Cheltenham Festival
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Quevega
Quevega
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Replies: 106
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Robbie McNamara said tonight that Unaccompanied is 'unlikely to run' next week!
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Yort, I am more than happy to accept the others are open to improvement but if for instance we base the ratings on an unaccompanied less Mares hurdle then she potentially has between 12-14 pounds in hand. You could see a horse improve 3 or 4 pounds but the gap they face is enormous. I know bookmakers like to take on short ones but this race has all the make up of Masterminded second champion chase win. The field look equally out of their depth. In my mind if she doesn't fall she wins
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Ignoring her mares race form her other form is outstanding. Bar an accident, which can always happen, she is by far the most bomb-proof favourite of the meeting even more so than the likes of Big Bucks. She can run quite a bit below her best and still win. Money for old rope big time.
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Again, she is a 1/3 shot for this race!
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will be a max field going to post so just hope one of the duck eggs doesnt bring her down.
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Bit strange P Powers still going stand out 4/7 about her isnt it COM2 ??. I suppose with 24 runners though 3s on would be a bit short.
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They'll cop on eventually - They obviously haven't realised yet that Unaccompanied is an unlikely runner!
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power now 1/2, 4/7 available with will hill - the only bookie on oddschecker not doing NRNB for the race. dastardly firm.
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easy Winner of 2 grade 1 hurdles against the boys
easy Winner of 3 grade 2 mares hurdles easily beat multiple grade 1 winners such as Mourad,Voler la vedette,Mikael DH Only beaten 3 lengths by Solwhit and Champion Hurdle winner Punjabi(at his peak)in the 2009 Rabobank Champion Hurdle over a trip to short for her 3/3 cheltenham course wins this is a 1/50 shot,bookies should not even be taking bets on her Quevega  |
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She is the only one who has the outcome totally in her own hands. If she runs anywhere near her form without accidents that is it. We cannot say that for certain about SS HF SE or BB.
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I have to disagree and believe that there are plenty out there who feel that HF and SE have it all in there own hands also,
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Unaccompanied is unlikely to take her chance in the OLBG Mares' Hurdle at Cheltenham on Tuesday.
She was left in the Grade Two contest, formerly known as the David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle, as a precaution in case something happened to Quevega, winner of the race for the last three years. The Dermot Weld-trained five-year-old, fourth to Hurricane Fly in the Irish Champion Hurdle on her latest start, will probably revert to the Flat for next month's Alleged Stakes at the Curragh, which she won last spring. "I don't think she'll run at Cheltenham. She was entered just in case something happened to the favourite. She'd have a great chance then," said Stan Cosgrove, racing manager for owners Moyglare Stud. "She'll run later on, maybe the Alleged Stakes back on the Flat. "We'll probably keep her on the Flat for this year and she'll be a great mare to breed from when she retires. "This may be her last year." |
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Formman I hope you are right as I am up to my neck in both. I was splitting hairs really and was just trying to highlight the situation wrt Quevega.
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Most on this thread are in agreement that the prices for this event haven't made much sense for a while. Whilst the various formlines in some of the races are difficult to fathom and cases can be made for various horses / taking on the favourite in this one its very difficult to make a case for anything else.
There is barely a horse rated 140 in this line up yet alone officially 158. Plus she has notched up four marks on the spin between 155 - 158 which highlights her consistency. I thought best price by now would be 4/9. |
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depends how willys first few run on the day. if the fly wins and any of his others run well then the bookies will be running for cover, if quevega wins they could be getting taken out on stretchers.
if mullins has a dodgy start to the day and the hotpots are getting turned over then they may dangle a carrot for punters to try and recoup losses in hope that she somehow gets beat. |
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MACHINE - she will literally eat these on Tuesday.... I'm convinced this will be her most impressive victory EVER in Cheltenham
Steam in, she wont even get pushed out this time..... |
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Well, no, she won't LITERALLY eat them will she?
