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CV,honestly mate i dont think he will be cutting it at Grade 1 level next season.
The youngsters have arrived. |
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Punchestown gold cup is very winnable this season. While he has a fair chance back at down royal. He's still rated 173 after all.
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That's a distinct possibility CV but this talk of the Ryanair is a complete no no. If PN thought he was good enough to do himself justice in the Ryanair he'd run him in the Gold Cup plain and simple. Man has never shirked a challenge in his life.
As far as one poster saying he's in the Bet365 I think someone should tell him he's in it every year but he never runs it. PN surely won't send him there when the Punchestown gold cup is over the perfect trip and looks to be an easier race. |
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I think he would have won the RSA if he stood up on a line through Jessies Dream
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Jessies Dream best bostons angle this season yet lost in the rsa. Form lines on improving chasers are not solid.
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Mikhael was going to beat JD so easily at Fairyhouse, that I would consider that he is some way in front of him
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and the rest, I think bostons improved for the fast pace as did JD I suppose, but I reckon Fairyhouse was the only time MD ran his race this season and I'm of the oppinion he looked set to build on that finally when falling here, If they decide to stick to chasing with him, I'm going to take the hint and back him next time, I thought he humped well till the fall and was expecting him to win. I'm taking a position as they say
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It is hard to tell with some horses when they start regressing a bit, esp after a summer break as they get older.
Dessie went from winning a King George and then a handicap off 183 beating Nick The Brief whilst giving him 15lb(NTB Won the Irish Hennessey NTO) and finishing a honourable 3rd in the Gold Cup to not being at all competitive at all on his final three runs which was then retirement beckoned. Just think of it in Human terms, its harder to keep or regain a level of fitness as you do get older |
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Kauto's form has clearly declined this season compared to last.
Therefore, I wouldn't be confident that he will retain his current level of ability next season, or even if his regression won't take an expotential like decline. Talk of Long Run being the only horse better than him is very premature. We won't be sure until he runs again. If he was, then I agree the races in Ireland might be easier won than the ones in the UK, but the ground is unlikely to be suitable. |
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Ground in ireland in may will not be suitable? I know it rains a lot here but it's not a fcking swamp. It'll be good ground, we always have warm may and june. Plus kauto acts on all ground. Punchestown gold cup is defo winnable given china rock and pando are finished for the season.
As for next year down royal is always an easy grade one to win and he'd have place claims at kempton you'd think. |
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I was refering to the chase races in Winter - John Durkan, Lexus, Hennessy.
Current weather conditions here - well I guess the Punchestown will be run on good ground. I agree with a repeat performance of Cheltenham, the Punchestown race should be easy pickings. |
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Nice break too, he's better with breaks between his races. I'll be there, hope imperial commander comes over too.
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Hes regressing,and that wil increase even more in the coming months.Cannot beat father time.
Younger legs have already made their mark,and their are more round the corner.Its time to retire imo,or have some fun in hunting. He deserves it. And we have had more than our pound of flesh,thats for sure. Do we want to see more of what happened in the King George?? Course we dont,but thats certainly possible if they keep going to the well. |
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Neill d, I backed Mdh, and while he was travelling nicely, it was a long way from when he fell so it's impossible to say he would have won imo. Does anyone else think he has problems with his legs? He's fallen twice this season and both times he seemed to jump the fence well enuff only to crumple on landing.
If kauto is to run again this year then I think punchestowns would be fav and a clash with imperial commander would certainly be very interesting and perhaps show us how much he has left at this point. Although a couple of you have pointed out that guarantees nothing when it comes to next season |
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^^^^^^interest theory on the legs, I just thought Ruby had him settled well and in a lovely rythm and Rupert was already done for. thought he'd have won from there though ya it was early
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i don't think that connections would insult kauto and run him in a ryaniar....if he isn't good enough for the gold cup itself, then that would be it......i really can't imagine in my wildest dreams that are last memories of him would be in a race of that calibre.
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Remind me of See More Business's end of his career....
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I don't see a problem with Kauto Star running in the Ryanair chase apart from what I wrote earlier about him being 12 next year. The Ryanair is a grade one and if I owned him I would be trying to add to the total. Incidentally has any horse previously won more than fourteen grade one chases? Down Royal, King George and Cheltenham will be the order of service for the next year and if he under performs in a race immediate retirement.
No chance he will run in a handicap or again this year. |
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Don't know about hurdlers but defo no chaser has won as many G1's as Kauto. The ability to win the tingle creek and ascot chase while being a staying chaser was a very unique talent which helped him win so many.
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Punchestown it is then. If imperial commander can make it this could be a cracking race.
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I hope IC comes over, would be a crackin good race.
Pity Pandorama and China Rock are out for the rest of the season. |
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Yeah shame about those two, I would imagine the ground would be too quick for joncol too. Outside of kempes not sure where the Irish challenge would come from. A big leap of faith is required to imagine cooldine pushing kauto, perhaps the likes of forpady or tranquil sea would step up in trip, who knows.
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I'd say both those and jy vole will run. I'm sure Planet of Sound will come over again.
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Which horses did you mean CV?
