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MissiontoMars
31 Jan 12 19:36
Joined:
Date Joined: 19 Oct 05
| Topic/replies: 125 | Blogger: MissiontoMars's blog
this looks a great bet. Nearly nicked third last year.

GC may not run. Kauto is going to be 12 and Long Run could clatter one.

The rest are no great shakes. finished ahead of MC last year.

Worth a friendly tenner for sure
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Report shockster January 31, 2012 7:38 PM GMT
Look at the market without Kauto and Long Run.  You'll get more than double that.
Report MissiontoMars January 31, 2012 8:35 PM GMT
Nope, if one of them falls and he sneaks in for third you are caught short
Report shockster January 31, 2012 8:38 PM GMT
16/1 with B365 1/4 first 3 w/o those 2 means possibly EW down to 5th.  TBH with you I have had a good bet on him to win outright.  Good Luck
Report Brian January 31, 2012 9:55 PM GMT
So many outside of the first two failing to impress (and can't have Synchronised unless it is soft) I'm looking at Weird Al at 25/1 nrnb . He won't race again before the day and feel sure he'll start shorter on the day (he was gambled on the day last year as I recall) but agree What A Friend looks more capable than most to be involved provided Nicholls can get him back to form.
Report strontium January 31, 2012 10:32 PM GMT
Brian - the problem I'd have with Weird Al is that his form ties in very closely with that of several of the horses who got stuffed by Midnight Chase on Saturday. Would that bother you as a fan?
Report Brian January 31, 2012 11:26 PM GMT
Strontium - But he has beaten them. He's only been beaten by the big two this year and I have a lot of faith in Donald McCain getting him to the race at his best. To be fair he's not a strong fancy but at 25/1nrnb I thought he was worth a little nibble with the hope that I will trade back most of the win and some of the place on race day.
Report itsbeenapleasure February 1, 2012 1:02 AM GMT
i have backed weird al also, he was only 2 lengths behind long run at haydock and he wasn't fresh.. he will be gold cup day
Report Eeternaloptimist February 1, 2012 10:37 AM GMT
I was a huge fan of Weird Al in his novice campaign and backed him at big odds for the RSA and was gutted when he was ruled out late on. For me he is definitely one of those who could run into a place but if the top two give their running I expect he will be battling for third with the likes of What A Friend. I would though be careful about taking a line through Long Run based on Haydock form. As last season Long Rung stepped up markedly for his first run and taking the line through Kauto who beat Weird Al a comfortable margin and not all out is about where I'd have him.
Report bluebirdfan February 1, 2012 10:51 AM GMT
Quel Espirt is the one I'm coming round to thinking of as my e/w alternative, was travelling well in the RSA last year when falling. If he could stay on his feet he'd be a serious horse
Report thieveslikeus February 1, 2012 11:40 AM GMT
QE didn't have the best of luck last season, 2 falls then brought down by a loose horse!  What worries me is that his 2 falls came at the business end of good class races, I can forgive novicey carelessness but he seems to crumple under pressure.  We will see next time out whether he has grown out of it?
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