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Cheltenham Festival

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dwm767
26 Oct 11 12:18
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Date Joined: 07 May 06
| Topic/replies: 731 | Blogger: dwm767's blog
The young fella deserves a thread to himself...update with thoughts as we progress through the season please.

Regulars of this forum may remember I was a big fan of the horse over hurdles last year (I did my brains on him to win the Supreme Novices), and following his debut over fences at Chepstow I have to admit I'm already as big a fan of his as a chaser! Given that was his first spin over the larger obstacles, I thought he was superb. Yes he was untidy at a couple, but he was pulling double all the way round and still had enough in the tank come the end of the race to power away from a small but, on paper at least, above average field, which included Silviano Conti - a horse described by Paul Nicholls on a number of occasions as 'exciting', with Ruby Walsh on board.

It's far too early to say he'll emerge as a leading contender for Novice success at the Festival come March, BUT...on what we've seen, in my opinion at least, he sets a hell of a high standard for the other novice chasers to match.

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Replies: 111
By:
Minger
When: 26 Oct 11 12:27
Will see how good Chepstow performance was when Micheal Flips runs at Ascot on Saturday.....wouldnt do your brains just yet.
By:
dwm767
When: 26 Oct 11 12:35
Very true. Should be a fair test with Sam Winner expected to take part in the same race.
By:
alexmillwall
When: 26 Oct 11 14:26
He already has his own thread which i will pull up- i also like him.
By:
call it a day
When: 06 Nov 11 19:46
Entered for last race at Cheltenham on Friday....anyone know likelihood of it running?
By:
JOCI Club
When: 06 Nov 11 23:40
Form boosted big time by Silviniaco Conti's facile victory and by Michael Flips winning at Ascot.
By:
dwm767
When: 08 Nov 11 13:18
Silviniaco Conti CLEARLY need the run at Chepstow, but Cue Card would of beaten him match fit anyway in my opinion...

Let's just hope Tizzard don't do what he did last year; run him three times before Christmas then put him away until the Festival! Still to early to say, but I remain convinced he's out the very top drawer and will go on to become a great! :)
By:
Desmond Orchard
When: 08 Nov 11 18:19
I'm a big fan, he was my biggest single bet of last years festival (my long run/baby run double still gives me nightmares....). It was a hot supremes and in hindsight I doubt he could've won as he probably wants further, but I thought that with a better ride he would've been much closer.
I expect him to take a lot of beating this season, notwithstanding how many top prospects are novice chasing.
By:
dwm767
When: 09 Nov 11 00:52
I might be a bit biased, but I can't believe he's not got more praise for his Chepstow win...if Peddlers Cross is as impressive tomorrow everyone will be raving!

Cue Card was always likely to make a better chaser than a hurdler because he flew every hurdle he jumped! It was a hot Supreme last year, and I agree he wasn't given a great ride...not sure he was given the ideal prep either! Think the pressure of having such a red hot favourite for the race got to Tizzard; he wrapped him up too tight!!

Bad times on that double pal...young Willie not the toast of your house that night I imagine!!?
By:
Desmond Orchard
When: 09 Nov 11 11:16
You could say that  Cry
It's not as if the horse went down, he just fell off. I couldn't believe my eyes, I already had the cash spent.........
By:
bluebirdfan
When: 09 Nov 11 13:23
Arkle horse or need further?
By:
JOCI Club
When: 09 Nov 11 13:45
I'd say Arkle, where a 2 1/2 mile horse can have an advantage where staying is a good quality to have.
By:
dwm767
When: 09 Nov 11 14:01
Time will tell I guess...

If he continues to pull double in his races then he'll go for the Arkle; if he learns to settle into an early stride I think he'll stay the RSA.
By:
buddeliea
When: 09 Nov 11 17:15
Think he will end up in the 2 and half m novice.
By:
bluebirdfan
When: 10 Nov 11 10:28
Looking at the entry tomorrow I think they might be leaning towards the RSA; I know its a long while off but this years could be the best ever
By:
buddeliea
When: 10 Nov 11 12:16
2 and half m tomorrow Bluebird
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 10 Nov 11 18:46
Cant believe Grand Crus is fav tomorrow!
By:
JOCI Club
When: 10 Nov 11 18:59
I'm thinking the same.
By:
unitedbiscuits
When: 10 Nov 11 19:08
Yes Cue Card looks a good bet tomorrow. Too much speed for Grands Crus.
By:
buddeliea
When: 10 Nov 11 19:13
cc fav on here-just!
By:
strontium
When: 10 Nov 11 19:32
Looks a cracking race tomorrow - Dualla Lord (won 4 points) and Champion Court no slouches either.
By:
tomdeane
When: 10 Nov 11 19:57
^ It really is a cracker isn't it?

