Cheltenham Festival
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19 Nov 12
19:57
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Date Joined:
18 Jul 03
The odds compilers at Coral sometimes take a view on a big race and it looks like they are doing so with the RSA next March. They offer 20/1 about Saturday’s Punchestown winner, Back In Focus. Big mistake, I think.
He is just half that price with Bet 365 and is generally a 14/1 chance. He’s won both his steeplechases; Saturday’s race was a pretty strong one and although the ground was heavy, he had the smoothest action of the four runners suggesting that he will go at least as well if not better on good ground. I suspect it’s not so much soft ground he needs as a true stamina test.
On that front, my only reservation on the ante-post front is that he might end up in the 4m National Hunt Chase, although his trainer, Willie Mullins, said after Saturday’s race that the RSA trip would suit him well. If he ends up in the four-miler, well you can back him to recover your lost stake for the RSA.
In action, he looks a proper stayer: a head-down rhythmic galloper and an economical relaxed jumper. He made one error on Saturday, otherwise he fenced like an old handicapper and better ground should only help his technique. He reminded me a bit of Denman. Like that horse, he seems to give a lot in his races without any driving and I suspect he would want a fair rest between runs.
But take the 20/1 before Coral realise they’ve made a bloomer.
Good luck
Joe
http://wp.me/p1o7dN-LQ
He is just half that price with Bet 365 and is generally a 14/1 chance. He’s won both his steeplechases; Saturday’s race was a pretty strong one and although the ground was heavy, he had the smoothest action of the four runners suggesting that he will go at least as well if not better on good ground. I suspect it’s not so much soft ground he needs as a true stamina test.
On that front, my only reservation on the ante-post front is that he might end up in the 4m National Hunt Chase, although his trainer, Willie Mullins, said after Saturday’s race that the RSA trip would suit him well. If he ends up in the four-miler, well you can back him to recover your lost stake for the RSA.
In action, he looks a proper stayer: a head-down rhythmic galloper and an economical relaxed jumper. He made one error on Saturday, otherwise he fenced like an old handicapper and better ground should only help his technique. He reminded me a bit of Denman. Like that horse, he seems to give a lot in his races without any driving and I suspect he would want a fair rest between runs.
But take the 20/1 before Coral realise they’ve made a bloomer.
Good luck
Joe
http://wp.me/p1o7dN-LQ
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Absolutely love this horse. Fantastic form to beat Emma Lavelle's horse at Haydock last season. But he disappointed badly at Aintree on deent ground and I do have a the feeling he is a mud lark.
Not sure he'd have been suited by a track like Aintree, regardless of the ground.
I really wouldn't use that run to gauge whether he can handle anything other than bottomless ground.
I really wouldn't use that run to gauge whether he can handle anything other than bottomless ground.
might be a soft ground festival this season lads,certainly worth bearing in mind when antepost punting imo
Chelt not normally soft this time of year,lot of rain has fallen,and no doubt a lot more to come.
Chelt not normally soft this time of year,lot of rain has fallen,and no doubt a lot more to come.
Also, do you think connections will want to run him against Boston Bob?
If the both go to the festival, Wylie will surely want them in different races. Would have thought BB could be very competitive over Jewson trip
I'm sure I've read contradicting quotes tbh but Mullins has at least mentioned the RSA. I would worry about him on better ground though.
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