Cheltenham Festival
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**** National Hunt Novices Chase ****
**** National Hunt Novices Chase ****
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1:30 NATIONAL HUNT AM CSE 4m 34 ENTRIES
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Alfie Spinner (IRE) 7 11 6
Allee Garde (FR) 7 11 6 Ben's Folly (IRE) 7 11 6 Benbane Head (USA) 8 11 6 Blenheim Brook (IRE) 7 11 6 Bob 'n' You (IRE) 9 11 6 Brunswick Gold (IRE) 7 11 6 Cottage Oak (IRE) 9 11 6 Court Red Handed (IRE) 7 11 6 Daffern Seal (IRE) 8 11 6 Four Commanders (IRE) 6 11 6 Glens Boy (IRE) 8 11 6 Gorge (AUS) 10 11 6 Graduation Night (GB) 6 11 6 Harry The Viking (GB) 7 11 6 Iron Chancellor (IRE) 7 11 6 Leggy Lad (IRE) 9 11 6 Lively Baron (IRE) 7 11 6 Monbeg Dude (IRE) 7 11 6 Nodebateaboutit (GB) 7 11 6 Not So Sure **** (IRE) 7 11 6 Oscar Close (IRE) 7 11 6 Our Island (IRE) 7 11 6 River d'Or (FR) 7 11 6 Sensational Sema (IRE) 8 11 6 Soll (GB) 7 11 6 State Benefit (IRE) 7 11 6 Strongbows Legend (GB) 7 11 6 Teaforthree (IRE) 8 11 6 Universal Soldier (IRE) 7 11 6 Viking Blond (FR) 7 11 6 Your Busy (IRE) 9 11 6 Mid Div And Creep (GB) 12 10 13 Our Victoria (IRE) 7 10 13 |
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O/Rs for the 4 miler (praying this formats ok). Comparing ratings with prices, I thought Daffern Seal, Blenheim Brook, Your Busy, Viking Blond, Bob 'n You and Our Victoria were amongst the more interesting ones, particularly Daffern Seal and Your Busy.
Teaforthree (IRE) 8.g Rebecca Curtis 11st 6lb 146 Allee Garde (FR) 7.g W. P. Mullins, Ireland 11st 6lb 142 Daffern Seal (IRE) 8.g D. K. Weld, Ireland 11st 6lb 140 Soll 7.g W. P. Mullins, Ireland 11st 6lb 139 Alfie Spinner (IRE) 7.g Nick Williams 11st 6lb 138 Blenheim Brook (IRE) 7.g Lucinda Russell 11st 6lb 138 Universal Soldier (IRE) 7.g Charlie Longsdon 11st 6lb 138 Four Commanders (IRE) 6.g M. F. Morris, Ireland 11st 6lb 137 Harry The Viking 7.g Paul Nicholls 11st 6lb 137 Benbane Head (USA) 8.g Martin Keighley 11st 6lb 136 Viking Blond (FR) 7.g Nigel Twiston-Davies 11st 6lb 135 Your Busy (IRE) 9.g James A. Nash, Ireland 11st 6lb 135 Bob 'n' You (IRE) 9.g Ian Williams 11st 6lb 131 Our Victoria (IRE) 7.m Colin Bowe, Ireland 10st 13lb 131 Court Red Handed (IRE) 7.g Sarah Humphrey 11st 6lb 130 Our Island (IRE) 7.g Tim Vaughan 11st 6lb 130 Strongbows Legend 7.g Charlie Longsdon 11st 6lb 130 Leggy Lad (IRE) 9.g S. McConville, Ireland 11st 6lb 128 State Benefit (IRE) 7.g Nicky Henderson 11st 6lb 128 Ben's Folly (IRE) 7.g Tim Vaughan 11st 6lb 127 Iron Chancellor (IRE) 7.g Alan King 11st 6lb 127 Cottage Oak (IRE) 9.g Gordon Elliott, Ireland 11st 6lb 125 Lively Baron (IRE) 7.g Donald McCain 11st 6lb 125 Graduation Night 6.g Jamie Snowden 11st 6lb 124 Monbeg Dude (IRE) 7.g Michael Scudamore 11st 6lb 122 Mid Div And Creep 12.m Lawney Hill 10st 13lb 122 Glens Boy (IRE) 8.g Henrietta Knight 11st 6lb 119 Gorge (AUS) 10.g Anthony Cosgriff 11st 6lb 119 Brunswick Gold (IRE) 7.g Steve Gollings 11st 6lb 117 Oscar Close (IRE) 7.g George Baker 11st 6lb 112 Nodebateaboutit 7.g Tom George 11st 6lb 111 River d'Or (FR) 7.g Sophie Leech 11st 6lb 110 Not So Sure **** (IRE) 7.g George Baker 11st 6lb 107 Sensational Sema (IRE) 8.g A. J. Martin, Ireland 11st 6lb 100 |
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Nice work HM. Thought Your Busy ran a cracker @Chelt in Oct behind Traffic Article, he doesn't do anything in a hurry tho, wheras the Weld horse laughed at Traffic Article @Galway, jumping really well and looking a real prospect that day. I was looking at Askanna here but she's not been declared, Bowe has kept his other mare Our Victoria in and with the weight she's also in the mix.