My head is exploding - Cue Card, Grand Crus and Champion Court are all horses I love. It's a very interesting race from a punting perspective, too. With the benefit of a run, and his speed, you'd think Cue Card should be favourite, but GC is an absolute monster. Let's not forget how he tanks through all his races. He is not short on speed, at all, and if he is fit and ready to rock first time I would not be at all surprised to see him prove too good.

It's a real dilemma because Pipe's horses are usually fitter than others first up, but I'm sure connections will be leaving something to work on with this machine and doubt very much they would be disappointed with a solid run behind a very good horse on his fencing debut at Cheltenham.

What to do?!
By:
buddeliea
When: 10 Nov 11 20:12
well personally i wont be betting,just watching with interest,not a betting race for me.
As for you,back the one you think will win,if yer aint sure,dont bet,the prices aint gonna be that good on the top 2.Champion Court is a working mans price,but he has 2 pretty good animals to beat.
By:
Howdi
When: 10 Nov 11 20:39
i can't believe grand crus isnt hot fav joint fav with cue!!!!
By:
denman85
When: 10 Nov 11 20:41
maaybe its becoz cue card had a run over fences and grand crus hasnt howdi? rocket science this!
By:
Howdi
When: 10 Nov 11 21:38
^^^ have yopu seen their official marks and i can do without patronising.
By:
NickB
When: 10 Nov 11 22:37
Quite apart from that, potentially how could good could the Crack Away Jack race be?? Bunch of decent, seasoned h'cappers against a potential good'un.....
By:
dwm767
When: 11 Nov 11 09:57
Cue Card should be odds on. Could not believe VC opened up at 2's yesterday. Boots filled. Grand Crus is only chasing because Big Bucks isn't.
By:
buddeliea
When: 11 Nov 11 12:10
brave man.......or foolish??
By:
BJG
When: 11 Nov 11 16:25
hmmm...


Sad
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 11 Nov 11 16:50
At least they can put him in the coral cup with a 10lb claimer onboard. Wink
By:
sintonian
When: 11 Nov 11 16:56
CC never settled today. Was keen and sketchy before making a horlicks of one and unseating Joe. It might be best to let him front run rather than trying to restrain him because he clearly has an engine. Tizzard stable not in the best of form right now, either.
By:
BJG
When: 11 Nov 11 17:04
Front run over 2m and let him off imo - no point pullin himself to death over 2m4
By:
GI MAC
When: 11 Nov 11 17:47
Informative race. I was impressed after CC's fencing debut at Chepstow, but you have to be disapointed after that display. Just watched again, and prior to unseating he made a slight mistake at the previous fence, he just seems to get very close to his fences. The pace wasn't great so maybe he does need to aproach them at topspeed, comment above would seem appropriate.

On the other hand, Grand Crus looked a natural to me, reached for one but other than that was looking out for the next one. He needs further mind you, as does Zaynar who ran well with his cheekpieces. Champion Court is not top class, and looks a handicapper.
By:
Howdi
When: 11 Nov 11 18:55
for get who won....i made my point yesterday

grand crus rated around 17ibs superior over hurdles
cue card carryig penalty of 5lbs

yes cue had a run under his belt but why was cue ever favourite!
By:
tweedledumbtweedletwat
When: 11 Nov 11 19:32
bjg...totally agree.pulled his head off and unsettled today..if ever ive seen a chaser who needs to be set alight from the front,and jump well,its cue card.
surely they will go 2m now?
By:
buddeliea
When: 11 Nov 11 20:15
cant see him winning this seasons Arkle,dont think hes good enough.still think he will end up in the 2 and half novice.
By:
festivalfanatic
When: 11 Nov 11 21:03
Didn't settle today. Not Tizzard's fault....he asked him up at an open ditch and the horse put down......but if I owned the horse, I'd move stables. Joe wins plenty of races at the gaff tracks and wins some at the major venues on outsiders. He tends to win at the top tracks only when there is no expectation of success and I suspect his tension feeds through to the fancied horses he rides at these venues.
By:
strontium
When: 11 Nov 11 22:39
After that, Grand Crus might go for the Arkle - showed a lot of speed.
By:
buddeliea
When: 12 Nov 11 07:09
hes a 3 miler Stront,surely cannot beat this years Arkle lot.
RSA no doubt in my mind at all.
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