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Cheltenham Festival

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bravado_returns
20 Jul 11 11:11
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Date Joined: 20 Jul 11
| Topic/replies: 1,299 | Blogger: bravado_returns's blog
As mentioned on another thread Weapons Amnesty if maintaining his ability is the one to be with. I was lucky enough to pinch some 33/1 with SJ straight after last years race as I couldnt believe the price given the hammering it gave Long Run in RSA.

Burtons Port has also finished in front of it everytime its faced Long Run I believe?

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Replies: 16
By:
strontium
When: 20 Jul 11 11:20
I agree - both good shots if they come back well from their injuries. Nothing behind Long Run this year looks like it can beat him in 2012 if he stands up.
By:
bravado_returns
When: 20 Jul 11 11:29
Indeed - my only concern is that I have completely written off last years RSA horses as not up to Gold Cup standard...
By:
strontium
When: 20 Jul 11 11:35
Me too. We'll find out in March Grin Less sure about horses stepping up in trip.
By:
revedesivola
When: 20 Jul 11 11:59
last years gold cup was very poor by its own generally high standards. i like michel le bon but only worry is that hes not thought of as a natural and whether or not hes as good as he was before his injury!
By:
strontium
When: 20 Jul 11 12:09
Plus he's very inexperienced - but he is in the best hands.
By:
revedesivola
When: 20 Jul 11 12:43
yep...
By:
Howdi
When: 24 Jul 11 16:38
winner of last years rsa is a right bruiser suited to cheltenham.
By:
buddeliea
When: 25 Jul 11 07:02
he is,and he has a winning attitude,hates to be headed.
By:
bravado_returns
When: 25 Jul 11 09:32
agreed, which is why I am apprehensive about writing him/them off - there wasnt much between the top novices last year. I will be following the form of those horses closely because if they are up to standard then they represent great value.
By:
revedesivola
When: 25 Jul 11 10:31
huge step up though, hes very like midnight chase in many ways but if they cant go the pace, its impossible. i dont know whether he will or wont
By:
buddeliea
When: 25 Jul 11 16:28
yeh,well novices normally improve,but the price reflects the face that their is doubt whether he will be good enough.I have had some at current prices but would certainly be wary of going too mad!!
By:
wellchief
When: 25 Jul 11 17:54
Please don't laugh at me, but one I fancy at a huge price is Rubi Light.

I was keen on him in the Ryanair last year at 40/1, and he didn't get a mention before the race and surprisingly he has barely had a mention since even though he ran an absolute blinder.

He travelled extremely well and I think it would have been a photo between him and Albertas if he hadn't nearly unseated three out.  Looking at his previous runs, it wouldn't scream Gold Cup because it is pretty dodgy at best but his last two runs showed massive improvement.

Robbie Hennesey has said that he's going to be upped in trip next year and he will only be a 7 year old.  He's not a fashionable horse from a smallish stable but is one I'm going to keep a close eye on.

May your laughing commence......[;)]
By:
Howdi
When: 25 Jul 11 20:14
^^^ not impossible chief I still have huge doubts about Long Run been a great horse.
By:
The Commander
When: 25 Jul 11 20:55
I was also very taken by Rubi Light's Ryanair run. Plenty of improvement left in him I reckon. Weapons Amnesty will have a big chance if he returns to his level before injury struck and pleased I took some of Billies' 25s post-Cheltenham.

I also think Time For Rupert shouldn't be written off too hastily. Given the fact he burst a blood vessel in the RSA, his 3m novice form was top notch prior to Chelters in beating Quinz (RP Chase winner), Chicago Grey (NH Chase winner), Hell's Bay (Dipper Chase winner) and Divers (Centenary winner) all very cosily in the lead up to Cheltenham. Think he could be a serious contender for the Hennessey off a mark of 158.

Having backed him last year, Long Run is too short at the current prices and I will look to take him on and lay him next March. I wouldn't be surprised to see him beat at Haydock, win at Kempton and then be beat at Cheltenham, impressive as he was last year.
By:
bravado_returns
When: 25 Jul 11 21:45
hmm i somehow missed that news about TFR bursting a blood vessel... didnt he still finish a not too far off 4th?
By:
Howdi
When: 25 Jul 11 21:51
think he was 5h from memory agree with Rupert he was beaten too soon at cheltenham for it to be a true running.
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