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If HF gets beat , there will be no carrot dangled for quevega
Opens up 2/5 |
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left in the World Hurdle today
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wallet says run her in mares hurdle, heart says run her against big bucks and have a decent world hurdle for once.
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only reason i can think of is in case something goes amiss with big bucks before tuesday?
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they might as well just run thousand stars in it - he has more chance of picking up prize money in this than the champion. quevega wins the mares - decent return for the hammer n trowel syndicate.
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She only runs twice a year, might as well get them both out of the way in the same week...
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Left in World Hurdle in case she falls early on Tues , she should be fresh mind lol.
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0111U1 Alasi 45 8 11-5 P R Webber D Elsworth 138 SP SP
14/1 315331 Dare To Doubt 12 8 11-5 W P Mullins 141 SP SP 25/1 30-3241 Kells Belle (IRE) 66 6 11-5 N J Henderson 132 SP SP 33/1 660313 Our Girl Salley (IRE) 52 7 11-5 Mrs Prunella Dobbs B J Geraghty 137 SP SP 10/1 3011/1-1 Quevega (FR) 313 8 11-5 W P Mullins 158 SP SP 1/2 314142 Shop Dj (IRE) 93 7 11-5 Peter Fahey 126 SP SP 33/1 12-4114 Unaccompanied (IRE) 44 5 11-5 D K Weld 157 SP SP 6/1 23-1331 Violin Davis (FR) 52 6 11-5 P F Nicholls D A Jacob 135 SP SP 14/1 3F1444 Golden Sunbird (IRE) 54 8 11-3 Paul Nolan 133 SP SP 33/1 4/611-45 Veiled 129 6 11-3 N J Henderson 137 SP SP 33/1 501-030 What A Charm (IRE) 45 5 11-3 A L T Moore 125 SP SP 33/1 1134-12 Baby Shine (IRE) 27 6 11-0 Mrs L Wadham L Aspell 125 SP SP 20/1 1P2233 Belle De Fontenay (FR) 76 7 11-0 George Baker 114 SP SP 100/1 143111 Blazing Tempo (IRE) 51 8 11-0 W P Mullins 131 SP SP 20/1 215153 Candelita 103 5 11-0 Jo Hughes M D Grant 112 SP SP 100/1 4-52453 Cloudy Spirit 13 7 11-0 R Hollinshead T J Murphy 132 SP SP 33/1 2146F4 Dorabelle (IRE) 23 7 11-0 D McCain Jnr J M Maguire 126 SP SP 40/1 P333P6 Himayna 8 8 11-0 F Sheridan Giles Hawkins 93 SP SP 250/1 116231 Ixora (IRE) 150 6 11-0 Jamie Snowden T J O'Brien 133 SP SP 20/1 0-53112 Kentford Grey Lady 52 6 11-0 Miss E C Lavelle N Fehily 134 SP SP 10/1 1-21113 Swincombe Flame 24 6 11-0 Nick Williams W Kennedy 134 SP SP 10/1 41-3412 Tempest River (IRE) 49 6 11-0 B I Case Aidan Coleman 117 SP SP 40/1 F Terre Du Vent (FR) 17 6 11-0 T R George - SP SP 33/1 266560 The Strawberry One 32 7 11-0 D W P Arbuthnot 128 SP SP 66/1 |
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Quevega (4/7) , Unaccompanied (11/2) , Our Girl Salley (10) , Swincombe Flame (10) , Kentford Grey Lady (12) , Alasi (16) , Violin Davis (16) , Blazing Tempo (20) , Shop Dj (20) , Baby Shine (25) , Dare To Doubt (25) , Ixora (25) , Kells Belle (25) , What A Charm (25) , Cloudy Spirit (33) , Golden Sunbird (33) , Terre Du Vent (33) , Veiled (33) , Dorabelle (40) , Tempest River (40) - Others 66 or more
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Dermot weld confirmed to ATR that unaccompanied was a definite non-runner. Quevega can only shorten up from here really. Surprised thats billy's were still 4/7 bigger than on here once commission taken into account.
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