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Somersby e/w in the King George is my Xmas present to u all! Will no doubt be mocked for this but will pop back on the 27th with a smile :) Get on now at 16/1, won't be out the first 3 and will go very close to winning. Then head to Cheltenham Gold Cup (or even Punchestown as probably would suit better)
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I may be wrong but I suspect Somersby is crying out for 3 miles. On his dam's side there is Presenting - sire of two Cheltenham Gold Cup winners (Denman and War of Attrition)and a Grand National Winner (Ballabriggs). There is also Over the River, also sire of two Gold Cup winners (Cool Ground and Cool Dawn).
I think you will see a big improvement for stepping up in trip. I just hope that the race on December 8, his third of the season, hasn't knocked the edge of him. |
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Can write off last week's run. Will be very very close on Boxing Day!
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Continues to be backed for the King George this horse...lets hope the punters have deep pockets..12-1 now should be 20's..
Just one bit of advice, get out in the run, cause surely this rechid horse will find a way to through it away... I'd say it is 4-5 he makes a mistake 3 out and 5-4 the second last... But he may well have downed tools, before this point however... |
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each way money surely?
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i actually don't think he's ungenuine it's just when he makes a mistake he immediately comes under pressure and takes forever to run on again......i wouldn't be surprised if there is something ailing the horse....his novice win at sandown was a jumping joy....and when he made a mistake late on he rallied superbly up the run in....his finish behind sizing europe in the arkle was top drawer as well.....different horse now.
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On decline without doubt, wouldnt back him with stolen at kempton?
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His last run was poor thats for sure, but other than that he has been a most consistant horse. He's only 7, and Irish bred, far too early to say he is in decline imo.
As much as I admire Hen Knight, I don't think she has campaigned this horse very well. She has changed her mind numerous times on targets, preferred trip etc. Like a lot of people I think he should be running at longer trips than he has been. A flat, RH course like Kempton are ideal conditions for him. |
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Do they still run the dog race at the Festival.
Be odds on favourite for that. |
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His last run he got his tongue caught on the bit and couldnt breathe..... is 2-2 at kempton, crying out for 3m, has been looked after while he grows and matures, placed 15 times in 17 races (other 2 he was 4th and 5th) with Sizing Europe and Master Minded (2 best at the 2 trips) winning the last 5 he's lost.... 14/1 is value
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How is value?
Has the horse any serious form at the top level? A couple of placed efforts at Chelters but not a lot else. |
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Excuse horse - end of
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2nd in an arkle to the horse than went on to win the queen mother aswel :/ all his form is over 2m and 2m4f against top class horses, constantly placed. if his optimum trip is 3m or further which i think it is, then that form is even better. 15 placed runs from 17 means 14/1 is value for an e/w bet :/
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It does look like being a small field - maybe only 7 or 8.
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I realise that some punters feel that 3 miles will be this rechid horse's trip but when the pressure is applied what will he do?? We all know what will happen..................nothing...no response...
With 7 or 8 runners there really will be no excuse... Paul number 4 You say he is 2-2 at the track and that means he must be a course specialist i take?? Well those 2 runs were in quite a weak novice hurdle although the second horse has proved to be a 130 merchant over hurdles brilliant!! And then in a weak 2m 4f Graduation Chase, he struggled to beat a long term Grand National project by 3 lengths off of level weights...sweating his nuts off in the process... If the rechid creature was worried about that 3 runner race, I'm not sure the King George is the race for him, do youuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu???? |
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or looking at it a different way he has run a decent prep for the Ascot race which would have been the first target of season where he got very close to beating Master Minded. hardly gona be prepped to full fitness for all 4 runs before xmas is he?! :/ i guess we'll see come boxing day, maybe he is below top class
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Henrietta Knight has revised her initial plan of going for the Gold Cup with Somersby following his creditable fourth to Kauto Star in the King George VI Chase.
The Lockinge trainer said: "I think the distance of the Ryanair Chase is the right one for him." So there you go...the horrible horse has his target...would have to have a chance again... but we all know what is going to happen...should hit 5 in the run and then hit the wall 2 out and then plug on again when its all over... lets hope he goes off 20 but some faithful punters will surely force the rechid beasts price down yet again...lets hope they have deep pockets... |