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Cheltenham Festival

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Glossy
14 Mar 12 23:24
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Date Joined: 22 Feb 09
| Topic/replies: 19,355 | Blogger: Glossy's blog
Really fancy this one to run a big race tomorrow and genuinely think 40/1 is an absolute steal. The horse won very impressively over course & distance on the New Year's Day meet and is only 5lb higher tomorrow. Plenty of excuses for the disappointing run last time on a bog at Haydock.

Horse is sure to like the quicker ground and is from an in-form stable.

I'm aware of the poor record of 5 year olds in this race but I think this one has a better engine than most. It's also one of those stats that is a little misleading as you don't generally get many 5 year olds in this though Son Amix managed 2nd last year.

Certainly worth a few quid e/w at the silly 40/1 on offer with Sid James.

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Replies: 12
By:
Senor El Betrutti
When: 14 Mar 12 23:42
I also like him and he's also still 5lbs lower than he started the season. But I have also had each ways on Barwell Bridge and Thehillofuisneach. Still looking for my first winner this week so sorry about Jinxing him!!
By:
andy85
When: 14 Mar 12 23:43
I thought this horse liked it softer the better.  Has some course form though which is a positive
By:
BornToWin
When: 14 Mar 12 23:44
Will Kayf Aramis not be looking to reverse form getting half a bag of sugar?
By:
Senor El Betrutti
When: 15 Mar 12 00:01
Andy I think people thought he wanted soft over 2 miles where actually he needed 3 miles. BTW they are closely weighted but i personally don't trust Kayf Aramis and he's 10 where Houblon is 5 and there is a chance he could improve.
By:
Glossy
When: 15 Mar 12 00:03
Can't really see a 1lb swing making a difference. This horse is an improver whilst it's probably fair to say that we're not likely to see much improvement at this stage from KA.

andy85 - I think it probably would like a little more cut in the ground but has won on Good to Soft and I haven't got too many concerns over the ground. I think they're watering like maniacs as we speak.

It's a 40/1 shot, there will be holes in its profile but I really like its chances and it shouldn't shouldn't be that big a price.
By:
andy85
When: 15 Mar 12 01:24
Certainly got a chance then.  Hope he runs well for you.  I've picked 3 double figure horses in this race its that hard to pick.  If it wasn't Cheltenham I would be giving it a swerve
By:
Glossy
When: 15 Mar 12 01:29
Cheers andy. Good luck for tomorrow.
By:
Glossy
When: 15 Mar 12 15:13
Ran hell of a race, still staying on to come 4th.

Delighted.
By:
geoff m
When: 15 Mar 12 15:13
Great call. Also thought he needed soft ground however if it had have been you would probably had the win as well
Stayed on powerfully up the hill.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 15 Mar 12 15:17
Good pick. The ground looks on the softer side to me. Jockeys splattered with mud at the end. A lot softer than it was yesterday.
By:
Glossy
When: 15 Mar 12 15:20
Cheers chaps
By:
ring-a-ding
When: 15 Mar 12 15:47
great shout Glossy, had him picked shortlisted too, but never got on in the end. Freaked!
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