on better ground.
Gold cup still remains a possibility.
By:
SoYouThink
When: 03 Jan 14 17:34
Does Silviniaco Conti have a prep race so or go straight to the Gold Cup. He ran in the Newbury race last year - would have thought they'd have went the same route with him again.
By:
Ballydoyle
When: 03 Jan 14 17:45
Straight to Cheltenham
By:
wellchief
When: 25 Jan 14 08:56
Sounds like Gold Cup according to Nicholls on the Morning Line
By:
buddeliea
When: 25 Jan 14 09:06
yep, encouraging comments from nicholls.
By:
wellchief
When: 25 Jan 14 09:07
Layed off a little bit of my Al Ferof Ryanair bet @ 12's and backed Wonderful Charm in it @110 on here.
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