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Jy Vole
was hacking in the race last year before tipping up! |
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Forpady & Tranquil Sea. Jy Vole barely gets 3m on good ground, and Tranquil just doest see out 3m imo. Pady was wrong in the King George so will prob give 3m another go at Punchestown. He's not a 2miler anymore and stands no chance against the 4 Champion chase horses.
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Would certainly make for a more intriguing race with them both in it. Im not convinced forpady would want this type of distance, but like you i suspect they will give it another go as he wasn't right last time. Tranquil sea I am a fan of, I think if he gets to grips with the quicker ground he may stay, he certainly stays 2m4f in a bog. Still would have to improve to get near kauto though. If he's anywhere near this years Cheltenham form then only imperial commander should get close.
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Would not be backing Kauto now.He is definitely regressing as age catches up with him,and thats only going to get worse in the coming months.Its a sad fact of life i'm afraid.Yes,he showed in the Gold Cup he can still compete at this level but he is not the horse he was,and as he gets older it will become more apparent,and that much harder to finish off his races,which has already started.
He has been on the go an awful long time now,and now its showing. |
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Of course,having said that,it still depends on his opposition being good enough.
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I wouldn't be backing him budd, but as they have no intention of retiring him I will certainly be supporting him. I do think though that the ground the shorter distance and possibly going right handed should all play to his strengths. And unless IC does show up the opposition doesn't like it will be the strongest. The age is a factor as at this age things could deteriorate very quickly, hence why I won't be backing him, that and the fact that without IC he will probably be too short, but judged on his last performance he would probably be tough to beat
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yeh,think he will always have our support.But when a horse like What A Friend almost beats him at levels yer know he aint the same.Same with Denman,look what he did to WAF in the hennessey a year and a half ago.
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Been racing since he was 3yo, he's won a grade 1 race every year since he was 4. He's been racing for 9 years. NINE
and can run a 173 in the Gold Cup at 11. Total freak of a horse, we almost forget he won 2 Tingle Creeks it feels an age ago.Anyway, he'll probably be an unbackable price but man will he bring a tear to my eye if he won one last time on my soil. The greatest ever for me, just that tinge of regret that he made that mistake at the 8th last year or he'd have won the 3rd Gold Cup he deserves. But will any horse put up a 186 followed by a 193 in the same year? Probably not |
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What a load of bollox! Cant argue with the first Gold Cup beat nothing and deserved to win it.2009 had 2 horses to beat Denman,and we all know about Denmans illness and prep for the race,and the other horse was Neptunes who sustained an injury during the race and never raced for over a year after that GC. A very hollow victory IMO.I will not talk down kauto's fantastic performances in the King Georges that he won or his Tingle creek victories as they were his forte but the betfair chases??? Once again his main adversaries were at home tucked up in their stables leaving Kauto to struggle to beat the Exotic Dancers and Snoopy loopys of this world.Beat trees at Down Royal and was all out to beat the mighty Lami a neck in the Aon,dont scream top notch stayer to me. Im sorry but his trainer insured that he had the easy route until he had no choice but to run his top horses together.
Please dont bother throwing the last Betfair victory at me with his beating of Imperial Commander because if Denman was in another camp he would have picked them both up and carried them over the line Kauto Star is one of the best horses iv seen and deserves to be rated alongside the likes of Dessie but an Arkle? Never in a million years.He would never have beaten a fit Denman on a galloping lefthanded track and that includes Haydock,although the trainer would have you believe its a tight track now which would mean that the other 100 or so trainers in the country are numbsculls for sending there horses there Kauto now needs an absolute maximum of 3 miles on a righthand course on decent ground to show anything like he has in the past. |
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CV,i think you mean he MAY have won his 3rd gold cup.
IC was pretty much faultless that day and hard to say who would have won. They are there to be jumped though. |
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The argument that Kauto beat nothing at Cheltenham or Haydock is very lazy. You could look through ever single Gold Cup winner's form from the dawn of racing and pick holes in their wins, just as you have done.
For what it's worth, L'ami and Snoopy Loopy at their respective peaks were genuine Grade One chasers, and Exotic Dancer is comfortably in the Kicking King / War of Attrition bracket. When Kauto won that King George in 2009, there's no way any horse would have lived with him, not even Arkle, let alone give him 17 pounds or whatever, that the ratings suggest he would. The greatest jumps racehorse of all time - I would say so. |
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no one knows who was the greatest of all time.And your 3rd paragraph is just your opinion,no way that statement of fact, as it appears to be, can be backed up.
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Exotic Dancer was a very good horse, I would have him ahead of KK and WOA, WOA was only top class for half a season and if you want to get into the horses Best Mate was beating.............. Kauto's era was the high watermark for staying chasing in the last decade imo. If you want to get into how lucky he has been with regard to his Gold Cup opposition, he was equally unlucky not to have a Champion Chase on his CV.It is versatility that masrks him out, The fact that Denman's Gold Cup came close to finishing him is in some ways a testament to how good a horse Kauto is.
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With Masterminded now likely to go King George then Ryanair, there seems certain to be a change of plan for Kauto, assuming he stays in training that is. Judging but what Clive Smith said(one bad race and thats it), if Punchestown doesn't go well he may not be around next season after all.
However lets assume all goes well at Punchestown, where do people want to see Kauto campaigned next year? |
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Ireland reading between the lines
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i think he's gone. end of the road after one more run.
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