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bellfunk
22 Feb 13 14:19
Joined:
Date Joined: 28 Nov 10
| Topic/replies: 891 | Blogger: bellfunk's blog
I can see 2 getting beat as 4 short price Favs just don't go in on the first day of the Festival.
Which one/s do you think will go down?

MTOY
Hurricane Fly
Simonsig
Quevega
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Report Brooksielad February 22, 2013 2:23 PM GMT
I have a really strange feeling simonsig will get done by something...
Report bellfunk February 22, 2013 2:33 PM GMT
I can see Quevega not winning this time. For 4 years she's been a "get out of jail" card on the first day for a lot of people, i just see her not winning through misfortune rather than anything else.
Simonsig, never really been a believer in the horse, but it's never done anything wrong, but Overturn could really out his jumping under pressure at the pace he's gonna go.
Report SoYouThink February 22, 2013 2:57 PM GMT
Day 1 has a great potential for both punters and bookmakers. Realistically out of the 4, 2 will probably get beat maybe more - that's my opinion anyway. Betting short odds at the Festival is never advisable anyway.
Report johnn February 22, 2013 4:09 PM GMT
I would expect 3 to get beaten.
Report duffy February 22, 2013 4:46 PM GMT
Can see simonsig getting beat by overturn and I can't see MTOY's getting beat but realize that this shortie in the supreme is a recipe for disaster but as I say, can't see it, think the fly and quevega will win.
Report wondersobright February 22, 2013 4:54 PM GMT
based on the current prices you are looking at around 1/3 that at least 2 of them get beat

cheltenham bankers are as rare as rocking horse sh1t I'm afraid
Report gutfeeling February 22, 2013 4:58 PM GMT
2 will get done,MTOY and The Fly,
Also i have some rocking horse ****(Brought in Australia)
Report wondersobright February 22, 2013 5:03 PM GMT
Laugh gut

yep, those 2 the most likely imo
Report Howdi February 22, 2013 5:40 PM GMT
How the fell can you foresee the future and say Quevega will get beat through 'misfortune'
Report duffy February 22, 2013 5:44 PM GMT
He's going to be positioned at the last flight ready to deploy the stingerLaugh
Report Howdi February 22, 2013 5:46 PM GMT
Laugh one of the most bizarre posts ive read on here !!!
Report Howdi February 22, 2013 5:47 PM GMT
by the way duffy 'he' has queveaga had a sex change during the summer?
Report duffy February 22, 2013 5:50 PM GMT
He, being the poster, not me! is going to be positioned at the final flight ready to deploy the stinger, which in turn cause her failure through misfortune.
Report bellfunk February 22, 2013 5:54 PM GMT
I can also see Howdi getting a size 9 up his council gritter should i bump into him any time soon Wink
Report duffy February 22, 2013 5:55 PM GMT
He's become confused.
Report bellfunk February 22, 2013 5:57 PM GMT
has she ? Crazy
Report Howdi February 22, 2013 6:00 PM GMT
got it now Laugh

bellfunk explain yourself
Report Howdi February 22, 2013 6:00 PM GMT
'festival banter ' love it
Report duffy February 22, 2013 6:06 PM GMT
Howdi got me confused and now bellfunk has given me a headache, I'm going to clear this upLaughLaugh

The HE refers to bellfunk and not quevega who is a sheSillyGrin
Report bellfunk February 22, 2013 6:18 PM GMT
Yes Duffy that is correct. And may I add what a fine singer you are, would you agree Howdi, do you think she is a good singer? Tongue Out
Report Howdi February 22, 2013 6:30 PM GMT
he's the bollox pal Excited
Report bellfunk February 22, 2013 6:34 PM GMT
i agree, much better than Emeli Sande, he's crap. Happy
Report Howdi February 22, 2013 6:35 PM GMT
and as for Robbie williams right slut
Report SEATHESTARS....NO1 February 22, 2013 7:07 PM GMT
I will play it on the day using the law of sods. I believe that 2 will get beat, but it is not at all impossible for 3 or even the 4 to be beat this year.
If The first 3 are beat can see Quevega winning! Which is very feasible imo! Though tbh, how many is left in the Supreme? Can really see this race cutting up if only about 20 left in as how many of them are also engaged in the neptune? Therefore MTOY would have a far easier assignment, and personally, can't see it beat. Simonsig is vulnerable, though possibly the Arkle would have no more than 10 in it and no fewer than about 6, will Overturn cut his own throat up front and/or will simonsig be able to pick him up and win relatively easily? And what about melodic, un atout etc improving horsesConfused Of the 4, the Fly is by far the most vulnerable, given the stat of previous winners and his price being woefully short, very layable at the moment! Quevega, hmm, what beats her? The fact maybe that she is a year older? And every year she has won this race, she has looked slightly less impressive? But, it is the same horses she beats year in year out so what is in there that could possibly beat her apart from the hurdles and a possibility of unlucky passage through through the raceConfused

The way i see it is, people often place luckys and accas on days where you see loads of shorties, they never ever all win, in fact more often than not 2 out of 4-5 generally win in meetings like that, and thats not even comparing the stat at the festival of short priced fav's im thinking about poxy rainy afternoon at plumpton lol.
Report buddeliea February 22, 2013 7:17 PM GMT
Quevega aint faced the 2nd and 3rd fav's.
Not saying they will beat her,but they are good opposition,and imo better than any she has faced in this race before.
Report SEATHESTARS....NO1 February 22, 2013 7:19 PM GMT
In fact looking at the complexion of the race now, the Arkle could easily cut up into a 6 or 7 runner affair! Who was it that was mocking me with my possible tissue a couple weeks ago saying simonsig could end up 1/3? After Fago today, thats very poss!

Simonsig 1/3
Overturn 10/3
Arvika 11/2
16/1
20/1
100/1
125/1 7 run!
Report Mr Eboue February 22, 2013 7:36 PM GMT
He wont go off 1/3.

More like

Simonsig 4/7
Overturn 3/1
Arvika 15/2
16/1
25/1
33/1
Report duffy February 22, 2013 7:41 PM GMT
STS I was saying that 1/3 was a joke, it still is, even after fago today as he isn't the horse that stops simonsigs price, overturn is, and I'll say it again, if simonsig and overturn ran against each other and nothing else turned up, simonsig still wouldn't be 1/3, because other than the top 2, nothing else counts and it's been that way practically all season.
Report Shropshire Lad February 22, 2013 8:52 PM GMT
Crazy whacking into odds on at the "Olympics" of racing..,,,,isn't it ?

Novice's ..no thanks

then its

Overturn
Binocular
Report Can't Catch Me February 22, 2013 8:58 PM GMT
I've actually got a feeling only one of these will win. And would have Simonsig as my banker of the four.
Report mickey February 22, 2013 9:15 PM GMT
Great to start the week with an over bet over hyped short price novice getting turned over.

i think 2 max will win and i would favor quevega and simonsig in that order.
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