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Cheltenham Festival

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liam the lips
19 Feb 12 11:21
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Date Joined: 15 Sep 03
| Topic/replies: 1,355 | Blogger: liam the lips's blog
Just got a feeling Nearest the Pin is being lined up for this. Needs further than 2mile and decent ground, something around 135 would be nice after todays valiant but not victorious effort.
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Report imperial commander February 22, 2012 6:55 PM GMT
i think ackertac has a massive chance 2.4 miles loves chelt and i see theres been plenty of money for him
Report sintonian February 22, 2012 8:36 PM GMT
Always a tough race this one .. think A.Martin lost a promising horse in this race a couple of seasons ago so see your angle here Liam .. keep us posted
Report strontium February 22, 2012 9:11 PM GMT
Be careful with this - it's likely to be a very limited handicap effectively, probably with
Report strontium February 22, 2012 9:12 PM GMT
less than 10 lbs between the whole field.
Report Hanbury February 22, 2012 9:17 PM GMT
Over half the field will be at least 10 lb well in. Certainly a good pointer for next seasons big handicaps
Report strontium February 22, 2012 9:21 PM GMT
That's been true this season hanbury, but that could be because last season's "top" novices were in fact nearly all pants.
Report Hanbury February 22, 2012 10:38 PM GMT
They were pants Strontium, I agree!

I always respect the form of this race though, and when previously the Jewson. So many plotted horses, especially now its a 0-140 race

Such a tough race to pick the winner.

I remember having one of my bets of the Festival in this race a few years back.

Backed Big Bucks at 20/1, he ran off 147 plus a claimer allowance! He just needed Ruby on him for the big win:(

Its a great race. A great puzzle.
Report strontium February 22, 2012 10:49 PM GMT
Yep, the new conditions do encourage plot horses and there will be a lot of unexposed ones running.
Report Hanbury February 22, 2012 10:54 PM GMT
Do you have any strong opinion's in this race Strontium?
Report strontium February 22, 2012 10:58 PM GMT
No mate. Probably won't even look at this one until the 5 days stage (or maybe even the final decs) as I expect a mountain of entries.
Report Hanbury February 22, 2012 11:09 PM GMT
Realised after I'd posted that its far too early to have a strong feeling!

I think JP has tried his best to get Shot From the Hip into this race. He's rated 136 in Ireland, you never know he might creep in.

His last run in the JP Moriaty was eye catching. Lets just say AP wasnt to hard on him! He'll probably end up on 142/143 realistically. But you never know.

He's worth keeping an eye on, if he gets in I can see him going off a well backed favourite.
Report Mr Eboue February 23, 2012 9:35 AM GMT
Agree with your every word there hanbury. I'm on at 25/1.
Report liam the lips February 23, 2012 9:45 AM GMT
Big Bucks Off 147 , i remember it well Hanbury Happy, China Rock off 141 not too long ago another stuffed ! I doubt Tony Martin will have this on Nearest the Pins radar after last Sunday, maybe Punchestown. Im hoping Rathlin gets an entry , we'll find out later, entries out after midday today, weights next week.
Report imperial commander February 27, 2012 6:03 PM GMT
hunt ball has dissapeared from betting with a lot of books any body heard any news
Report BJG February 27, 2012 6:04 PM GMT
hunt Ball doesnt qualify
Report yeast February 27, 2012 7:13 PM GMT
Won too well on Saturday. Will be rated in excess of 140. Owner not happy at all.
Report mr jo bangles February 28, 2012 6:48 PM GMT
Apparently he does qualify now. 142 looks about right despite his moaning. Prob 1 or 2 better in but 9/1 nrnb looks ok.
Report strontium February 28, 2012 10:18 PM GMT
Would have to run of 12st though - there's very likely to be some better handicapped in what is likely to be a very, very limited handicap (8lb separated the whole field last year).
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