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The top four in the ratings are:
Moscow Mannon 137 Champagne Fever 136 Clonbanan Lad 134 Sir Johnson 132 then a gap to the next highest, with three horses rated 127. |
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Trainer/jockey Mikey O'Connor, who steered his 300th point to point winner today at Dromahane, intends running his Clonbanan Lad in the Cheltenham Bumper on Wednesday, providing the ground doesn't dry out further.
O'Connor said “I'm leaving tonight with Clonbanan Lad to go to Cheltenham for the Bumper on Wednesday - at the moment he runs, but won't run if the ground dries out further.” |
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Been going through the form of this again and I have gone off my original plan to back John Ferguson's horses,whichever he ran. Population NR and the 4 yr old stat has put me off New Years Eve,probably live to regret it. The word im getting from Ireland is that Moscow Mannon is unbeatable,but I keep coming back to Peter Bowens horse.I can't remember when he last had a winner,or indeed one that has run well,but this Sir JohnsonsAintree form from October looks different gravey.
He beat Royal Guardsman,who is 2nd/3rd fav for this,8 lenghts and giving him 7lb.Talkonthestreet who was 2nd in that race beaten 3 lenghts in receipt of a stone,has gone on to prove himself a very useful hurdler. As Tony57 has stated maybe Sir Johnson is being overlooked,maybe because of trainer form or maybe because he hasn't been seen for so long. His twice the price of Royal Guardsman and if you could be confident he was going to turn up fit & well,he would be a major play in this event |
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village vic time in Newbury listed bumper compared very well with 2 hurdles from which a number run well since (Zarkandar, Montbazon, Vulcanite, Sire De Grugy etc)
He looks big price around 18 on here in what doesn't look a strong renewal |
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Don't know much about times and speed figures but encouraging to see Pedrobob put up Village Vic. The form of his Newbury race looks the strongest of any Bumper. Shutthefrontdoor and Gevrey Chambertin who he split are both highly thought of, too highly thought of to be risked in this race. Horatio Hornblower re-opposes and Vrai Vert is probably one of the best Bumper horses in the top stable. Village Vic is well over-priced.
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The Newbury race hasn't got a good record in Champion.
Ericht (last year) and Aldanito were two beaten Bumper favourites. Mr Markham, Cornish Rebel, Witicha Lineman, Karanja, were other well fancied contenders that all failed to place over the years and the only one to run well was Al Ferof when 2nd two years ago. |
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You also have top condsider that Jonjo O'Neill ran two winners of Newbury race in Champion and neither placed
That's probably why Shutthefronfdoor wasn't considered good enougth to run. |
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Also only 3 of the 19 past winners had their last run in a Pattern bumper
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jezki in a pinstickers race for me....
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I am already on Sir Johnson at 33/1 but the current 10/1 is no value at all given stable form and no recent run.
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WILLIE THE MILK KNEW !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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