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Id be starting to look at animals that have done it on quick ground, we are at the moment, a whole point faster at this stage last year according to stick readings and he was at this very time on the friday busy watering
And then Al ferof hits 3-52 in the opener!! |
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Cheers liam. I've added both of them to the portfolio.
Absolutely, zil. Any horse I'm backing atm must have shown something on quick ground. Gonna be rattlin' up there again...... |
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...which would worry me if I was a T43 supporter
 Daffern at 25/1 defo the bet right now for this. |
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Yep, only caveat being it's going to be some performance to win this after just 2 chase starts and a 203 day absence, dunno what the stats are regarding these points, stats will always be broken tho by design. If Daffern shows up for the gig, he wont be trading @25s, so that's the play (NRNB) for me also.
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Someone's just tole me Weld CANNOT train a winner at the Fez. That's not right, is it?!?
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Rare Holiday??
I fancy Hisaabaat on this better ground if the blinkers are kept on for the triumph |
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Yep that's his only winner.
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Excellent thread......also a fan of this race....no Jonjo/Ferdy plots times are a changing!!
As highlighted the forecast ground adds another puzzle with formlines on much softer ground. Fwiw two on the radar are Universal soldier and Benbane Head. Powder will remain firmly dry until final decs,as an experienced pilot can be worth a few pounds. GL |
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Am on Teaforthree at 12/1 which i'm happy with. But have always thought Viking Blond would relish this sort of trip. Regarded as an out and out stayer, acts at the course, strong galloper and good jumper. seems to be the right type for the race.
Two concerns are the ground and awful trainer form. Thoughts on the Viking's chances? |
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IC......Definate player and another who may go off much shorter,ground looks ok, NTD seems out of form every chelt...and yet he invariably pulls at least one from somewhere.
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Nina booked to ride Four Commanders
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Left this alone in the end, was going round in circles
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excellent news ...thanks BJG
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On the ratings Glens Boy should not be anywhere near good enough to take this but that is reflected in the price. I think it will improve dramatically for the big step up in trip, which of course he will need to, and can run a big race at a big price.
would like to know who is booked to ride though. |
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Allee Garde is one of my bets of the festival in this race. Could see him going off 3/1 or 4/1 such is the strong vibes around for this one.
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Ted Walsh was very bullish about his chances.
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1:30
Diamond Jubilee National Hunt Chase (Amateur Riders´ Novices´ Chase) (CLASS 2) (5yo+) Winner £44,970 20 runners 4m Good CH4 NO. FORM HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER RTF% JOCKEY OR TS RPR 1 24123 Alfie Spinner 25 7 11-6 Nick Williams Mr S Waley-Cohen 138 133 153 2 1-4133 Allee Garde 53 7 11-6 W P Mullins53 Mr P W Mullins 142 63 156 3 1-712P Ben´s Folly 25 p 7 11-6 Tim Vaughan27 Mr Matthew Barber 127 122 137 4 222121 Blenheim Brook 37 7 11-6 Lucinda Russell42 Mr J T Carroll 138 90 145 5 23/2-0 Bob ´N´ You 21 9 11-6 Ian Williams71 Mr S Drinkwater 131 — — 6 521530 Cottage Oak 11 9 11-6 Gordon Elliott62 Mr K E Power 125 124 136 7 121362 Court Red Handed 47 tb 7 11-6 Sarah Humphrey50 Mr M Ennis 130 128 143 8 4/114 Daffern Seal 203 8 11-6 D K Weld Mr R P McNamara 140 123 142 9 212242 Four Commanders 24 6 11-6 M F Morris20 Miss N Carberry 137 131 147 10 2-1111 Harry The Viking 76 7 11-6 Paul Nicholls62 Mr W Biddick 137 140 157 11 33314 Iron Chancellor 26 b1 7 11-6 Alan King42 Mr R G Henderson 127 112 141 12 011F6U Leggy Lad 38 9 11-6 Stephen McConville100 Mr M McConville 128 115 140 13 421331 Lively Baron 19 b 7 11-6 Donald McCain63 Mr R O Harding 125 131 146 14 429265 Our Island 25 p 7 11-6 Tim Vaughan27 Mr B Gibbs 130 137 139 15 1/1-21 Soll 42 7 11-6 W P Mullins53 Ms K Walsh 139 124 150 16 4-F124 State Benefit 24 7 11-6 Nicky Henderson42 Mr N de Boinville 128 124 136 17 281F3P Strongbows Legend 22 p 7 11-6 Charlie Longsdon47 Mr M Wall 130 131 145 18 321P1 Teaforthree 18 8 11-6 Rebecca Curtis43 Mr J T McNamara 146 151 161 19 1-2P1 Universal Soldier 52 7 11-6 Charlie Longsdon47 Mr R P Quinlan 138 114 154 20 2F23P4 Our Victoria 17 7 10-13 Colin Bowe100 Mr B O'Neill 131 116 147 |